ATL: IKE Discussion

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Vortex
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#2501 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:06 pm

18Z Hurrciane suite major shifts to the east
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JPmia
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Re: Re:

#2502 Postby JPmia » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:07 pm

From their web site:

PORT EVERGLADES PREPARES FOR HURRICANE IKE
September 05, 2008

Port Everglades continues be open and operational while making preliminary hurricane preparations.
It is anticipated that the U.S. Coast Guard will announce a 48-hour alert at midnight on Saturday, September 6, which will require that all ships make the necessary preparations to leave the Port. Ships will not be required to leave the port until the Coast Guard sets a 24-hour alert, which depends upon storm conditions.

Landside, Port Everglades will stay open as long as it is safe for fuel trucks to drive on the road.

Today, after lessons learned from past storms, Port Everglades is more prepared than ever. FPL has installed hurricane-resistant utility poles and upgraded wiring throughout the Port to strengthen the electrical system. In addition, petroleum companies at Port Everglades have generators to continue filling trucks with gasoline and diesel fuel so deliveries can be made to local and regional retail gasoline stations.

Cruise passengers should check with their cruise lines for any schedule changes.[/quote]

Thank you, it is amazing how rumors can get out control.
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Canelaw99
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Re: Re:

#2503 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:07 pm

BocaGirl wrote:If not, I'll bring the family and all the frozen steak and ribs I bought at the Albertsons 2 fer 1 sale last week down to your place after the worst of it passes and we'll throw a big picnic.

BocaGirl
Barbara


LOL - I've got the rum & vodka :)
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Re: Re:

#2504 Postby Sabanic » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:07 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:WSW motion is still very prominent on satellite...good news for SFL...the further South it travels the better off they will be.


yep unless of course the big curve happens sooner than forecast than POW we are in it and my generator idea has failed



I say Further SW th more Chance and room for Recurve..


The question will be how far west and how far south when the recurve begins if there is a true recurve, how much of a recurve will there be . . . and on and on . .
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Re:

#2505 Postby AtlanticWind » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:08 pm

Vortex wrote:18Z Hurrciane suite major shifts to the east

Link ?
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#2506 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:08 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html


It's definitely WSW...right on the NHC's projections.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2507 Postby mpic » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:09 pm

What a difference a few hours make! I was planning to unpack this weekend, but maybe hold off a few? Figure, though, Rita hit in mid to late September.

Am I right that I need to watch the High pressure over TX?
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2508 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:09 pm

max mayfield on channel 10 miami 4 pm friday

People making way too big of a deal about the earlier shift south, this is a threat to sofla and the keys, they showed ike if it hit the current forecast in the keys and it shows how much of sofla would be influenced by ike, wind fields forecasted to expand, ts winds to expand to 160 miles out. max went over the models and explained how the consensus works, he says likely that major hurricane affecting the keys and south florida, people in the keys better take this one seriously due to potential high storm surge, hurricane center tries and keeps the track steady instead of going back and forth like a windshield wiper.
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Re: Re:

#2509 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:10 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:
Vortex wrote:18Z Hurrciane suite major shifts to the east

Link ?


Image

I wouldn't call it a major shift but South Florida is definitely still at high risk(I never thought they weren't)

Very Donna-like
Last edited by Brent on Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2510 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:10 pm

Agreed Sanibel I see 255-260 as well, maybe closer to 260 at the present moment, I can see why some think its heading westerly without a clear eye anymore its not as easy to tell, center at 23N 64W pretty much right on the NHC track.

By the way for those in the Turks and Caicos, Ike is about 36hrs away now, best have any preparations left to do done soon and to follow offical guidence.
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#2511 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:11 pm

:uarrow:

Who's to say they won't be tightly clustered on the SE Coast of FL 24 hours from now?

You just don't know, 24 hours ago they were tightly clustered on the SE Coast of FL
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2512 Postby Pearl River » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:11 pm

000
WTNT64 KNHC 051748
TCUAT4
HURRICANE IKE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
200 PM AST FRI SEP 05 2008


AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.


NO OTHER CHANGES ARE REQUIRED FROM THE 1100 AM ADVISORY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
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Re: Re:

#2513 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:12 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:
Vortex wrote:18Z Hurrciane suite major shifts to the east

Link ?


link?
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#2514 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:13 pm

Florida Keys to evacuate starting tomorrow for the visitors and Sunday for the residents. It's mandatory, not voluntary. Ike's threat is being taken very serious.
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Re:

#2515 Postby CourierPR » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:14 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html


It's definitely WSW...right on the NHC's projections.


It's clearly west per NHC and satellite.
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#2516 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:14 pm

That guy is trippin..18Z guidance out at 3? Gimme a break. Next. :lol:
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Re:

#2517 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:14 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Florida Keys to evacuate starting tomorrow for the visitors and Sunday for the residents. It's mandatory, not voluntary. Ike's threat is being taken very serious.


MAX Mayfield mentioned the 1925 FL Keys hurricane brought an 18ft storm surge. :eek:
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#2518 Postby loxahatchee13 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:15 pm

can someone post the last model picture with the current one like another poster did a couple pages back please
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2519 Postby Trader Ron » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:16 pm

jlauderdal wrote:max mayfield on channel 10 miami 4 pm friday

People making way too big of a deal about the earlier shift south, this is a threat to sofla and the keys, they showed ike if it hit the current forecast in the keys and it shows how much of sofla would be influenced by ike, wind fields forecasted to expand, ts winds to expand to 160 miles out. max went over the models and explained how the consensus works, he says likely that major hurricane affecting the keys and south florida, people in the keys better take this one seriously due to potential high storm surge, hurricane center tries and keeps the track steady instead of going back and forth like a windshield wiper.


When Max speaks. I listen.

:double:
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Re: Re:

#2520 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 3:16 pm

CourierPR wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html


It's definitely WSW...right on the NHC's projections.


It's clearly west per NHC and satellite.


Per NHC?


IKE HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTH OF WEST DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...ABOUT
260/14.


You keep seeing WHATEVER it is you wanna see friend. I'll see the facts.
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