Texas Winter 2018-2019

[Ralph's Weather]

18Z NAM is a tick better for tonight in NE TX. Has to low tracking a tad bit further south (right along I-20 now ) with a bit and more energy on the SW side of the low. Doubt it is enough to make much difference but every little bit helps.

18Z RGEM starting to run now.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Yep, let’s cancel winter 12 days into the season lol. That’s saying the summer is going to be cool because we had good weather in June. We’ve had three brushes already with winter weather and we still have 74 days until spring. Most of our snowfall by far occurs in February in the Metroplex.

Much more exciting than the nothing we saw last year.

[Lagreeneyes03]

Winter Cancel.

spring gets closer everyday

There wasn’t supposed to be a better setup for winter than this—I can’t even get excited for next winter.

At least Florida looks warm. Daytona 500's with chilly weather aren't as fun.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Yep, let’s cancel winter 12 days into the season lol. That’s saying the summer is going to be cool because we had good weather in June. We’ve had three brushes already with winter weather and we still have 74 days until spring. Most of our snowfall by far occurs in February in the Metroplex.

Much more exciting than the nothing we saw last year.

In the epic 2010 year we got hit three times with the one blockbuster of course, which was on February 11th. Then, however we were hit two more times with big snow, even if limited in area. South side was hot once and Denton and Collin county were hit with 5-10 inches. So I think you to wait until at least the end of February for winter cancel:)

[Ralph's Weather]

Yep, let’s cancel winter 12 days into the season lol. That’s saying the summer is going to be cool because we had good weather in June. We’ve had three brushes already with winter weather and we still have 74 days until spring. Most of our snowfall by far occurs in February in the Metroplex.

Much more exciting than the nothing we saw last year.

In the epic 2010 year we got hit three times with the one blockbuster of course, which was on February 11th. Then, however we were hit two more times with big snow, even if limited in area. South side was hot once and Denton and Collin county were hit with 5-10 inches. So I think you to wait until at least the end of February for winter cancel:)

Agreed. We are not to our predicted peak or our average peak yet. If this was hurricane season it would be August, yes storms can come before but most often the best is still to come.

[bubba hotep]

Yep, let’s cancel winter 12 days into the season lol. That’s saying the summer is going to be cool because we had good weather in June. We’ve had three brushes already with winter weather and we still have 74 days until spring. Most of our snowfall by far occurs in February in the Metroplex.

Much more exciting than the nothing we saw last year.

I don't think anyone is saying to cancel winter. I posted the GEFS earlier and said it looked good. The EPS looks bad. Those are the 12z ensemble model runs, just something to talk about.

[Ralph's Weather]

HRRR drying out NW TX too fast. Wish there were more MPING reports from out that way to see if the radar returns are hitting the ground.

[BrokenGlass]

Sometimes a “Winter Cancel” post is nothing more than a reverse jinx play.


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[gboudx]

18Z NAM is a tick better for tonight in NE TX. Has to low tracking a tad bit further south (right along I-20 now ) with a bit and more energy on the SW side of the low. Doubt it is enough to make much difference but every little bit helps.

18Z RGEM starting to run now.

Based on DFW NWS radar, the ULL appears to be along the Red River right now. Is that a different counterclockwise swirl and not the ULL center?

[Ralph's Weather]

18Z NAM is a tick better for tonight in NE TX. Has to low tracking a tad bit further south (right along I-20 now ) with a bit and more energy on the SW side of the low. Doubt it is enough to make much difference but every little bit helps.

18Z RGEM starting to run now.

Based on DFW NWS radar, the ULL appears to be along the Red River right now. Is that a different counterclockwise swirl and not the ULL center?

It is modeled to dip south. Let's see if it does.

[Brent]

Sometimes a “Winter Cancel” post is nothing more than a reverse jinx play.


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I was joking about the spring comment, although... winter cancels have worked here before, just saying...

[Ralph's Weather]

Sometimes a “Winter Cancel” post is nothing more than a reverse jinx play.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

I was joking about the spring comment, although... winter cancels have worked here before, just saying...

Sure have

[gboudx]

18Z NAM is a tick better for tonight in NE TX. Has to low tracking a tad bit further south (right along I-20 now ) with a bit and more energy on the SW side of the low. Doubt it is enough to make much difference but every little bit helps.

18Z RGEM starting to run now.

Based on DFW NWS radar, the ULL appears to be along the Red River right now. Is that a different counterclockwise swirl and not the ULL center?

It is modeled to dip south. Let's see if it does.

I don't know what would allow it to drift south to near I-20, but I'm pulling for you.

[Ralph's Weather]

Based on DFW NWS radar, the ULL appears to be along the Red River right now. Is that a different counterclockwise swirl and not the ULL center?

It is modeled to dip south. Let's see if it does.

I don't know what would allow it to drift south to near I-20, but I'm pulling for you.

I really need to just suck it up and drive to NM to our place and bask in the many feet of snow they have, but there is something special about seeing it at home.

[bubba hotep]

I wonder if this could get picked up by the next system

[Ralph's Weather]

FWIW the GEPS is -EPO, -AO and +PNA for the mid month time frame. So for 12Z GEFS is our best scenario with the -PNA.

[Brent]

I wonder if this could get picked up by the next system

all hail the El Nino

[Ralph's Weather]

Heavy drizzle here.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Been snowing pretty heavy on and off all day with very little additional accumulations. The temp has recently risen to 33.

[Quixotic]

It’s worrisome that we’ve had little cold since November. The teleconnections that we all fret about looked good heading in, but the pacific has not cooperated at all. By all accounts we should not be seeing a crap EPO, But there it is. 2014-15 was a Hail Mary at the end, but even in December and January we had bouts of cold. We could flip next week but even then, it would take some time.

And lol at the SSW. All the cold air is on the other side of the globe. The SSW stuff is way overhyped.