NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Josh Morgerman is around here for reference:

See arrow.

[AnnularCane]

892mb/160kt it is. Unreal.

MIATCUAT3

...CATASTROPHIC WINDS MOVING ONSHORE SOUTHERN JAMAICA...
...LAST CHANCE TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...

Don't see that in an advisory too often.

[tallywx]

Josh Morgerman is around here for reference:
https://i.imgur.com/9tM5Voe.jpeg
See arrow.

The current northward jog may cause him to miss the calm eye unless it wobbles back. We need his data for perhaps the lowest ground MSLP report in the Atlantic basin.

[GCANE]

VDM from Kermit as he heads back to the barn

A. Time of Center Fix: 28th day of the month at 13:46:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17.69N 78.05W
B. Center Fix Location: 85 statute miles (136 km) to the WSW (254°) from Kingston, Jamaica.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,170m (7,119ft) at 700mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 895mb (26.43 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 90° at 7kts (From the E at 8mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: Not Available
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound (Undecoded): NA
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 57° at 160kts (From the ENE at 184.1mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 7 nautical miles to the NW/NNW (326°) of center fix at 13:44:19Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: Not Available
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound (Undecoded): NA
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 279° at 172kts (From the W at 197.9mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 8 nautical miles to the S (173°) of center fix at 13:51:06Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,041m (9,977ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,391m (11,125ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 12°C (54°F)

[GCANE]

Eyewall now on shore

[Travorum]

Comment from the VDM:

EXPERIENCED SEVERE TURBULENCE INBOUND FROM SE AND EYEWALL HAD SAWTOOTH APPEARANCE ON ALL SIDES BUT NW

[ScottNAtlanta]

892mb/160kt it is. Unreal.

MIATCUAT3

...CATASTROPHIC WINDS MOVING ONSHORE SOUTHERN JAMAICA...
...LAST CHANCE TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...

Don't see that in an advisory too often.

This is a prolonged F5 tornado in effect.

[CrazyC83]

Every wobble matters now for towns along the coast and inland. It could be the difference between a severe hurricane hit (say, cat 2 conditions) and obliteration (the eyewall and cat 5 conditions).

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Josh Morgerman is around here for reference:
https://i.imgur.com/9tM5Voe.jpeg
See arrow.

Hes going to get every bit of this. Oh boy.

The stream from TReasure Beach is horrific and its much worse where he is.

[galaxy401]

Woke up just in time to see this very historic moment. No other words right now.

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/RadarOmega/status/1983175628854849901

[Beef Stew]

Looks like landfall is going to be right at Black River

[grapealcoholic]

montego bay wobble watching now

[blueskies]

Has anyone in Pinellas had issues with reception of the Weather Channel this morning ?

I do most of my storm following on Storm2k, but sometimes turn on TWC close to landfall (although often with captioning and without the volume to avoid the hype and fast talking)

This morning we have been getting black screens and other issues. Two sets are now tuned to TWC. One has been showing a still picture of Jim Cantore for quite a while. The other is showing Nickelodeon.

[TallyTracker]

Intensifying storms are another breed as Michael proved in the Panhandle…praying for Jamaica!

[tulum07]

Where can I find the stream from Treasure Beach? Thank you.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Captured for it's historic significance

[edu2703]

Where can I find the stream from Treasure Beach? Thank you.

https://www.youtube.com/live/z2HfoQ_HMfY

[ScottNAtlanta]

Has anyone in Pinellas had issues with reception of the Weather Channel this morning ?

I do most of my storm following on Storm2k, but sometimes turn on TWC close to landfall (although often with captioning and without the volume to avoid the hype and fast talking)

This morning we have been getting black screens and other issues. Two sets are now tuned to TWC. One has been showing a still picture of Jim Cantore for quite a while. The other is showing Nickelodeon.

I was watching Fox Weather and they had pretty good coverage

[PavelGaborik10]

Will likely landfall with winds of 190+ MPH, pressure sub 888-890.

This thing is intensifying right up until landfall, we just aren't going to have the data