ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[pavelbure224]

So im guessing if they put up and Watches for the SE Fl would be tomorrow night or Tuesday morning.

[sfwx]

Starting my 24th year in the classroom tomorrow. Can you guess what my 4th graders will learn first? Hurricane tracking of course!!

Eric

What school are you at Eric? My little guy starts Kindergarten tomorrow at Windmill Point. He's been following along with me on Storm2k all weekend and keeps asking questions about the storms. He hasn't had the opportunity to go through one yet...But he's real interested. I think I have a future S2K'er on my hands...LOL

SFT

I'm at Morningside. Good luck at Windmill tomorrow, I swear my oldest daughter just started KDG and tomorrow she is a Senior at LPA. I love teaching weather to my students. I use Storm2k a lot with them!

Eric

[stormhunter7]

? to the mets here. Does it appear there may be a weak Upper Level Low just wsw of Jamaica... thats moving westward this evening? Wouldnt a system like Irene follow that future some until its built an vertically structured system, which then the upper winds would help steer is more?

[northjaxpro]

Pretty good web briefing here on Irene and the setup!


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/media/jax/vBrie ... /index.htm

This was an excellent video web briefing on Irene from my local NWS office here in Jacksonville. Dean4Storms, thanks for posting the link here.

This should be posted daily this week as Irene approaches.

[Dave]

Infrared Satellite Updated

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220119
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 20 20110822
010900 1812N 06353W 8429 01572 0099 +166 +154 138041 042 033 001 00
010930 1814N 06353W 8426 01573 0104 +154 //// 140040 044 041 010 01
011000 1816N 06353W 8441 01557 //// +147 //// 135040 043 034 009 01
011030 1818N 06354W 8453 01547 0105 +153 //// 129045 046 030 010 01
011100 1819N 06354W 8428 01570 0109 +147 //// 134044 045 034 009 01
011130 1821N 06354W 8430 01567 0103 +154 //// 133044 045 035 003 01
011200 1823N 06355W 8427 01572 0097 +165 +153 136046 046 034 005 00
011230 1825N 06355W 8436 01563 0098 +167 +146 136045 045 036 007 00
011300 1827N 06355W 8431 01569 0099 +166 +152 135046 047 036 005 00
011330 1829N 06355W 8436 01565 0100 +168 +149 134045 046 035 001 00
011400 1831N 06356W 8436 01566 0101 +166 +146 133046 046 035 001 00
011430 1833N 06356W 8432 01568 0100 +167 +150 133047 047 035 001 00
011500 1835N 06356W 8432 01572 0101 +167 +155 132046 047 036 000 00
011530 1837N 06357W 8434 01568 0102 +170 +151 131046 046 035 001 30
011600 1839N 06357W 8434 01570 0104 +167 +150 130046 046 035 001 00
011630 1840N 06357W 8431 01573 0107 +163 +149 128045 045 035 001 00
011700 1842N 06357W 8433 01572 0108 +162 +152 127044 045 035 001 00
011730 1844N 06358W 8432 01575 0109 +165 +144 127044 044 035 001 00
011800 1846N 06358W 8434 01571 0109 +165 +149 128044 044 034 000 00
011830 1848N 06358W 8433 01574 0110 +163 +154 129043 043 035 000 00
$$
;

[AdamFirst]

? to the mets here. Does it appear there may be a weak Upper Level Low just wsw of Jamaica... thats moving westward this evening? Wouldnt a system like Irene follow that future some until its built an vertically structured system, which then the upper winds would help steer is more?

Irene is very healthy, I dont think vertical stacking is a problem at all...

[Emmett_Brown]

Radar presentation (saved)

http://radblast-mi.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=JUA&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&t=1313976311&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0

[ozonepete]

agreed about stacking

[AdamFirst]

NWS Melbourne advertising possible Tropical Storm conditions here in Port Saint Lucie.

Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Windy, with a east northeast wind 20 to 25 mph increasing to between 30 and 35 mph. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Thursday Night: Tropical storm conditions possible. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 84. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 92. Windy, with a south wind between 30 and 40 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220129
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 21 20110822
011900 1850N 06358W 8432 01576 0110 +165 +157 128044 044 035 000 00
011930 1852N 06359W 8433 01576 0111 +165 +158 127043 043 034 000 00
012000 1854N 06359W 8434 01577 0114 +160 +154 122042 043 034 000 00
012030 1855N 06359W 8430 01582 0115 +160 +158 120045 047 035 000 00
012100 1857N 06400W 8433 01576 0118 +156 //// 123045 047 035 001 01
012130 1859N 06400W 8430 01581 0117 +159 //// 124044 045 034 000 01
012200 1901N 06400W 8436 01575 0116 +160 //// 127044 044 033 000 01
012230 1903N 06400W 8430 01584 //// +148 //// 118046 047 034 002 01
012300 1905N 06401W 8432 01581 0117 +158 //// 120049 050 036 000 01
012330 1907N 06401W 8435 01579 0117 +161 +157 124049 051 036 000 00
012400 1908N 06401W 8431 01584 0124 +151 //// 121045 046 037 003 01
012430 1910N 06402W 8429 01585 0120 +159 //// 120048 049 036 000 01
012500 1912N 06402W 8436 01582 0120 +159 //// 119052 054 034 000 01
012530 1914N 06402W 8432 01592 0125 +161 +152 117056 057 032 000 03
012600 1915N 06404W 8424 01599 0127 +163 +152 117053 054 /// /// 03
012630 1914N 06405W 8446 01568 0122 +159 +156 116050 053 035 001 03
012700 1913N 06407W 8429 01586 0122 +156 //// 119044 045 037 000 01
012730 1911N 06408W 8434 01578 0117 +162 +156 121043 043 037 001 00
012800 1910N 06409W 8437 01574 0118 +158 //// 122041 043 038 001 01
012830 1909N 06411W 8428 01585 0118 +159 //// 120040 042 039 000 01
$$

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220129
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 21 20110822
011900 1850N 06358W 8432 01576 0110 +165 +157 128044 044 035 000 00
011930 1852N 06359W 8433 01576 0111 +165 +158 127043 043 034 000 00
012000 1854N 06359W 8434 01577 0114 +160 +154 122042 043 034 000 00
012030 1855N 06359W 8430 01582 0115 +160 +158 120045 047 035 000 00
012100 1857N 06400W 8433 01576 0118 +156 //// 123045 047 035 001 01
012130 1859N 06400W 8430 01581 0117 +159 //// 124044 045 034 000 01
012200 1901N 06400W 8436 01575 0116 +160 //// 127044 044 033 000 01
012230 1903N 06400W 8430 01584 //// +148 //// 118046 047 034 002 01
012300 1905N 06401W 8432 01581 0117 +158 //// 120049 050 036 000 01
012330 1907N 06401W 8435 01579 0117 +161 +157 124049 051 036 000 00
012400 1908N 06401W 8431 01584 0124 +151 //// 121045 046 037 003 01
012430 1910N 06402W 8429 01585 0120 +159 //// 120048 049 036 000 01
012500 1912N 06402W 8436 01582 0120 +159 //// 119052 054 034 000 01
012530 1914N 06402W 8432 01592 0125 +161 +152 117056 057 032 000 03
012600 1915N 06404W 8424 01599 0127 +163 +152 117053 054 /// /// 03
012630 1914N 06405W 8446 01568 0122 +159 +156 116050 053 035 001 03
012700 1913N 06407W 8429 01586 0122 +156 //// 119044 045 037 000 01
012730 1911N 06408W 8434 01578 0117 +162 +156 121043 043 037 001 00
012800 1910N 06409W 8437 01574 0118 +158 //// 122041 043 038 001 01
012830 1909N 06411W 8428 01585 0118 +159 //// 120040 042 039 000 01
$$
;

57 kt FL so far in NE quad.

[Dave]

[brunota2003]

Pojo?

Glad to see they weren't too bad, was afraid they would be too bad to get off the ground...but seems the eye came over just in time!

[Dave]

Pojo?

Jonathan

[brunota2003]

Ah...speaking of Pojo, I haven't seen her around in a while.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220139
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 22 20110822
012900 1908N 06412W 8433 01581 0116 +160 +159 122038 038 037 001 00
012930 1907N 06413W 8433 01577 0114 +160 +155 120038 038 037 001 00
013000 1906N 06415W 8436 01573 0115 +160 +155 118038 039 037 000 03
013030 1905N 06417W 8432 01578 0112 +160 +152 116038 038 037 000 00
013100 1905N 06418W 8433 01575 0110 +164 +150 115039 039 038 000 00
013130 1904N 06420W 8432 01577 0110 +165 +148 112038 039 037 001 00
013200 1904N 06422W 8432 01576 0110 +165 +155 110038 038 040 000 00
013230 1903N 06424W 8436 01570 0108 +165 +157 110038 039 041 002 00
013300 1902N 06426W 8432 01573 0107 +165 +157 111039 040 040 002 00
013330 1902N 06428W 8434 01570 0109 +160 +155 110039 040 039 003 00
013400 1901N 06430W 8432 01571 0109 +160 +153 109039 039 039 003 00
013430 1901N 06432W 8434 01570 0110 +157 +155 108041 041 038 003 03
013500 1859N 06433W 8434 01565 0109 +155 +145 106042 043 036 005 00
013530 1858N 06434W 8430 01572 0110 +152 //// 105043 044 037 004 01
013600 1856N 06435W 8440 01562 0111 +149 //// 103043 044 038 005 01
013630 1855N 06436W 8430 01568 //// +138 //// 097043 047 039 008 01
013700 1854N 06437W 8439 01557 0115 +138 //// 101047 049 041 008 01
013730 1852N 06438W 8442 01555 //// +138 //// 096042 046 040 008 01
013800 1851N 06439W 8439 01559 //// +138 //// 103043 045 038 010 01
013830 1849N 06440W 8433 01563 //// +138 //// 099033 039 042 012 01
$$
;

[northtxboy]

just got back guys...Is it still going to go right over DR hatti???

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Irene is moving really slowly....(At least, thats my appreciation based on radar)

[Dave]