Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[6SpeedTA95]

123 kt...

1913 2048N 08618W 03046 5188 147 120 072 072 123 02902 0000000100

[Bgator]

URNT12 KNHC 211801
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/19:01:40Z
B. 20 deg 22 min N
086 deg 42 min W
C. 700 mb 2452 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 235 deg 112 kt
G. 139 deg 031 nm
H. 927 mb
I. 9 C/ 3044 m
J. 17 C/ 3048 m
K. 17 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C25
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 1524A WILMA OB 15
MAX FL WIND 116 KT N QUAD 17:24:50 Z

Well they eye is not fallign apart, but is shrinking, i think tehyll keep the wind sat 135-140~!

[Ground_Zero_92]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Rae]

Lots of purple wrapping around in the water vapor loop. Looks pretty darn healthy to me.

[Foladar0]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

its suppose to hit as a cat 1 not 2 according to the NHC (Every station has said/shown this, atleast)

[tampaflwx]

Anybody know where i can find the image with ALL of the current model runs? The one that has dozens of models....

[cjrciadt]

Anybody know where i can find the image with ALL of the current model runs? The one that has dozens of models....

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/

[Ground_Zero_92]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

its suppose to hit as a cat 1 not 2 according to the NHC (Every station has said/shown this, atleast)

Yea and Charley was supposed to hit as a Cat 2. Point is intensity forecasting is not accurate.

[superfly]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The Yucatan is very flat so if it just clips it, it won't weaken significantly so it'll all depend on how long it stays over the Yucatan.

[storms in NC]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

its suppose to hit as a cat 1 not 2 according to the NHC (Every station has said/shown this, atleast)

From NHC (IF WILMA DOES
NOT SPEND MUCH TIME OVER YUCATAN... IT COULD BE STRONGER THAN
FORECAST WHEN IT CROSSES FLORIDA. )

[LanceW]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Looking at this link, it is right on track, and maybe a little fast. It is very close to hitting the 12 hour point from the 11 AM.

[DCA]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here

Between the 2:04 and 3:17 VDM's, Wilma has moved from 20 degrees 19 minutes and 86 d 43 m to 20 d 22 m and 86.42 m. Assuming the sonde hit the center, it does not appear that Wilma is not moving "more west."

[Bocadude85]

NHC has a landfalling cat 2 in FLA

[CHRISTY]

so far no slow down i think its gonna go onland near cancun but looks like to me like it might continue NW and be in the gulf off mexico... this so called stall over the ucatan has not happed yet..

[Ground_Zero_92]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Looking at this link, it is right on track, and maybe a little fast. It is very close to hitting the 12 hour point from the 11 AM.

I agree, right on track and maybe sightly faster.

[tampaflwx]

Anybody know where i can find the image with ALL of the current model runs? The one that has dozens of models....

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/

i know that one...i remember there being another chart that has even more models though...with the key at the top left usually

[Ground_Zero_92]

Whether it's a wobble or not, right now she is heading more west into the Yucatan.....effectively committing suicide. Unless something changes soon, I don't think there will be much left by the time it gets here.

I hope your right. The NHC has it entering the Yucatan as a Cat 4 and exiting as a cat 3. Forecast as a Cat 2 approaching Florida.

Click on the "Trop Fcst Pts" check box of this satellite loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Looking at this link, it is right on track, and maybe a little fast. It is very close to hitting the 12 hour point from the 11 AM.

I agree, right on track and maybe slightly faster.

[Brent]

12z GFS is off the stall scenario and has the system approaching Southwest Florida Monday Morning.

[Scorpion]

Good no more waiting.

[Bgator]

12z GFS is off the stall scenario and has the system approaching Southwest Florida Monday Morning.

Looks liek it will be entering as a pretty healthy cane too!:/