Invest 99L Thread #6

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
philnyc
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 313
Joined: Thu Jun 07, 2007 1:14 am
Location: Brooklyn, New York City, New York
Contact:

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#281 Postby philnyc » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:54 pm

jabber wrote:Me thinks its done.....


Have you forgotten Andrew? It was written off by just about everybody for a time due to monster shear that virtually ripped it apart. Now of course I'm NOT comparing this to Andrew, so please don't go down that road. All I'm saying is that the number of storms that have looked like this and then redeveloped is so large that none of us could name them all. You have to look at the current and forecast atmospheric conditions and base your predictions on that. That's what the NHC does. They have an incredible reputation for forecasting these impossibly complex cyclones. So when they write it off, I'll write it off.
0 likes   

User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#282 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:54 pm

As I posted previously, I think this will be a bigger issue when it approaches the Yucatan channel. It looked good this morning, but had no structure.
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8245
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#283 Postby jasons2k » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:54 pm

I'm singing the same tune going on 3 days now...nada 'till W Carib...and even that is questionable.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Re:

#284 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:55 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:ol' wait and see in the morning :roll: getting old! :grr:


It has work in the past mornings and it should work tomorrow!!!


Even if it does...this has already ticked me off! :grr: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
alan1961
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 771
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2006 11:58 am
Location: Derby, Derbyshire, England
Contact:

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#285 Postby alan1961 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:55 pm

jabber wrote:Me thinks its done.....

ok your with me then jabber :lol: ..we'll talk to philnyc in the morning :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

CajunMama
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 10791
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:57 pm
Location: 30.22N, 92.05W Lafayette, LA

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#286 Postby CajunMama » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:56 pm

Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. :roll: I want one that can actually DEVELOP.


oh hush up bwent! you're mind is shriveling up just like the drought has done to your yard. You just want rain! :wink: :lol: :P
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#287 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:56 pm

This explains it all with 99L

until more convection fires and it slows down... no closing off a low ..... so maybe western carrib


Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#288 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:58 pm

Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. :roll: I want one that can actually DEVELOP.


I'm sorry but you'll have to wait for your Cat 3 hurricane a little longer. :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
KFDM Meteorologist
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1314
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County

#289 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:59 pm

System is moving to fast to develop right now.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#290 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:59 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. :roll: I want one that can actually DEVELOP.


I'm sorry but you'll have to wait for your Cat 3 hurricane a little longer. :wink:


You should be able to see a Cat 3 soon in the EPa...er, WPac.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re:

#291 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:00 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:System is moving to fast to develop right now.


Well duh :D
0 likes   

philnyc
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 313
Joined: Thu Jun 07, 2007 1:14 am
Location: Brooklyn, New York City, New York
Contact:

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#292 Postby philnyc » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:01 pm

CajunMama wrote:
Brent wrote:I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. :roll: I want one that can actually DEVELOP.


oh hush up bwent! you're mind is shriveling up just like the drought has done to your yard. You just want rain! :wink: :lol: :P


LOLOLOLOL
0 likes   

User avatar
astrosbaseball22
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 122
Age: 32
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 5:48 pm
Contact:

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#293 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:02 pm

:cold: :spam:
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5597
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#294 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:02 pm

So it seems in a couple days when it reaches the western caribbean
the chance for development may increase.
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#295 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:05 pm

Every one help me blow south and east to generate a parashute to slow it down! :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
astrosbaseball22
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 122
Age: 32
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 5:48 pm
Contact:

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#296 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:05 pm

wait untill tomorrow
0 likes   

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2872
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#297 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:11 pm

He's got to get through some shear first, I think, so he's probably going to struggle for a while. We'll see if he makes it. I don't know...maybe a day or two?
0 likes   

Opal storm

Re: Invest 99L Thread #6

#298 Postby Opal storm » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:13 pm

astrosbaseball22 wrote:wait untill tomorrow

Been hearing that for the past 3 days.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#299 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:14 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS
SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION HAS DIMINISHED. THE
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD BRINGING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL
AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
0 likes   

User avatar
astrosbaseball22
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 122
Age: 32
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 5:48 pm
Contact:

Re:

#300 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:15 pm

HURAKAN wrote:TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS
SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION HAS DIMINISHED. THE
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD BRINGING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL
AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





NHC gave up
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib and 29 guests