Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

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Itryatgolf
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2521 Postby Itryatgolf » Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:22 pm

Hopefully we can get another cold pattern that favors cold and better storminess for us and hopefully not waste it all on warm weather in January
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2522 Postby Quixotic » Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:22 pm

Models often erode cold air too quickly, particularly one of this magnitude.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2523 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:25 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:Hopefully we can get another cold pattern that favors cold and better storminess for us and hopefully not waste it all on warm weather in January


Masiello is on board with a brief warm up before we go coolish again in January.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2524 Postby Quixotic » Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:25 pm

I’m with the camp of those who believe that a weak polar jet means opportunities. We will know in a couple of weeks if the polar jet/vortex remains this way. I really like the -AO.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2525 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:28 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Abdullah wrote:D****n

At 2:30 PM today CST the National Weather Service forecasted that the low tonight in Oklahoma City would be 28°F.

As of 8:00 PM today CST it reached 27°F.

OKC East on Mesonet is down to 25°F


How many miles is OKC from you? And are you south of there? East?
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2526 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:48 pm

Will be wild tomorrow evening in Oklahoma. Delineation would put some places 30s and a few miles down the road less than 10F.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2527 Postby orangeblood » Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:08 pm

Ntxw wrote:Will be wild tomorrow evening in Oklahoma. Delineation would put some places 30s and a few miles down the road less than 10F.

https://i.imgur.com/aJVsNmZ.png


Swimming pools freezing over with this one ?
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2528 Postby cycloneye » Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:23 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2529 Postby dpep4 » Wed Dec 21, 2022 1:15 am

Note also that wind gusts of 35-45 mph will be widespread across the area after the front crosses. This is why localized power outages are probably more likely than grid issues.


Hopefully enough other people locally lose power so that I don't lose power....
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2530 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:05 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Abdullah wrote:D****n

At 2:30 PM today CST the National Weather Service forecasted that the low tonight in Oklahoma City would be 28°F.

As of 8:00 PM today CST it reached 27°F.

OKC East on Mesonet is down to 25°F


How many miles is OKC from you? And are you south of there? East?

~40 miles to the SE, I live around 1.5 miles south of OK-9.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2531 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:26 am

Got down to 23°F as the lowest, it is currently 25°F.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2532 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:52 am

Winter Weather Advisory here for 1-2 inches. I'd be happy if that verified given the horrible trends the last couple days
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2533 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 21, 2022 6:00 am

Brent wrote:Winter Weather Advisory here for 1-2 inches. I'd be happy if that verified given the horrible trends the last couple days

It looks like they you are on the very edge of the WWA.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2534 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 21, 2022 6:00 am

Looks like the Arctic front is currently over the PNW.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2535 Postby Gotwood » Wed Dec 21, 2022 6:34 am

Iceresistance wrote:Got down to 23°F as the lowest, it is currently 25°F.

It is currently 28 here at my place near Weatherford, Tx. Very curious to see how this cold plays out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2536 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Dec 21, 2022 7:39 am

27 here in Lindale this morning with the heaviest frost of the season.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2537 Postby wxman57 » Wed Dec 21, 2022 8:35 am

Ntxw wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I haven't given up on 70s and 80s for this weekend. I never predicted that, I only wished it would happen. My wall may yet hold!


Most of us is about to experience one of the greatest cold front passages in modern times and here you are dreaming of 70s and 80s :lol:.

https://i.imgur.com/6qzJp0B.gif


Seems overly dramatic. Just a strong Canadian front that we seem to get every 5 years or so (hitting low 20s in Houston and mid-teens in DFW). Check temps in the Northern Plains. Only -15F to -30F. Not particularly cold for winter up there. Not much of a snow pack. This is nowhere close to 2021 (or 1983, 1989). Nowhere close.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2538 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Dec 21, 2022 8:41 am

wxman57 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I haven't given up on 70s and 80s for this weekend. I never predicted that, I only wished it would happen. My wall may yet hold!


Most of us is about to experience one of the greatest cold front passages in modern times and here you are dreaming of 70s and 80s :lol:.

https://i.imgur.com/6qzJp0B.gif


Seems overly dramatic. Just a strong Canadian front that we seem to get every 5 years or so (hitting low 20s in Houston and mid-teens in DFW). Check temps in the Northern Plains. Only -15F to -30F. Not particularly cold for winter up there. Not much of a snow pack. This is nowhere close to 2021 (or 1983, 1989). Nowhere close.

I thought he was referring more to the abrupt temp drop and attendant winds, more so than the magnitude of cold air. Agreed these temps aren’t unprecedented, but it doesn’t seem all that common to me to see a threat for spotty power outages with the dry passage of a cold front
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2539 Postby 3090 » Wed Dec 21, 2022 8:44 am

wxman57 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I haven't given up on 70s and 80s for this weekend. I never predicted that, I only wished it would happen. My wall may yet hold!


Most of us is about to experience one of the greatest cold front passages in modern times and here you are dreaming of 70s and 80s :lol:.


https://i.imgur.com/6qzJp0B.gif


Seems overly dramatic. Just a strong Canadian front that we seem to get every 5 years or so (hitting low 20s in Houston and mid-teens in DFW). Check temps in the Northern Plains. Only -15F to -30F. Not particularly cold for winter up there. Not much of a snow pack. This is nowhere close to 2021 (or 1983, 1989). Nowhere close.


ONLY -15F to -30F? That is funny. But of course, it is up in the most northern reaches of the country. But still… :cold: :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2540 Postby DonWrk » Wed Dec 21, 2022 8:53 am

Dense freezing fog here. Must be very localized since there’s no advisories up.
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