WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONSON

[oaba09]

wow...the wind just intensified....

[Typhoon Hunter]

winds are howling in our area! i can also see several power flashes in the sky! feels spectacular to witness such

Thanks for the reports from the landfall area. Where abouts are you exactly?

[scb_weather_boi]

winds are howling in our area! i can also see several power flashes in the sky! feels spectacular to witness such

Thanks for the reports from the landfall area. Where abouts are you exactly?

im in southern part of metro manila near Manila Bay (Roxas Blvd). by the way, why do power flashes occur in typhoons and strong TS?

[scb_weather_boi]

winds are howling in our area! i can also see several power flashes in the sky! feels spectacular to witness such

Thanks for the reports from the landfall area. Where abouts are you exactly?

we are now experiencing CONSON'S howling winds and diagonal rains.. my guess is 30knots

[fogbreath]

Catanduanes? You mean the Land of the Howling Wind? It takes a pretty far north or south track for that place not to get hit by some effect of a typhoon. Looks like my old stomping grounds at Clark is due for some hefty breezes (about 45-50 kt gusts if passing 23 N but if it passes over or 23 south then they are looking at 50-70 kt gusts

Yeah, unfortunately that's kind of the way it is. On the other hand, it does get the good surf as well (though I'm not into surfing so much)

My other parent is from Pangasinan - hopefully the rain won't be causing too much an issue as the typhoon heads over that area

[HURAKAN]

Looks like shear is impacting it

[scb_weather_boi]

Looks like shear is impacting it

but she is till a potent tropical storm! we are currently experiencing her wrath here in manila.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[cycloneye]

JMA 18:45 UTC

STS 1002 (Conson)
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 13 July 2010
<Analyses at 13/18 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N14°50'(14.8°)
E121°20'(121.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more Wide 280km(150NM)

[cycloneye]

JTWC 21:00 UTC Advisory=50kts

WTPN31 PGTW 132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (CONSON) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 14.4N 121.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 121.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 15.2N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 16.1N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 17.3N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 18.8N 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 21.2N 111.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 23.2N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 14.6N 120.7E.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.//
NNNN

[Cookie]

Thanks for the great reports guys please stay safe

[KWT]

Amazing to see this one is still trucking due west, the models had the totally wrong part of Luzon under the gun with Conson...

[dhoeze]

Yup they totally missed this one.
It went through Metro Manila. Wow, what a night.

[Infdidoll]

Hope everyone else will be checking in to let us know they are safe.

The NRL is naming another invest right on the heels of Conson as 96W...Have to watch and see if this will be a legit, separate storm or if it's just flaring up because of conditions from Conson.

[dhoeze]

Trees backyard were uprooted, other than that still all in one piece.

[Typhoon10]

How was it last night? Have just checked in with my colleague in the Manila office and they said it was pretty intense?

Hope you are all ok?

[cycloneye]

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/

STS 1002 (Conson)
Issued at 00:50 UTC, 14 July 2010
<Analyses at 14/00 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N14°50'(14.8°)
E119°50'(119.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more Wide 280km(150NM)

[silent_watcher]

This is my first post but been reading since last year

Thank you everyone for the very informative posts.

I'm from the Philippines, living in south Metro Manila. I was mostly awake last night due the blackout and my 2 year old son who kept waking up to listen to the howling wind Yep, last night was really a noisy one, not much rain. Wind started picking up around 11 pm local time and did not let up until 5 am

Still went to the office today though it was an adventure! Lots of trees fell, signages went flying and to cap it all off, the very big special crane being used to build the Skyway toppled over on the south super highway! I'm sure the pics will be all over the news already.

Once again, thanks to all!

[cycloneye]

WTPN31 PGTW 140300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (CONSON) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 14.6N 119.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N 119.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 15.5N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 16.6N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 17.8N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 19.1N 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 21.3N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 23.2N 109.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 119.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 03W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM WEST OF
MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.//
NNNN

[Infdidoll]

Welcome and thank you so much for checking in and telling us about the after-effects. Sounds like you had a scary night! I'll bet today will be a rough day with the little one. I know what that's like having kids that can't sleep because of the noise. No fun! Please stick around...Not all of us here are professional meteorologists and some of us come here for comfort, reassurance, or the fascination of tracking storms. I've learned a lot just by hanging around and reading.

I know some of you guys were getting aggravated about the storm alerts not being raised fast enough. Looks like PAGASA is taking some heat over this: http://www.gmanews.tv/story/196011/aqui ... g-briefing

I guess it's another lesson in not discounting a storm's potential or track. From everything I'm reading, Manila is a mess today.