Texas Winter 2016-2017

Winter Weather Discussion

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South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2541 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Dec 31, 2016 12:24 am

Who's staying up for the Euro tonight? It starts running in about 30 minutes.

Will it hold serve or trend towards the 0z GFS and CMC?
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2542 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Dec 31, 2016 12:27 am

South Texas Storms wrote:Who's staying up for the Euro tonight? It starts running in about 30 minutes.

Will it hold serve or trend towards the 0z GFS and CMC?


I'm going to finish this whiskey and then hit the bed. LSU plays early tomorrow!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2543 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 31, 2016 12:33 am

I'll be up to watch the Euro meteogram at least, then we'll see how interesting it is.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2544 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:22 am

Looks like (at least through 120hrs) Euro is trending with the GFS
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2545 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:23 am

Ntxw wrote:Looks like (at least through 120hrs) Euro is trending with the GFS


Yep, I'm noticing that as well. 0z runs have not been good to us who want frozen precip next week...
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2546 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:25 am

Wednesday is dry and in the 40s. No precip through Thursday morning. DFW does hit 32 barely Thursday morning. Highs around 40 Thursday, still dry.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2547 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:30 am

I don't buy the models right now. They're on something really good if you get what I mean. Plus we're kinda in that medium range where they often lose the cold. It'll most likely come back in a couple days & it wouldn't surprise me if someone gets some winter fun out of this. Gotta have some faith. It just doesn't make any sense whatsoever to show the type of cold it was showing (pretty consistently btw from hour 384 on in) and then nothing comes out of it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2548 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:30 am

Brent wrote:Wednesday is dry and in the 40s. No precip through Thursday morning. DFW does hit 32 barely Thursday morning. Highs around 40 Thursday, still dry.


It's going to be a dry run. System is off the coast of Oregon. Core of the cold looks shunted north and east
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2549 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:33 am

I have this feeling it's gonna crush the same areas the GFS crushed... :roll:

Or not have much of a storm at all...
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2550 Postby AggieSpirit » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:38 am

This is my last winter in Texas for the foreseeable future. Moving to Minneapolis Metro area in late February.

I don't know if I should wishcast for a Texas Snowstorm this winter OR if a few years in Minneapolis will make me hate the snow and ice......

I have never lived anywhere else, so snow machines, ice fishing, and pond hockey will be new experiences for us.

As for Texas this winter...... I'll believe it will snow or ice when I see it actually happening. Harold Taft - oh how we need you now!
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2551 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:41 am

Euro is much warmer... barely freezes at DFW and already warming up Friday Night

Mid 50s next Saturday!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2552 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:44 am

Man what a shift in the models tonight. We'll see if it's just a blip or a trend tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2553 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:47 am

South Texas Storms wrote:Man what a shift in the models tonight. We'll see if it's just a blip or a trend tomorrow.


Luckily it is 120+ hours away still but man it's been a rough evening after the past few days :lol:. The models tonight wants to amplify the northern wave a lot and everything gets dragged to the east vs south, while pinching off the system in the NW. Where is the southeast ridge when you need it? :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2554 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 31, 2016 1:53 am

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Man what a shift in the models tonight. We'll see if it's just a blip or a trend tomorrow.


Luckily it is 120+ hours away still but man it's been a rough evening after the past few days :lol:. The models tonight wants to amplify the northern wave a lot and everything gets dragged to the east vs south, while pinching off the system in the NW. Where is the southeast ridge when you need it? :lol:


yeah I'm a little annoyed atm that the neverending southeast ridge up til now magically goes away and wrecks our setup lol

Fortunately it is that far out. Could be a totally different solution tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2555 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Dec 31, 2016 4:02 am

Will need to monitor for Severe thunderstorms with all modes of severe weather possible across Texas New Years Day extending East into Louisiana on Monday.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2556 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 31, 2016 5:19 am

And the 6z GFS is kinda back with the snow in the southern plains :roll:...yeah lets wait until Sun-Monday before believing anything. Way too chaotic and moving parts that yet to really exist.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2557 Postby wxman57 » Sat Dec 31, 2016 8:01 am

As you can all see, I'm having some luck adjusting the southern U.S. thermostat upwards for next week. Perhaps in another day or two I'll be able to get rid of that nasty Arctic air completely.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2558 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Dec 31, 2016 9:00 am

wxman57 wrote:As you can all see, I'm having some luck adjusting the southern U.S. thermostat upwards for next week. Perhaps in another day or two I'll be able to get rid of that nasty Arctic air completely.

I know Reliant is headquartered in Houston, but Matthew McConaughey would be very displeased if you were trying to manipulate Texas weather with your Nest Thermostat.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2559 Postby Snowman67 » Sat Dec 31, 2016 9:07 am

We must kidnap Wxman57 to get his hands off of the controls. We will return him safely in mid March. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#2560 Postby Tireman4 » Sat Dec 31, 2016 9:11 am

wxman57 wrote:As you can all see, I'm having some luck adjusting the southern U.S. thermostat upwards for next week. Perhaps in another day or two I'll be able to get rid of that nasty Arctic air completely.



HA!
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