ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2421 Postby caneseddy » Thu Jul 30, 2020 9:51 pm

11:00 pm discussion out. No changes at all to intensity or track. Still max it out at 75 mph
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2422 Postby BobHarlem » Thu Jul 30, 2020 9:54 pm

caneseddy wrote:11:00 pm discussion out. No changes at all to intensity or track. Still max it out at 75 mph


Punt until they have recon is what it seemed like to me there, which given the situation with the center, is probably the best thing to do.
Last edited by BobHarlem on Thu Jul 30, 2020 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2423 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jul 30, 2020 9:54 pm

hipshot wrote:
ozonepete wrote:
weathaguyry wrote:
Yes I am in Nassau County, Island Park to be exact. Suffolk County may get the brunt of this out east, but even sustained ts winds during high tide would be more than enough to cause a lot of issues here.



I live not far away from you in Brooklyn and have friends in Long Beach. Just stick with us here and we will help you get through this and keep your stress down. Just listen to the promets here and especially the NHC and you'll be able to make the right decisions. :)


I have 2 kids and their families in Brooklyn. My son is pretty near LaGuardia and my daughter in Bay Ridge and she is pretty near the coast. What can they
expect?


It's a valid question but it's still too early to know for sure. Meaning, it could range from nothing at all to hurricane force conditions but that would be less likely. Best thing to do is to stay tuned and up to date. No reason to make or change any immediate plans. Circumstances and longer range storm track will start to become more clear in 2-3 days.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2424 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Jul 30, 2020 9:55 pm

hipshot wrote:
ozonepete wrote:
weathaguyry wrote:
Yes I am in Nassau County, Island Park to be exact. Suffolk County may get the brunt of this out east, but even sustained ts winds during high tide would be more than enough to cause a lot of issues here.



I live not far away from you in Brooklyn and have friends in Long Beach. Just stick with us here and we will help you get through this and keep your stress down. Just listen to the promets here and especially the NHC and you'll be able to make the right decisions. :)


I have 2 kids and their families in Brooklyn. My son is pretty near LaGuardia and my daughter in Bay Ridge and she is pretty near the coast. What can they
expect?


Hipshot, it is way too early to speculate that. I'm sorry, but it's going to take a few more days before speculations of impact can really be given.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2425 Postby ozonepete » Thu Jul 30, 2020 9:59 pm

BobHarlem wrote:
caneseddy wrote:11:00 pm discussion out. No changes at all to intensity or track. Still max it out at 75 mph


Punt until they have recon is what it seemed like to me there, which given the situation with the center, is probably the best thing to do.


That's exactly what they did, and realistically, all they could do.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2426 Postby southportwxfan » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:03 pm

Looks kind of ragged right now.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2427 Postby Vdogg » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:05 pm

southportwxfan wrote:Looks kind of ragged right now.

It's already reconsolidating as it pulls away from Hispaniola.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2428 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:06 pm

southportwxfan wrote:Looks kind of ragged right now.


One word is the reason, Hispaniola but after it moves away from the island it will come back some
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2429 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:07 pm

I have a feeling Recon will find a stronger storm - and we may be looking at a Special Advisory in the next hour or so in that case? Already there are 62 kt FL winds and that is far from the center.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2430 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:07 pm

Pretty good strong flight level winds so far.

025930 2027N 07023W 8423 01584 0125 +388 +388 119058 060 /// /// 03
030000 2027N 07025W 8429 01580 0120 +399 +399 112059 062 /// /// 03
030030 2027N 07028W 8427 01576 0121 +404 +404 106055 061 /// /// 03
030100 2027N 07030W 8412 01593 0111 +413 +413 105052 055 /// /// 03
030130 2027N 07032W 8427 01576 0105 +421 +421 102053 055 /// /// 03
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2431 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:09 pm

caneseddy wrote:11:00 pm discussion out. No changes at all to intensity or track. Still max it out at 75 mph


That was a very boring discussion, almost like a copy a paste from previous discussion.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2432 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:10 pm

NDG wrote:
caneseddy wrote:11:00 pm discussion out. No changes at all to intensity or track. Still max it out at 75 mph


That was a very boring discussion, almost like a copy a paste from previous discussion.


First discussion I can recall where the "Key Points" section is longer than the body of the discussion. Like someone else said, this was a total punt.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2433 Postby MGC » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:11 pm

I don't expect much overnight as Isaias is still close to Hispaniola. Tomorrow should get a better idea what Isaias is going to do intensity wise.....MGC
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2434 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:11 pm

NDG wrote:
caneseddy wrote:11:00 pm discussion out. No changes at all to intensity or track. Still max it out at 75 mph


That was a very boring discussion, almost like a copy a paste from previous discussion.


Yeah, they kicked the can down the road on that one. Just not enough solid information to make any substantial changes. They'll wait for fresh recon and see what it looks like once it clears the coast and gathers back some steam.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2435 Postby Hammy » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:11 pm

Looks like it might be south, rather than west, of the building CDO and mid-level circulation.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2436 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:15 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I have a feeling Recon will find a stronger storm - and we may be looking at a Special Advisory in the next hour or so in that case? Already there are 62 kt FL winds and that is far from the center.


agreed.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2437 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:15 pm

Stronger winds than earlier estimated.

031130 2029N 07115W 8429 01550 0080 +170 +170 118051 051 054 007 00
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2438 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:16 pm

Recon should be making a center pass in the next 20ish minutes.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2439 Postby tiger_deF » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:21 pm

I don't understand this storm, it looks great and is still an open wave but now looks like a ragged mess and is now potentially a hurricane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2440 Postby artist » Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:23 pm

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