ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Re:

#2441 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:00 pm

Jevo wrote:
Alyono wrote:making a north wobble. This is coming inland soon


Going to make my untrained prediction based on the last four hours of extrapolated movement.. Looks like initial landfall is Moorehead City


if it wobbles anymore left.. may go right over the radar..


the other buoy updated.. 978 pressure with 25 mph wind s like the center down around 975
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re:

#2442 Postby ozonepete » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:00 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:Will this be upgraded before landfall


Can't see how. Too much land interaction and looks like more dry air getting sucked in on the northwestern side.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145313
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2443 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:02 pm

...ARTHUR BECOMES A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.2N 77.1W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 110 MI...165 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Tstormwatcher
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3086
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 7:31 pm
Location: New Bern, NC

#2444 Postby Tstormwatcher » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:03 pm

Our local TV met just said it has been upgraded to cat 2.
0 likes   

seahawkjd
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:12 pm
Location: Morehead City, NC
Contact:

Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2445 Postby seahawkjd » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:03 pm

Just upgraded to a category 2 according to local media.
0 likes   
Gloria, Hugo, Emily, Bertha, Bonnie, Dennis (twice), Fran, Floyd, Isabel, Irene, Arthur, Matthew, Florence, Dorian (and many tropical storms and nor'easters).

User avatar
ronjon
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4822
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 5:17 pm
Location: Hernando Beach, FL

Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2446 Postby ronjon » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:03 pm

Now 100 mph storm.
0 likes   

hurricanekid416
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 179
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2012 2:43 pm

Re: Re:

#2447 Postby hurricanekid416 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:03 pm

ozonepete wrote:
hurricanekid416 wrote:Will this be upgraded before landfall


Can't see how. Too much land interaction and looks like more dry air getting sucked in on the northwestern side.

Spoke too soon lol
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

seahawkjd
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:12 pm
Location: Morehead City, NC
Contact:

Re:

#2448 Postby seahawkjd » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:04 pm

Tstormwatcher wrote:Our local TV met just said it has been upgraded to cat 2.


LoL we both heard Skip and posted at the same time.
0 likes   
Gloria, Hugo, Emily, Bertha, Bonnie, Dennis (twice), Fran, Floyd, Isabel, Irene, Arthur, Matthew, Florence, Dorian (and many tropical storms and nor'easters).

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: Re:

#2449 Postby ozonepete » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:05 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:
ozonepete wrote:
hurricanekid416 wrote:Will this be upgraded before landfall


Can't see how. Too much land interaction and looks like more dry air getting sucked in on the northwestern side.

Spoke too soon lol


Lol get out the crow. :oops:
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Re:

#2450 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:05 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:
ozonepete wrote:
hurricanekid416 wrote:Will this be upgraded before landfall


Can't see how. Too much land interaction and looks like more dry air getting sucked in on the northwestern side.

Spoke too soon lol


lol .. it was on the threshold with those last obs.... could have gone either way
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2907
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

#2451 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:07 pm

I personally think it looked better this afternoon.
Last edited by hurricanes1234 on Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2452 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:08 pm

Four tornado warnings in eastern NC

Image
0 likes   

Time_Zone
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 251
Joined: Sat May 08, 2010 4:15 am

#2453 Postby Time_Zone » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:08 pm

Good ol' Arthur finally made it to category 2 status. :P Didn't think he had it in him.
0 likes   

MaineWeatherNut
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 225
Joined: Sun Sep 01, 2013 5:06 pm

#2454 Postby MaineWeatherNut » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:09 pm

Looks to me like all the land interaction is doing is helping to tighten up the core...
0 likes   
The content of this post does NOT constitute official forecast and should not be used as such. They are the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or Storm2K. For official information, please refer to the local meteorological centers of respective areas.

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2455 Postby MGC » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:10 pm

Looks like the radar eye is contracting.....perhaps has a bit more to intensify. Hold on to your hat in Hatteras......MG
0 likes   

hurricanekid416
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 179
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2012 2:43 pm

Re:

#2456 Postby hurricanekid416 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:12 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:I personally think it looked better this afternoon.

Looks can be deceiving especially with Arthur
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#2457 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:13 pm

Bouy 41036 now reporting 29 foot waves and a pressure of 978mb, pretty much in the eye now.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#2458 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:13 pm

925mb 581m (1,906 ft) 21.2°C (70.2°F) 21.2°C (70.2°F) 180° (from the S) 105 knots (121 mph)


The higher winds are up there.. need the heavy convection to bring it down
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

#2459 Postby Alyono » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:14 pm

may be time to consider a Hurricane Watch for SE MA
0 likes   

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re:

#2460 Postby ozonepete » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:14 pm

MaineWeatherNut wrote:Looks to me like all the land interaction is doing is helping to tighten up the core...


Hmm, surprised you would say that cause I've been loving your posts. :) But I think that without the land interaction it would have made it to high 2 or even a 3. The core is tightening but there's a big slug of dry air starting to wrap into the core from overland...
0 likes   


Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests