Texas Winter 2025-2026

[orangeblood]

Looks like the GFS caves. Huge qpf run incoming.

King Euro has and always will reign

[Ntxw]

Oklahoma snow (heaviest southern Oklahoma) Abilene-DFW-Texarkana swims in sleet, freezing rain to south of Waco on 0z GFS.

Very long duration event.

[txtwister78]

Well the GFS is trending back from its one crazy 18z run. QPF and frozen precip hasn't really been a problem with it other than that one run. Still think it's struggling with the handling of arctic air further south

[BAY29]

houston winter precip chances are getting worse right?

[wxman22]

MAJOR winter storm on the GFS.

[jaguars_22]

Ya the gfs keeps the moisture up above Victoria to Houston… it’s like the freezing temps don’t make it this far south! We just need it to be a little more delayed and then come across after the front…

[Ntxw]

ULL hasn't even come out yet.

[Brent]

I had a feeling the Euro would win out eventually over the GFS

Of course we still got a long way to go

[wxman22]

The GFS also brings frozen precip to the coast.

[BAY29]

what is the euro winning out on?

[Ntxw]

I had a feeling the Euro would win out eventually over the GFS

Of course we still got a long way to go

QPF wise this has the making of historic event. You don't see this everyday, any day really no less with that kind of HP.

[bubba hotep]

Print the T-shirts!

[jaguars_22]

Cmon keep pushing Further south!!! Need to get us in coastal Texas some fun!

[Ntxw]

Someone mentioned December in the 1920s Hillsboro. December 1929. Too bad most reanalysis doesn't go back that far or at least that I have found for that time period. I reckon that had QPF >2 in central Texas.

[orangeblood]

I had a feeling the Euro would win out eventually over the GFS

Of course we still got a long way to go

QPF wise this has the making of historic event. You don't see this everyday, any day really no less with that kind of HP.

Yeah, this has the makings of something truly historic, a 36 hr plus event of non-stop moderate to heavy precip with temps in the mid-lower 20s. Feb 2021 is on the table

[wxman22]

The CMC looks convective. Wouldn't surprise me at all to see thundersleet and thundersnow out of this.

[Gotwood]

Print the T-shirts!

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2026012000/135/snku_acc-imp.us_sc.png

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2026012000/135/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Warm nose watching will not be for the faint of heart lol. I am hoping that snow line will sink further south.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Fri night to Sun night precip seems to be falling out of the sky nonstop. Holy moly. Buckle up folks.

[Steve]

what is the euro winning out on?

Nada. It’s 4-5 days out. I have a neutral opinion on the GFS and no dog in the argument. But it literally just hit winter weather in the south 2 days ago mostly as a lone wolf model for over a week. Doesn’t mean squat for next weekend but I wouldn’t bet money against it either. It may have the ice too far south. But there’s time to adjust either way.

[Ntxw]

It was 80F the week before last...we had so many 80F+ degree days could not buy a DROP of rain...what is this..