ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[psyclone]

Paul hyping it on wtvt, but honestly. Not sure this is much of anything for us here in tampa, UNLESS YOU ARE ON THE COAST

we are just getting into the rain now. this storm has always been convectively blessed on its southeast side...so it needs to near and cross one's latitude for better rain and squall chances. i could see west central fl doing well wrt rainfall IF a feederband sets up correctly and that process may be underway now

[pcolaman]

There was a mandatory evacuation of all mobile and modular homes in Leon County. Hopefully people took it seriously. It’s going to be miserable here for quite a while with so many trees ready to damage the power grid.

Ok I finally have to ask. Multiple posters have expressed concerns about all the trees in Tallahassee. Do other parts of Florida not have trees? Are the trees in Tallahassee particularly vulnerable or something?

Reasonable question. Tons and tons of Pine trees, which will snap and go down in high wind. Not like live oaks that are well achored by their massive roots

Well the heritage Oaks will definitely come up. There root system isn't that deep and will leave massive holes . We had 13 in our yard during Ivan and believe me they all came down. But I think it all depends on how much rain they receive before the wind comes. Scariest poop I have ever heard when the big Oaks hit the ground during Ivan.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Here, we have had severe thunderstorms literally on top of us and not moving, flash flood warnings, and power outages...and that is in Atlanta (not associated with Idalia) because the cold front that was going to sweep this out is hung up over us and stationary. My power was out for an hour and just came back on.

[GCANE]

She's wobbling

[jdjaguar]

Getting a train of towers on NW eyewall

[ScottNAtlanta]

She's wobbling

counter clockwise loops

[Owasso]

Hourly updates have begun

The National Hurricane Center has begun hourly position and
intensity updates on Idalia. The hourly updates will continue as
long as Idalia's eye is easily trackable in ground-based radar data.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 84.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES

[GCANE]

100 kt flight level

[Owasso]

958 mb extrap, 100kt FL and 90kt SFMR in the eastern eyewall.

[zzzh]

015200 2726N 08434W 7511 02168 9580 +207 +187 150037 039 040 001 00

958.0

[CronkPSU]

looks like it is making that N to NE turn now on the slider

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=5514&y=5239&z=4&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=cira_geoproxy&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6

[Iceresistance]

Anyone in the Panhandle of Florida, please take this very seriously...

[Owasso]

Looks to me like that pass missed the center

[ScottNAtlanta]

looks like it is making that N to NE turn now on the slider

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=5514&y=5239&z=4&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=cira_geoproxy&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6

Looks like the power is staying on along the west coast of FL, It is still all lit up

[Dean4Storms]

Don't think she has enough time to make it to Cat.4, but it'll be close.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Don't think she has enough time to make it to Cat.4, but it'll be close.

It's got time. Look how much it intensified just in the last 3 hours

[HJB96x]

Tallahassee is in trouble. Hope they evacuated. Looks pretty loaded even on the west side.

Why would you evac in Tally? Usually you should evac if you face surge, you run from water and hide from the winds. People evacuating in places that arent going to surge hurts the people who really need to evac.

Cat 3/4 winds can take roofs off of homes especially old ones and trailers. Toppled trees and tornadoes are big risks too. Why stay in a house in harms way is the question. If I was there I would have already sent my kids and parents somewhere else.

I feel like you are expressing fearmongering... The people that truly should be evacuating are those on the Florida coast, not those inland in Tallahassee. Comments like this do a disservice to who really are in trouble. This is a dangerous storm, let's be real about the impacts...

[GCANE]

Plane experiences St. Elmo's Fire during Hurricane Idalia

 https://twitter.com/Physdashastro/status/1696705544524832895

[ScottNAtlanta]

What is interesting is if you look at the loop posted above by CronkPSU...the lack of any lights in the big bend. That could be lack of population or just people left and didn't leave the lights on

[Sciencerocks]