ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

NHC has it at 105mph over land so a high end Cat 2 landfall is still not out of the question. Destructive storm no matter what Category it is though

[Blinhart]

Just saw that. The cat is literally trying to crawl up his leg. He needs to rescue the cat. He seems very fond of him. Love it!!

And call it Delta!!

Or call it Cat 2 (especially if he has another cat).

A sheriff deputy took it.

[jhpigott]

I know Delta is on a slightish weakening trend, but has the wind field spread out some?

[Steve]

I know Delta is on a slightish weakening trend, but has the wind field spread out some?

This is from 7am
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... 0#contents

[ConvergenceZone]

NHC has it at 105mph over land so a high end Cat 2 landfall is still not out of the question. Destructive storm no matter what Category it is though

They mentioned that these numbers could come down on the next advisory, being that this is probably weaker than 115 mph. Probably close to 105 right now....

[sphelps8681]

The storm seems very west sided to me. Any thoughts.

[texsn95]

With the way this year has gone, I'm surprised it's not rotating clockwise.

[Steve]

The storm seems very west sided to me. Any thoughts.

W/NW/N/NE/E it looks like to me. We're missing Lake Charles radar, but you see this kind of setup sometimes with storms moving up the US Atlantic Coast next to a trough where the trough can wring out and focus rainfall on the NW and W sides of a system whereas other times those don't have that much weather.

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/s ... y_loop.php

Not much here today. It's mostly grey with low clouds moving by and occasional drizzle. Maybe we'll see a little more action later tonight if one of the feeders either builds across or if the main feeder band crosses us as the storm pulls NE.

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

I do find it quite interesting how willing people are to downplay this system when it's still a borderline major hurricane, packing a large, devastating surge and an impressive windfield, that will only weaken slightly in terms of max winds (which will still be at or above 100 mph) approaching an already storm-weary area.

We've already seen heavy flooding in the outer bands, 50kt winds moving ashore, and the threat that many mets and the NHC have been warning about with this system start to come to fruition. Do not let your guard down just because it is going to be weakening on approach; this will still be a nasty hit for the Gulf Coast, and anyone who is suggesting that this mild weakening is somehow going to result in it having exponentially less impact should be ignored.

Stay safe, everyone.

[galvbay]

Posting from Smith Point...north side of Galveston Bay.
Winds gusting to 46mph out of the ENE. Intermittent rain. .91” rain.

[Stormcenter]

Very good post. TY

I do find it quite interesting how willing people are to downplay this system when it's still a borderline major hurricane, packing a large, devastating surge and an impressive windfield, that will only weaken slightly in terms of max winds (which will still be at or above 100 mph) approaching an already storm-weary area.

We've already seen heavy flooding in the outer bands, 50kt winds moving ashore, and the threat that many mets and the NHC have been warning about with this system start to come to fruition. Do not let your guard down just because it is going to be weakening on approach; this will still be a nasty hit for the Gulf Coast, and anyone who is suggesting that this mild weakening is somehow going to result in it having exponentially less impact should be ignored.

Stay safe, everyone.

[cheezyWXguy]

It’s interesting to me that radar velocities are consistently about 10mph lower on the Houston radar than they were in Sally at landfall on the Mobile radar, and the distance to the radar site is a lot larger now, resulting in further reduction to the surface. Either Delta isn’t a cat3 right now or this is further evidence Sally was. While I still believe Sally should be upped to a 3, I think it’s much more likely the former.

[SoupBone]

Decent wind gusts in NW Harris county, but nothing to write home about...yet.

[supercane4867]

Did Delta knock out a buoy?

 https://twitter.com/jwsmith_056/status/1314588244840009736

[Stormgodess]

Winds blew an 18 wheeler over on I-10, now blocking one of the main evacuation routes away from Delta. Traffic was already a bumper to bumper crawl prior to this.

https://i.postimg.cc/pTwZRDPC/Delta10.png

It might not of been wind, he might of been going to fast, that is actually a pretty sharp curve (might not look like it).

I manage tractor-trailers and it typically takes a stronger wind to blow one over, even if it's empty, than Lake Charles is currently reporting.

That said, I wouldn't have any of my guys in the Lake Charles area this morning.

Either in the Delta update, or the Traffic update on WGNO 99,5 New Orleans... The guy reporting said blown over by winds ?? I dont know if he was correct or not. Just shared what was said

[sphelps8681]

The storm seems very west sided to me. Any thoughts.

W/NW/N/NE/E it looks like to me. We're missing Lake Charles radar, but you see this kind of setup sometimes with storms moving up the US Atlantic Coast next to a trough where the trough can wring out and focus rainfall on the NW and W sides of a system whereas other times those don't have that much weather.

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/s ... y_loop.php

Not much here today. It's mostly grey with low clouds moving by and occasional drizzle. Maybe we'll see a little more action later tonight if one of the feeders either builds across or if the main feeder band crosses us as the storm pulls NE.

Here in Lumberton N of Beaumont have been getting some nice rain and wind.

[MOGSY31]

Crowley Louisiana

Raining pretty heavy and constant now, wind gusts are picking up and more frequent

[PTrackerLA]

Picking up here now, rain has really socked into and probably gusting to around 30mph. Just got out for the last time today and saw the weather channel crew . Latest HRRR is showing 8 hours of gusts over hurricane force starting after 4pm. Also noticing it looks like we almost get into the center and receive a period on heavy gusts from the W and NW on the "backside." We'll see what happens, sometimes it's on for events like this and sometimes way off.

[Nimbus]

It might not of been wind, he might of been going to fast, that is actually a pretty sharp curve (might not look like it).

I manage tractor-trailers and it typically takes a stronger wind to blow one over, even if it's empty, than Lake Charles is currently reporting.

That said, I wouldn't have any of my guys in the Lake Charles area this morning.

I 10 was reported gridlocked last night however the old highway 90 which parallels it was moving.

Either in the Delta update, or the Traffic update on WGNO 99,5 New Orleans... The guy reporting said blown over by winds ?? I dont know if he was correct or not. Just shared what was said

[Ian2401]

god this thread is dead for a cat 2/3 bearing down on the Gulf Coast.