Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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#2561 Postby jpigott » Mon Aug 28, 2006 10:54 pm

is anyone posting recon data for the flight that just left biloxi
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#2562 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Aug 28, 2006 11:04 pm

505
SXXX50 KNHC 290350
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 06 KNHC
0340. 2835N 08630W 07015 0432 307 002 143 237 002 07538 0000000000
0341 2834N 08627W 07015 0430 284 002 139 241 003 07535 0000000000
0341. 2833N 08625W 07015 0427 315 002 141 239 002 07532 0000000000
0342 2832N 08622W 07015 0429 311 003 141 243 003 07534 0000000000
0342. 2831N 08620W 07015 0428 317 003 141 243 004 07534 0000000000
0343 2829N 08617W 07015 0430 313 004 141 243 004 07535 0000000000
0343. 2828N 08615W 07015 0430 329 003 139 243 003 07534 0000000000
0344 2827N 08612W 07015 0430 301 001 139 245 002 07535 0000000000
0344. 2826N 08610W 07015 0434 076 001 139 245 002 07540 0000000000
0345 2824N 08607W 07016 0437 072 003 135 247 003 07543 0000000000
0345. 2823N 08605W 07014 0436 098 003 135 247 003 07541 0000000000
0346 2822N 08602W 07015 0435 103 002 135 247 003 07540 0000000000
0346. 2821N 08600W 07016 0434 070 001 135 247 001 07539 0000000000
0347 2820N 08557W 07015 0433 001 001 137 247 002 07539 0000000000
0347. 2818N 08555W 07015 0434 030 003 139 243 003 07540 0000000000
0348 2817N 08552W 07014 0437 046 002 141 243 003 07540 0000000000
0348. 2816N 08550W 07014 0437 048 002 141 245 002 07541 0000000000
0349 2815N 08547W 07015 0437 026 001 141 247 001 07542 0000000000
0349. 2813N 08545W 07015 0438 356 001 139 247 001 07543 0000000000
0350 2812N 08542W 07015 0437 015 001 137 229 001 07543 0000000000
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#2563 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Aug 28, 2006 11:11 pm

310
SXXX50 KNHC 290400
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 07 KNHC
0350. 2811N 08540W 07016 0437 351 002 135 237 002 07544 0000000000
0351 2810N 08537W 07015 0438 350 003 135 233 003 07543 0000000000
0351. 2808N 08535W 07015 0439 347 003 135 237 004 07544 0000000000
0352 2807N 08532W 07016 0437 353 003 135 237 003 07543 0000000000
0352. 2806N 08530W 07014 0433 014 003 135 235 003 07538 0000000000
0353 2805N 08527W 07016 0432 027 003 135 235 004 07538 0000000000
0353. 2803N 08525W 07015 0432 040 003 135 237 004 07538 0000000000
0354 2802N 08523W 07015 0432 034 004 135 233 004 07537 0000000000
0354. 2801N 08520W 07016 0435 049 003 137 233 003 07541 0000000000
0355 2800N 08518W 07015 0436 068 003 135 233 003 07541 0000000000
0355. 2758N 08515W 07015 0434 076 004 135 231 004 07539 0000000000
0356 2757N 08513W 07016 0429 092 004 137 231 005 07535 0000000000
0356. 2756N 08510W 07014 0426 087 003 135 235 004 07531 0000000000
0357 2755N 08508W 07016 0426 088 004 135 235 004 07533 0000000000
0357. 2754N 08505W 07015 0423 104 003 141 235 003 07529 0000000000
0358 2752N 08503W 07015 0423 115 006 137 235 007 07528 0000000000
0358. 2751N 08501W 07016 0415 124 007 137 237 007 07521 0000000000
0359 2750N 08458W 07015 0412 130 007 135 239 007 07518 0000000000
0359. 2749N 08456W 07015 0415 127 006 135 241 006 07521 0000000000
0400 2747N 08453W 07015 0415 128 007 135 245 007 07521 0000000000

Heading SE
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#2564 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Aug 28, 2006 11:33 pm

133
SXXX50 KNHC 290430
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 10 KNHC
0420. 2705N 08312W 07015 0418 129 001 153 261 002 07523 0000000000
0421 2704N 08309W 07014 0419 031 010 151 255 016 07524 0000000000
0421. 2704N 08307W 07014 0423 038 019 149 245 020 07528 0000000000
0422 2703N 08304W 07019 0426 040 018 149 239 019 07535 0000000000
0422. 2703N 08301W 07015 0428 059 018 149 223 019 07533 0000000000
0423 2702N 08259W 07014 0427 063 020 147 219 020 07532 0000000000
0423. 2702N 08256W 07015 0430 074 019 145 213 020 07536 0000000000
0424 2701N 08254W 07016 0432 070 016 145 211 016 07538 0000000000
0424. 2701N 08251W 07016 0433 091 015 147 207 015 07540 0000000000
0425 2700N 08248W 07015 0434 096 015 151 203 015 07541 0000000000
0425. 2659N 08246W 07014 0439 097 016 151 203 019 07544 0000000000
0426 2659N 08243W 07016 0442 094 020 151 203 020 07550 0000000000
0426. 2658N 08241W 07015 0442 107 019 151 197 020 07548 0000000000
0427 2658N 08238W 07015 0443 096 018 151 199 019 07549 0000000000
0427. 2657N 08236W 07015 0443 088 020 151 195 020 07549 0000000000
0428 2657N 08233W 07015 0442 088 020 153 199 021 07548 0000000000
0428. 2655N 08231W 07015 0442 085 020 147 201 020 07548 0000000000
0429 2653N 08229W 07016 0444 083 018 147 205 018 07550 0000000000
0429. 2651N 08228W 07015 0443 086 017 153 203 018 07550 0000000000
0430 2650N 08226W 07015 0441 087 017 155 203 017 07547 0000000000

Sorry, missed the data before
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#2565 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Aug 28, 2006 11:58 pm

735
SXXX50 KNHC 290450
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 12 KNHC
0440. 2610N 08149W 07016 0407 078 021 141 245 021 07514 0000000000
0441 2609N 08148W 07016 0401 074 019 141 245 019 07508 0000000000
0441. 2607N 08146W 07015 0411 076 019 141 247 019 07517 0000000000
0442 2605N 08144W 07015 0404 073 019 141 247 019 07511 0000000000
0442. 2603N 08142W 07015 0407 064 017 145 249 017 07514 0000000000
0443 2601N 08141W 07013 0401 063 017 145 253 017 07505 0000000000
0443. 2559N 08139W 07016 0407 061 018 145 257 018 07515 0000000000
0444 2557N 08137W 07015 0416 062 018 145 257 018 07523 0000000000
0444. 2555N 08135W 07016 0393 063 018 145 257 018 07501 0000000000
0445 2553N 08134W 07015 0403 062 018 149 257 018 07509 0000000000
0445. 2551N 08132W 07016 0413 064 018 151 251 018 07520 0000000000
0446 2550N 08130W 07015 0414 070 019 151 249 020 07520 0000000000
0446. 2548N 08128W 07013 0419 072 019 151 247 019 07524 0000000000
0447 2546N 08126W 07016 0424 070 020 147 247 020 07532 0000000000
0447. 2545N 08124W 07015 0426 068 018 147 249 019 07532 0000000000
0448 2543N 08122W 07016 0421 069 019 149 247 020 07528 0000000000
0448. 2542N 08119W 07015 0414 071 019 145 245 019 07520 0000000000
0449 2541N 08117W 07015 0401 070 019 145 247 019 07508 0000000000
0449. 2539N 08115W 07017 0431 068 018 145 249 019 07540 0000000000
0450 2537N 08114W 07014 0400 071 016 145 247 016 07506 0000000000
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#2566 Postby MississippiHurricane » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:03 am

i know its off topic but THANKS TheEuropean! :)
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#2567 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:16 am

533
SXXX50 KNHC 290510
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 14 KNHC
0500. 2459N 08035W 07013 0419 066 022 155 217 023 07524 0000000000
0501 2458N 08034W 07017 0418 063 023 155 215 023 07527 0000000000
0501. 2456N 08032W 07015 0424 058 022 151 215 023 07530 0000000000
0502 2454N 08030W 07016 0425 055 024 149 213 025 07534 0000000000
0502. 2452N 08028W 07012 0425 054 025 145 217 025 07529 0000000000
0503 2450N 08026W 07017 0425 053 025 149 215 025 07535 0000000000
0503. 2448N 08025W 07014 0425 055 024 147 215 025 07531 0000000000
0504 2447N 08023W 07015 0426 056 024 151 211 025 07533 0000000000
0504. 2445N 08021W 07014 0425 060 025 153 205 026 07531 0000000000
0505 2443N 08019W 07016 0425 061 025 153 199 025 07533 0000000000
0505. 2441N 08017W 07016 0424 060 026 155 195 027 07531 0000000000
0506 2439N 08015W 06984 0423 056 027 155 189 027 07498 0000000000
0506. 2437N 08014W 06779 0410 059 028 143 179 029 07281 0000000000
0507 2435N 08012W 06510 0390 054 028 125 171 029 06990 0000000000
0507. 2434N 08010W 06226 0372 051 024 103 159 025 06682 0000000000
0508 2432N 08008W 05964 0355 041 020 085 151 022 06402 0000000000
0508. 2430N 08007W 05704 0342 041 019 065 141 019 06129 0000000000
0509 2428N 08005W 05443 0321 040 022 047 131 023 05846 0000000000
0509. 2427N 08003W 05176 0303 038 022 031 119 023 05559 0000000000
0510 2425N 08002W 04923 0281 028 021 013 105 022 05284 0000000000

Thx, I will try to post the data every 10 minutes for the next few hours.
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#2568 Postby jpigott » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:24 am

how close is the recon plane getting to the storm center
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#2569 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:28 am

641
URNT11 KNHC 290445
97779 04304 30268 82400 70200 08017 65708 /5763
RMK AF306 1305A ERNESTO OB 03
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#2570 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:39 am

211
SXXX50 KNHC 290530
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 16 KNHC
0520. 2354N 07931W 02061 0098 077 015 132 122 016 02197 0000000000
0521 2352N 07929W 01858 0086 077 018 150 130 019 01982 0000000000
0521. 2351N 07928W 01645 0073 079 019 158 146 020 01756 0000000000
0522 2350N 07927W 01542 0065 077 019 160 158 020 01645 0000000000
0522. 2349N 07926W 01527 0064 075 020 160 156 021 01628 0000000000
0523 2347N 07926W 01528 0063 074 022 160 156 023 01629 0000000000
0523. 2345N 07925W 01527 0063 073 020 160 152 022 01627 0000000000
0524 2344N 07925W 01527 0063 069 020 162 150 020 01627 0000000000
0524. 2342N 07924W 01526 0062 066 020 166 148 021 01626 0000000000
0525 2341N 07924W 01527 0062 066 021 168 140 021 01627 0000000000
0525. 2339N 07923W 01527 0062 064 021 170 136 021 01626 0000000000
0526 2338N 07923W 01527 0061 067 021 170 138 021 01625 0000000000
0526. 2336N 07922W 01526 0061 068 021 170 134 022 01624 0000000000
0527 2334N 07922W 01527 0061 064 021 170 134 021 01625 0000000000
0527. 2333N 07921W 01526 0061 066 022 170 138 022 01624 0000000000
0528 2331N 07920W 01527 0061 066 022 172 142 023 01625 0000000000
0528. 2329N 07920W 01526 0060 065 023 176 138 023 01623 0000000000
0529 2328N 07919W 01527 0060 064 023 176 136 023 01624 0000000000
0529. 2326N 07919W 01526 0059 069 023 174 136 024 01623 0000000000
0530 2325N 07918W 01527 0058 072 025 174 136 026 01623 0000000000

Nearing the storm...


705
URNT11 KNHC 290531
97779 05304 30234 79300 15300 07025 17148 /2512
RMK AF306 1305A ERNESTO OB 05
Last edited by TheEuropean on Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2571 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:40 am

211
SXXX50 KNHC 290530
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 16 KNHC
0520. 2354N 07931W 02061 0098 077 015 132 122 016 02197 0000000000
0521 2352N 07929W 01858 0086 077 018 150 130 019 01982 0000000000
0521. 2351N 07928W 01645 0073 079 019 158 146 020 01756 0000000000
0522 2350N 07927W 01542 0065 077 019 160 158 020 01645 0000000000
0522. 2349N 07926W 01527 0064 075 020 160 156 021 01628 0000000000
0523 2347N 07926W 01528 0063 074 022 160 156 023 01629 0000000000
0523. 2345N 07925W 01527 0063 073 020 160 152 022 01627 0000000000
0524 2344N 07925W 01527 0063 069 020 162 150 020 01627 0000000000
0524. 2342N 07924W 01526 0062 066 020 166 148 021 01626 0000000000
0525 2341N 07924W 01527 0062 066 021 168 140 021 01627 0000000000
0525. 2339N 07923W 01527 0062 064 021 170 136 021 01626 0000000000
0526 2338N 07923W 01527 0061 067 021 170 138 021 01625 0000000000
0526. 2336N 07922W 01526 0061 068 021 170 134 022 01624 0000000000
0527 2334N 07922W 01527 0061 064 021 170 134 021 01625 0000000000
0527. 2333N 07921W 01526 0061 066 022 170 138 022 01624 0000000000
0528 2331N 07920W 01527 0061 066 022 172 142 023 01625 0000000000
0528. 2329N 07920W 01526 0060 065 023 176 138 023 01623 0000000000
0529 2328N 07919W 01527 0060 064 023 176 136 023 01624 0000000000
0529. 2326N 07919W 01526 0059 069 023 174 136 024 01623 0000000000
0530 2325N 07918W 01527 0058 072 025 174 136 026 01623 0000000000
;

Image
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#2572 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 12:41 am

jpigott wrote:how close is the recon plane getting to the storm center


I just post a pic on the recon reports thread.
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#2573 Postby boca » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:02 am

Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on August 29, 2006


...Center of Ernesto nearing the northern coast of Cuba...

a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
Vero Beach southward on the East Coast...from Bonita Beach
southward on the West Coast...for Lake Okeechobee...and for all of
the Florida Keys...from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas.

A tropical storm watch is in effect from north of Bonita Beach
northward to Englewood on the Florida West Coast.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect from north of Vero Beach to New
Smyrna Beach on the Florida East Coast.

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Andros Island...the Berry Islands... the biminis and Grand Bahama
Island in the northwestern Bahamas.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Ragged Island and great
Exuma in the central Bahamas.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Cuban provinces
of Guantanamo...Santiago de Cuba...Granma...Holguin...Las Tunas...
and Camaguey. This warning will likely be discontinued later this
morning for the easternmost provinces of Cuba.

Interests elsewhere in the central and northwestern Bahamas should
monitor the progress of Ernesto.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 200 am EDT...0600z...the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was
located near latitude 22.2 north...longitude 78.3 west or near the
northern coast of Cuba about 20 miles...30 km...south-southeast of
canagua. This position is also about 275 miles...445 km...southeast
of Key West Florida and about 265 miles ...425 km...south-southeast
of Miami Florida.

Ernesto is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr.
A turn to the northwest is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours.
On the forecast track...Ernesto will be moving back over water
later this morning...and be near the Florida Keys by this evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected after Ernesto moves into the
Florida Straits.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible over
Haiti. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with isolated amounts up
to 10 inches are expected over eastern Cuba. Rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches with isolated amounts up to 6 inches are expected over
central Cuba. These rains could cause life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with
possible isolated amounts of 3 to 6 inches are possible over the
Bahamas. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches are possible over
portions of eastern and southern Florida and the Keys through
Wednesday.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected in areas of onshore flow within the warning area.

Repeating the 200 am EDT position...22.2 N...78.3 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...40
mph. Minimum central pressure...1007 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
500 am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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#2574 Postby boca » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:03 am

I finally beat Brent to it. :lol:
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#2575 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:08 am

245
SXXX50 KNHC 290600
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 19 KNHC
0550. 2229N 07851W 01527 0026 078 019 176 158 021 01590 0000000000
0551 2229N 07849W 01526 0029 086 016 176 158 017 01592 0000000000
0551. 2228N 07847W 01527 0032 087 018 176 160 018 01597 0000000000
0552 2228N 07846W 01527 0031 089 013 174 162 014 01595 0000000000
0552. 2227N 07844W 01527 0030 081 012 170 168 013 01595 0000000000
0553 2226N 07843W 01525 0029 081 014 176 164 015 01591 0000000000
0553. 2226N 07841W 01527 0026 081 015 180 158 015 01590 0000000000
0554 2225N 07840W 01527 0019 077 014 178 160 014 01583 0000000000
0554. 2224N 07838W 01527 0024 077 011 176 158 011 01588 0000000000
0555 2224N 07837W 01526 0026 081 009 176 156 009 01590 0000000000
0555. 2223N 07835W 01526 0026 105 008 180 148 008 01589 0000000000
0556 2222N 07834W 01526 0025 085 007 180 156 008 01589 0000000000
0556. 2222N 07832W 01527 0026 088 006 176 156 006 01590 0000000000
0557 2221N 07830W 01525 0026 119 006 174 162 007 01589 0000000000
0557. 2220N 07829W 01527 0026 115 009 172 156 009 01590 0000000000
0558 2220N 07827W 01527 0027 112 007 176 148 008 01591 0000000000
0558. 2219N 07826W 01525 0028 125 008 176 150 009 01591 0000000000
0559 2218N 07824W 01528 0027 131 008 174 152 008 01593 0000000000
0559. 2218N 07823W 01526 0026 136 008 180 150 008 01590 0000000000
0600 2217N 07821W 01525 0029 140 008 172 158 008 01592 0000000000
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#2576 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:10 am

Image
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#2577 Postby Droop12 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:19 am

So they flew into the center already? Is that why the winds are that low? When do we get the next VDM?
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#2578 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:20 am

449
SXXX50 KNHC 290610
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 20 KNHC
0600. 2216N 07820W 01527 0027 138 009 172 154 010 01592 0000000000
0601 2216N 07818W 01526 0024 143 011 174 160 011 01588 0000000000
0601. 2215N 07817W 01527 0030 143 011 172 170 011 01595 0000000000
0602 2214N 07815W 01524 0031 149 013 166 166 013 01592 0000000000
0602. 2213N 07814W 01529 0031 151 014 166 160 015 01597 0000000000
0603 2213N 07812W 01526 0030 152 014 166 162 014 01593 0000000000
0603. 2212N 07810W 01526 0030 152 014 166 158 015 01594 0000000000
0604 2212N 07809W 01527 0030 155 015 162 156 015 01595 0000000000
0604. 2211N 07807W 01526 0030 155 014 164 150 015 01594 0000000000
0605 2210N 07806W 01526 0030 155 014 166 156 014 01594 0000000000
0605. 2210N 07804W 01527 0031 158 014 166 156 014 01595 0000000000
0606 2209N 07803W 01526 0031 154 016 166 148 017 01594 0000000000
0606. 2208N 07801W 01526 0027 154 017 170 148 017 01591 0000000000
0607 2208N 07800W 01526 0025 150 018 170 148 018 01589 0000000000
0607. 2207N 07758W 01527 0030 153 018 174 142 019 01594 0000000000
0608 2206N 07757W 01527 0026 154 019 178 132 019 01591 0000000000
0608. 2206N 07755W 01525 0022 150 022 176 146 023 01584 0000000000
0609 2205N 07754W 01528 0023 158 022 172 152 023 01588 0000000000
0609. 2204N 07753W 01527 0024 161 022 176 152 022 01588 0000000000
0610 2204N 07751W 01526 0017 161 023 174 150 023 01580 0000000000
;


Image
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#2579 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:25 am

Droop12 wrote:So they flew into the center already? Is that why the winds are that low? When do we get the next VDM?


They are flying offshore. They won't go into the center until it moves offshore.
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#2580 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:36 am

240
SXXX50 KNHC 290620
AF306 1305A ERNESTO HDOB 21 KNHC
0610. 2203N 07750W 01527 0030 161 023 172 154 023 01594 0000000000
0611 2202N 07748W 01526 0036 162 023 170 150 024 01600 0000000000
0611. 2202N 07747W 01527 0027 161 026 170 154 027 01591 0000000000
0612 2201N 07745W 01526 0039 160 028 164 164 030 01602 0000000000
0612. 2200N 07744W 01527 0039 166 025 162 162 027 01603 0000000000
0613 2200N 07742W 01526 0041 167 025 170 152 026 01605 0000000000
0613. 2159N 07741W 01527 0042 171 026 170 154 026 01607 0000000000
0614 2158N 07739W 01526 0032 167 028 168 154 029 01595 0000000000
0614. 2158N 07738W 01527 0033 167 028 166 156 029 01597 0000000000
0615 2157N 07737W 01526 0033 170 027 166 160 028 01596 0000000000
0615. 2156N 07735W 01527 0034 170 027 164 164 027 01598 0000000000
0616 2156N 07734W 01526 0036 170 026 166 162 027 01599 0000000000
0616. 2155N 07732W 01527 0036 171 027 166 164 027 01600 0000000000
0617 2154N 07731W 01525 0037 170 028 166 166 028 01599 0000000000
0617. 2154N 07729W 01527 0039 168 027 166 166 028 01603 0000000000
0618 2153N 07728W 01527 0039 173 027 166 162 027 01603 0000000000
0618. 2152N 07726W 01526 0039 179 025 166 164 025 01602 0000000000
0619 2152N 07725W 01526 0040 180 027 164 164 029 01604 0000000000
0619. 2151N 07723W 01528 0040 178 028 162 162 028 01605 0000000000
0620 2150N 07722W 01526 0041 186 028 160 160 030 01604 0000000000
;


Image

new 6:15 UTC sat image
Last edited by Thunder44 on Tue Aug 29, 2006 1:41 am, edited 2 times in total.
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