Texas Winter 2013-2014

[Jarodm12]

we have about 6 hours until heavy precip falls. I wonder if the front continues southward and dose not stall. Wouldn't this be a sufficient amount of time to allow cold air advection to drop our temps to freezing or lower? If the cold air was stronger than expected how do we know the front will stall?

freezing line is advancing now at Gainesville to Decatur

[KatDaddy]

Its currently 33F at Decatur Municipal Airport which is not far away from Roanoke.

[Jarodm12]

with a freezing line advancing i wouldn't be surprised to see advisory's go up in the N Texas area we have on the order of 4-6 hours until precip ramps up

[katheria]

just a nice much needed cold rain at least for my area

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Rain at this point may rise temps due to the shallow nature of this front correct?

[Jarodm12]

Katheria you just dropped to 39 7 more degrees freezing and the freezing line is advancing.

[gboudx]

It would be very surprising for any freezing precip in the DFW area. Wxman57s sounding showed how shallow this air is. If anything I can see the rain warming the surface instead of cooling it.

[TheProfessor]

It is now 33 degrees here.

[SnowintheFalls]

Is this a significant weather event for the Wichita Falls area or is the situation still a wait and see scenario?

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[ravyrn]

Is this a significant weather event for the Wichita Falls area or is the situation still a wait and see scenario?

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Graphic from NWS Norman

[texas1836]

It would be very surprising for any freezing precip in the DFW area. Wxman57s sounding showed how shallow this air is. If anything I can see the rain warming the surface instead of cooling it.

Temperatures will rise with the rain and that’s ok, we REALLY need the rain. With the ground still full of moisture it’ll help fill the reservoirs much quicker. Most of the folks here feed off of Lake Lavon (Collin County). The lake can’t be made any bigger, but the building still carries on along with water usage. I’m perfectly fine with this being a rain event only. This time only though, I still want my 24” of snow, and the next 2 months show hope.

[gboudx]

It would be very surprising for any freezing precip in the DFW area. Wxman57s sounding showed how shallow this air is. If anything I can see the rain warming the surface instead of cooling it.

Temperatures will rise with the rain and that’s ok, we REALLY need the rain. With the ground still full of moisture it’ll help fill the reservoirs much quicker. Most of the folks here feed off of Lake Lavon (Collin County). The lake can’t be made any bigger, but the building still carries on along with water usage. I’m perfectly fine with this being a rain event only. This time only though, I still want my 24” of snow, and the next 2 months show hope.

I know the plight very well. . We'll get the pipeline to Texoma next year to help alleviate the low water in Lavon.

[SnowintheFalls]

Is this a significant weather event for the Wichita Falls area or is the situation still a wait and see scenario?

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Graphic from NWS Norman

Thanks for the update. I really hope this doesn't turn out to be a major icing event. We are not prepared for that right now!

[wxman57]

wxman57 would you be surprised, or to what degree of surprised would you be if dfw saw freezing rain? heart attack fall over surprised? or within the realm of possibility surprised?

I'd be glad it's you and not me getting it. Just finished a 30 mile bike ride to downtown for dinner and to look at Christmas lights. A few light showers but with the temperature at 74 degrees it wasn't cold at all.

There's certainly no snow in Texas. Take a look at the sounding from near Wichita Falls below. Temperature near 60 degrees at 4000 ft above the surface - almost a 30 degree increase from the surface. Can't have snow with that sounding, and it's the same all across Texas in the cold air.

[SnowintheFalls]

While we have some slight icing on some vehicles it is mostly just rain here in Wichita Falls. We are teetering on freezing temps but doesn't look like we are going to get anything too severe thank goodness.

[Parker_County1]

Drizzle is freezing to the tops of the cars parked on the street at my house in Weatherford.

[Jarodm12]

Temp still dropping across dfw. many are 35 degrees or lower. Our dew points range from 30-34 degrees. we are 3 degrees away from freezing and perhaps an hour away from heavy precip. Im interested to see how this pans out

[SouthernMet]

Fort Worth officially down to 32. Mineral Wells, Graham, Decatur are all below freezing already. But remember, temps may actually rise at the onset of the heavy precip. Nonetheless, models still handled this very poorly.

[JDawg512]

Looks like the front has stalled just north of Austin putting us in the bullseye for possible severe weather overnight. Rain is increasing rapidly to the southwest too. We may see some impressive rain totals. There's nearly a 40 degree difference with 70s here and 30s behind the front.

[DougNTexas]

Stalled between Anthens and Tyler and Mineola and Gilmer. Has not moved at all in the last three or four hours. 43 in both Anthens and Mineola and 72 in both Gilmer and Tyler.