TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[deltadog03]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8wvir.html


there is something interesting....that looks like a big ole ridge established there....and i don't see much of a weakness

[Astro_man92]

What are you talking about

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=144hr


NVM look here

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... ssure&hour

[djones65]

I agree with wxman57 about the fact that the NHC simply "lost" the circulation center with Irene overnight last night. I believe Avila projected a position for 03Z last night that was inaccurate (too far west) and the circulation center simply turned more to the northwest overnight as the convection increased just to the east. As the convection diminished today the center seemed to move more westerly... now we are seeing a new increase in intensity of a limited area of convection just north of the center... perhaps Irene will move more northwesterly the remainder of the night? Also, the low level swirl near 15N and 49W is along the original tropical wave which spawned Irene.... This system appears to be doing a "fujiwhara" as it moves northeastward closer to Irene.

I believe Irene will move through the weakness between the building ridge south of Bermuda and the ridge to its northeast. Even though this system is "boring," the subtle nuances are interesting to me, for example, the mid level circulation that was very nearly stacked over the low level center 22 hours ago has been sheared to the south and southeast while the main low level center continued west northwestward... and then the weak low level center along the original tropical wave is firing some small convection over the vortmax center...

Let's wait another week and see what the African waves do...

[BensonTCwatcher]

I agree, just becuase we don't have record breaking monster to watch every wobble, it is stll interesting.

[gkrangers]

I agree, just becuase we don't have record breaking monster to watch every wobble, it is stll interesting.

Irene is starting to get on my nerves...

[Astro_man92]

This hurricane season is going by way to slow

[BensonTCwatcher]

I agree, just becuase we don't have record breaking monster to watch every wobble, it is stll interesting.

Irene is starting to get on my nerves...

Not mine, I stopped watching the Irene thing today. that system will probably not survive but teh wave is still there. we should be done her in the morning sometime

[Ivanhater]

i hate irene too

[Scorpion]

This hurricane season is going by way to slow

You'll be eating those words in 2 weeks.

[Ivanhater]

an EXTREME blow up of convection has just occurred

[CronkPSU]

so the late night shocker tonight will be intensification?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Shear doe's not seem strong right now. In that big blow up of convection is right over the center.

[wxmann_91]

i hate irene too

I wish it would die. Tracking Irene is just as bad as tracking a bean in bean soup sluggishly trecking across your bowl. BORING! I wish these types of storms would occur when I have school cause I'm so bored here I have to track it.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I wish Irene would bomb into a hurricane now!!!

[Ivanhater]

im tired of her little bag of tricks...your old news irene!!! your weaker than yout sister "arlene" and thats not saying much as i experienced the "wrath" of arlene, lol, give it up irene!! jose are you there???

[superfly]

Shear doe's not seem strong right now. In that big blow up of convection is right over the center.

It looks like the convection is just NE of the center. It's hard for Irene to maintain any convection on her western side right now because of the northwesterly shear and dry air.

[Jim Cantore]

Looks likes shes trying to fire up some convections

check out the floater

[clfenwi]

Shear is still there and affecting Irene... the last round of convection (that started about 6 hours ago) started on the western side of the center and was quickly blown over it and was to the east of the center when it died out. I don't think this round of convection is right under the center but on the eastern/northeastern side of it instead. I don't think we'll see any change in intensity overnight.

[Normandy]

Remember that third circulation center WXMan57 indicated on his image? Ha go figure it actually has come convection with it.

[gkrangers]

Shear is still there and affecting Irene... the last round of convection (that started about 6 hours ago) started on the western side of the center and was quickly blown over it and was to the east of the center when it died out. I don't think this round of convection is right under the center but on the eastern/northeastern side of it instead. I don't think we'll see any change in intensity overnight.

Actually I think this burst, which may still be growing, is just about over the center. It will probably get pushed to the eastern side...but definitely the deepest convection near the center we've seen...was last nights better?