ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Stormybajan]

recon flew around the huge tower.. probably for good reason..

very like there is hail/graupel in there..

At this rate tomorrow morning Jamaica is going to be absolutely flooded! Atleast on the east side

[gatorcane]

Impressive blowup indeed

[eastcoastFL]

recon flew around the huge tower.. probably for good reason..

very like there is hail/graupel in there..

What is graupel?

Definition of graupel
: granular snow pellets
— called also soft hail

Thanks. Probably something a plane would want to avoid. Sounds more like a tornado than a hurricane. Do you remember any hail from the canes we’ve had?

[eastcoastFL]

Impressive blowup indeed

https://i.postimg.cc/qMGyksPg/goes16-ir-05-L-202107032305.gif

Wow and she really is going to slip between the islands too. Still going to be a rough night in Jamaica , Haiti and Cuba .

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

[InfernoFlameCat]

What is graupel?

Definition of graupel
: granular snow pellets
— called also soft hail

Thanks. Probably something a plane would want to avoid. Sounds more like a tornado than a hurricane. Do you remember any hail from the canes we’ve had?

iota had hail

[fci]

Guys I love this site but y’all are losing sleep on a tropical storm, if this was august then game on

This is a site that attracts storm enthusiasts so people are going to be amped about any storm; TD, TS or Hurricane when it’s track includes highly populated areas.
We’re not too cool, looking at the calendar and filtering storms out.

[eastcoastFL]

LLC is now by the deep convection, it should start deepening on the next few passes.

https://i.imgur.com/vFmvUBR.png

Looks like so far the strongest wind has been 49kts on this mission. Am I reading the data right?

[toad strangler]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

I'm always wary of these blowups that can just collapse as fast as they come in a struggling cyclone.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

Center relocation

[SFLcane]

 https://twitter.com/derekortt/status/1411496350198403072

[Michele B]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

You think she looks more disorganized??

I think she looks healthier than she has all day.

[eastcoastFL]

Definition of graupel
: granular snow pellets
— called also soft hail

Thanks. Probably something a plane would want to avoid. Sounds more like a tornado than a hurricane. Do you remember any hail from the canes we’ve had?

iota had hail

Where did Iota make landfall? That’s crazy. Maybe I just missed it during some hurricane since I’m hunkered down when it gets real bad.

[Stormybajan]

Impressive blowup indeed

https://i.postimg.cc/qMGyksPg/goes16-ir-05-L-202107032305.gif

I cant remember ever seeing PURPLE before

[ElectricStorm]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

You think she looks more disorganized??

I think she looks healthier than she has all day.

Just because it's a big blowup doesn't always mean it's organizing

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

You think she looks more disorganized??

I think she looks healthier than she has all day.

Does Elsa *look* better on satellite? Yes.

But recon has just shown that, at least on the first pass, the internals are still a mess.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

You think she looks more disorganized??

I think she looks healthier than she has all day.

oh no she is extremely disorganized. At one point may have had no closed center. She had to destroy her annoying llc to achieve her true potential. Lmao but for real yeah she undergoing center relocation I think

[ElectricStorm]

Could this be a CCC pattern? I'm not great at identifying those but I'm wondering if this may be one.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Wow what a tower. That is serious convection. Wow

[eastcoastFL]

Obviously, we need to wait for the recon to sample the rest of the storm, but Elsa is somehow even more disorganized than it was a few hours ago. Pressures around 1005mb, 40-45 knot winds maximum.

You think she looks more disorganized??

I think she looks healthier than she has all day.

Just because it's a big blowup doesn't always mean it's organizing

That’s true. But from a visual standpoint she’s looking better right now on IR (which can be deceiving) than she has all day. Wait and see time.