ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=113.8

#261 Postby RattleMan » Sat Sep 13, 2008 12:16 am

A bit late, but...13/0300z, Atlantic 60.0225 ahead.

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.68%
   Bertha   28.3675   24.91%
   Cristobal   3.06   2.69%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.66%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.34%
   Fay   6.715   5.90%
   Gustav   18.455   16.20%
   Hanna   10.32   9.06%
   Ike   36.57   32.11%
   Josephine   2.79   2.45%
   TOTAL   113.89   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.54%
   Boris   7.025   13.04%
   Cristina   1.21   2.25%
   Douglas   0.49   0.91%
   Elida   11.7375   21.79%
   Fausto   10.125   18.80%
   Genevieve   5.76   10.69%
   Hernan   11.65   21.63%
   Iselle   1.295   2.40%
   Julio   1.1775   2.19%
   Karina   0.1225   0.23%
   Lowell   2.445   4.54%
   TOTAL   53.8675   


Code: Select all

Total Atl ACE  To Go Until Passing…            
            
(data 1950-2008)         (data 1851-1949)   
2005   134      1893   117
1950   129      1926   108
1995   113      1933   99
2004   110      1887   68
1961   91      1878   67
1955   85      1916   63
1998   68      1886   52
1999   63      1906   49
2003   61      1899   36
1964   56      1896   22
1996   52      1932   22
1969   44      1894   21
1980   33      1880   17
1966   31      1915   4
1951   23      1891   2
1989   21      1892   2.11
1967   8      1898   -0.89
1958   7      1947   -1.89
1963   4      1936   -5.89
2000   2.11      1948   -7.89
1954   -0.89      1889   -9.89
2001   -7.89         
1953   -9.89         
            
            
1950-2008 rank:   21         
1851-2008 rank:   37         


1954 and 1898 total ACE were passed, ranking 2008 #37 overall.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.2

#262 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 13, 2008 10:38 am

Updated ACE numbers for the 2008 Season as of the 10 AM CDT advisory of Ike at 70kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 37.9625
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
Total  115.2825
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.3

#263 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 13, 2008 4:01 pm

Updated ACE numbers as of the 4 PM CDT advisory of Ike at 40kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.1225
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
Total  115.4425
0 likes   

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.4425

#264 Postby RattleMan » Sat Sep 13, 2008 4:03 pm

A second too late, but here's 13/2100z, Atlantic is 61.575 ahead:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.67%
   Bertha   28.3675   24.57%
   Cristobal   3.06   2.65%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.60%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.32%
   Fay   6.715   5.82%
   Gustav   18.455   15.99%
   Hanna   10.32   8.94%
   Ike   38.1225   33.02%
   Josephine   2.79   2.42%
   TOTAL   115.4425   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.54%
   Boris   7.025   13.04%
   Cristina   1.21   2.25%
   Douglas   0.49   0.91%
   Elida   11.7375   21.79%
   Fausto   10.125   18.80%
   Genevieve   5.76   10.69%
   Hernan   11.65   21.63%
   Iselle   1.295   2.40%
   Julio   1.1775   2.19%
   Karina   0.1225   0.23%
   Lowell   2.445   4.54%
   TOTAL   53.8675   


Code: Select all

Total Atl ACE  To Go Until Passing…            
            
(data 1950-2008)         (data 1851-1949)   
2005   133      1893   116
1950   128      1926   107
1995   112      1933   98
2004   109      1887   67
1961   90      1878   66
1955   84      1916   62
1998   67      1886   51
1999   62      1906   48
2003   60      1899   35
1964   55      1896   21
1996   51      1932   21
1969   43      1894   20
1980   32      1880   16
1966   30      1915   3
1951   22      1891   0.56
1989   20      1892   0.56
1967   7      1898   -2
1958   6      1947   -3
1963   3      1936   -7
2000   0.56      1948   -9
1954   -2      1889   -11
2001   -9         
1953   -11         
            
            
1950-2008 rank:   21         
1851-2008 rank:   37         
0 likes   

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.4425

#265 Postby RattleMan » Sat Sep 13, 2008 10:02 pm

14/0300z, Atlantic is 61.6975 ahead.

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.67%
   Bertha   28.3675   24.55%
   Cristobal   3.06   2.65%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.60%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.32%
   Fay   6.715   5.81%
   Gustav   18.455   15.97%
   Hanna   10.32   8.93%
   Ike   38.245   33.09%
   Josephine   2.79   2.41%
   TOTAL   115.565   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.54%
   Boris   7.025   13.04%
   Cristina   1.21   2.25%
   Douglas   0.49   0.91%
   Elida   11.7375   21.79%
   Fausto   10.125   18.80%
   Genevieve   5.76   10.69%
   Hernan   11.65   21.63%
   Iselle   1.295   2.40%
   Julio   1.1775   2.19%
   Karina   0.1225   0.23%
   Lowell   2.445   4.54%
   TOTAL   53.8675   
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#266 Postby senorpepr » Sun Sep 14, 2008 1:08 am

Here's an update based at 14 Sept / 0300 UTC.

Currently, we're 10/5/3 for named storms, hurricanes, and intense hurricanes, respectively. 69.25/23.5/6.75 are the tallies for days. NTC based on normal activity through today is about 190%.

ACE is currently 115.5650, which is about 120% of a full, normal season. (HDP is at 72.7100) At this time, 2008 ranks 37th overall for most ACE. Projecting climatologically, but weighted upon activity thus far, we should end up around 190, or 198% of normal, ranking us at 10th all-time.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#267 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 14, 2008 9:27 am

Who wants to post a pie graphic or a table with the updated numbers per system with the % as now the Atlantic 2008 season has 115.5650?
0 likes   

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#268 Postby RattleMan » Sun Sep 14, 2008 1:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:Who wants to post a pie graphic or a table with the updated numbers per system with the % as now the Atlantic 2008 season has 115.5650?

Image
I couldn't remove the ugly blue background on some of the numbers.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#269 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 14, 2008 5:52 pm

RattleMan wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Who wants to post a pie graphic or a table with the updated numbers per system with the % as now the Atlantic 2008 season has 115.5650?

Image
I couldn't remove the ugly blue background on some of the numbers.


The background looks good.

Now the question is if there will be another system that surpasses Ikes numbers during the rest of the season.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#270 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 14, 2008 7:01 pm

Image
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#271 Postby RL3AO » Tue Sep 16, 2008 1:26 pm

Updated for TS Douglas and TD Five-E's TCRs. Only a slight change to Douglas' ACE.

Image
0 likes   

Isadora

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#272 Postby Isadora » Thu Sep 18, 2008 2:35 am

looks like 115.57 is the total for this season... season cancelled :(
0 likes   

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#273 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Sep 18, 2008 11:19 pm

2008 is a very impressive and active season. It's not just the number of storms that form. It is also hurricanes and major hurricanes that form. 2008 had some long lived storms, Bertha and Ike.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#274 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 25, 2008 3:38 pm

Ok,those math pros here. :) Lets update the ACE numbers as Kyle is now here.
0 likes   

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.5650

#275 Postby RattleMan » Thu Sep 25, 2008 3:39 pm

25/2100z, Kyle forms and the Atlantic is 61.735 ahead of the EPAC.

Code: Select all

Atlantic      % of
Seasonal ACE      Total
      
Arthur   0.7725   0.67%
Bertha   28.3675   24.51%
Cristobal   3.06   2.64%
Dolly   5.3125   4.59%
Edouard   1.5275   1.32%
Fay   6.715   5.80%
Gustav   18.455   15.95%
Hanna   10.32   8.92%
Ike   38.245   33.05%
Josephine   2.79   2.41%
Kyle   0.16   0.14%
TOTAL   115.725   
      
      
      
      
East Pacific      
Seasonal ACE      
Alma   0.83   1.54%
Boris   7.025   13.01%
Cristina   1.21   2.24%
Douglas   0.6125   1.13%
Elida   11.7375   21.74%
Fausto   10.125   18.75%
Genevieve   5.76   10.67%
Hernan   11.65   21.58%
Iselle   1.295   2.40%
Julio   1.1775   2.18%
Karina   0.1225   0.23%
Lowell   2.445   4.53%
TOTAL   53.99   
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.725

#276 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 25, 2008 3:46 pm

Wow RattleMan,you are very quick doing the math.Anyway,than you for bringing the updated numbers during the season.

I think Kyle may get to 5.4 ACE numbers.
0 likes   

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.725

#277 Postby RattleMan » Thu Sep 25, 2008 3:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:Wow RattleMan,you are very quick doing the math.Anyway,than you for bringing the updated numbers during the season.

I think Kyle may get to 5.4 ACE numbers.

Thanks. I had started before the advisory was released on the assumption that the winds would be 40kt; once I got the official word I just copied and pasted it here.

By the way, the current Excel spreadsheet is now up at http://drop.io/2008ace . The filename is "ACE_Kyle_Release_20080925_2100z.xls".
0 likes   

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.725

#278 Postby RattleMan » Thu Sep 25, 2008 10:07 pm

26/0300z, Atlantic is 61.9375 ahead of EPAC.

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.67%
   Bertha   28.3675   24.47%
   Cristobal   3.06   2.64%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.58%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.32%
   Fay   6.715   5.79%
   Gustav   18.455   15.92%
   Hanna   10.32   8.90%
   Ike   38.245   32.99%
   Josephine   2.79   2.41%
   Kyle   0.3625   0.31%
   TOTAL   115.9275   
         
         
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.54%
   Boris   7.025   13.01%
   Cristina   1.21   2.24%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   1.13%
   Elida   11.7375   21.74%
   Fausto   10.125   18.75%
   Genevieve   5.76   10.67%
   Hernan   11.65   21.58%
   Iselle   1.295   2.40%
   Julio   1.1775   2.18%
   Karina   0.1225   0.23%
   Lowell   2.445   4.53%
   TOTAL   53.99   


Only 0.57 ACE to go until 2000, 1891 and 1892's ACEs are passed.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=115.9275

#279 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 26, 2008 5:39 am

ACE numbers update as of the 5 AM EDT Advisory of Tropical Storrm Kyle at 50 kts.

Code: Select all

[edit] Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 0.6125
Total  116.1775
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145510
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ACE for the 2008 Atlantic season so far=116.1775

#280 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 26, 2008 1:26 pm

ACE numbers update as of the 11 AM Advisory of Kyle at 50 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 0.8625
Total  116.4275
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Ian2401, REDHurricane, Sciencerocks, StormWeather and 50 guests