Florida Weather

[HURAKAN]

The low today was 54.4ºF, 3 degrees warmer than yesterday.

[Sanibel]

This was a long-lasting cold front. Big broad trough bellied down on us all week.


Warm sun still in calm spot on back deck.

[gatorcane]

Looking way out at the long-range GFS, it continues to bring trough after trough through the Eastern CONUS with a REX-block over the Western CONUS. With this pattern, looks like below normal temperatures for Florida will continue for November and even into early December.

It wouldn't surprise me if this long-wave pattern reverses though in several weeks which may create above normal temperatures for Florida and across the SE CONUS. These things *usually* are cyclical. That means it wouldn't surpise me that while Thanksgiving is relatively cool across Florida, Christmas may be alot warmer.

[jinftl]

Wasn't there a similar pattern back in 2006....

November 2006 averaged 73.0 deg in Miami....1.4 below normal. December 2006 averaged 74.4 deg. 4.5 above normal! Coolest November temp was 45 deg..coolest December temp was 56, and that wasn't until 12/27!


The 2006 November cold wave was quite a bit colder than the current one we have been experiencing....high temp/low temp data from Miami International from 2006:

11/19 72 56
11/20 65 56
11/21 63 50
11/22 70 45
11/23 72 53
11/24 76 56

Looking way out at the long-range GFS, it continues to bring trough after trough through the Eastern CONUS with a REX-block over the Western CONUS. With this pattern, looks like below normal temperatures for Florida will continue for November and even into early December.

It wouldn't surprise me if this long-wave pattern reverses though in several weeks which may create above normal temperatures for Florida and across the SE CONUS. These things *usually* are cyclical. That means it wouldn't surpise me that while Thanksgiving is relatively cool across Florida, Christmas may be alot warmer.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Orlando Intl. Airport officially hit 39F this morning.

[HURAKAN]

[jinftl]

STATE FORECAST FOR FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
600 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...FREEZE WARNING NORTHEAST 3 AM TO 8 AM EST SATURDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY BIG BEND THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST ...
...HARD FREEZE WATCH PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. BREEZY NORTH. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND
60 NORTH...THE LOWER 60S TO AROUND 70 CENTRAL...AND THE 70S SOUTH
AND KEYS.

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WINDY KEYS. LOWS IN THE 20S INTERIOR
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...TO THE LOWER 30S TO AROUND 40 ELSEWHERE
NORTH AND CENTRAL...WITH THE LOWER TO MID 40S TO NEAR 50 SOUTHWEST
...WITH THE 50S TO NEAR 60 ELSEWHERE SOUTH....EXCEPT LOWER TO MID 60S KEYS.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. BREEZY SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S NORTH...WITH THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70
CENTRAL...TO THE LOWER TO MID 70S SOUTH AND KEYS.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30
INTERIOR PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...WITH THE MID 30S TO NEAR 40
ELSEWHERE NORTH...TO THE 40S CENTRAL,...WITH THE 50S SOUTH...AND THE
LOWER TO MID 60S KEYS.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. BREEZY SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70 NORTH...TO THE 70S ELSEWHERE.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS PANHANDLE...AND ISOLATED
SHOWERS SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS. LOWS IN THE 40S NORTH...THE 50S
CENTRAL AND SOUTH...WITH THE LOWER TO MID 60S SOUTHEAST COAST AND
UPPER 60S KEYS. HIGHS IN 70S...EXCEPT NEAR 80 SOUTH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EXCEPT
PANHANDLE. LOWS IN THE 40S NORTH...WITH MOSTLY 50S CENTRAL
...AND THE 50S SOUTH...EXCEPT THE 60S SOUTHEAST COAST AND
NEAR 70 KEYS. HIGHS IN THE 60S NORTH...WITH THE 70S ELSEWHERE
…EXCEPT NEAR 80 SOUTH AND KEYS.

[robbielyn]

Hey ya'll. I have december 1-9th off and I was wondering if you know what the temps will be in clearwater during that time and where i need to go to get some warm sun here in fl how far south do i need to go? I saw how the gfs said early december maybe cold. That is really upsetting to me as i am going through the winter blues and need some beach weather. Thanks in advance. robbielyn

[HURAKAN]

Today's Low, 49.6ºF. Lowest since February.

[robbielyn]

Today's Low, 49.6ºF. Lowest since February.

49 is cold by miami standards but that would be welcomed here in spring hill where we saw temps in the twenty's. it is really cold this time of year. Last year we were in the 80's and had very few cold fronts. This year it's done a complete flip. that is sad to say the least.

[Sanibel]

Yeah, gatorcane, a cool spell early on with these weird shoulder season swings can be followed by a rebound of warm later on.


Zero rain here lately. Had to water the citrus which never had any tropical systems this year and are abundant with fruit. Good Valencia orange crop this year and red grapefruit.

[jinftl]

Technically the 'offical' low in Miami (airport) was 58 degrees....but inland areas did get cooler as you mention. Still this hasn't been as cold as the November 2006 cold outbreak...where Miami spent 2 consecutive days with highs at or below 65 deg. No high temps below 70 this month....none in the forecast.

November 2008 to date...lowest 'high' temp at MIA - 72 deg. Lowest 'low' temp at MIA - 52 deg

vs.

November 2006...lowest 'high' temp at MIA - 63 deg. Lowest 'low' temp at MIA - 45 deg (which probably means colder inland spots saw 30s).

Today's Low, 49.6ºF. Lowest since February.

49 is cold by miami standards but that would be welcomed here in spring hill where we saw temps in the twenty's. it is really cold this time of year. Last year we were in the 80's and had very few cold fronts. This year it's done a complete flip. that is sad to say the least.

[HURAKAN]

Kendall (Tamiami Airport) had a low of 48ºF. What a difference between airports.

[jinftl]

NWS office forecasts for the first part of the upcoming holiday across florida…the “sunshine state” looks like it will live up to its name from the panahandle to the keys with slowly moderating temps...don't forget the sunscreen if you are outdoors for an extended amount of time!

Jacksonville:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 65.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 71.


Panama City:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 60.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 63.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.


Tallahassee:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 60.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 61.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.


Orlando:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 72.


Fort Pierce:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 74.


Tampa:Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 71.


Naples:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 77


Miami:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 76.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 76.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 77.


Key West:
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Thanksgiving Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.

[Sanibel]

Another reinforcing cold wave today. Moderate November cold front.

Warming, high 70's monday.

[jinftl]

I know there was another front passage yesterday....but this reading as of 12pm est doesn't sound right for destin:

FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1200 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

DESTIN SUNNY 35 20 54 NE8 30.55F WCI 29


No other location on panhandle reporting a temp under 49 deg as of the same time.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Another front moves through by Tuesday or so...
bringing temperatures over central inland Florida
of 40-45 *F into Wednesday night. Then things warm up.

I wonder, with temperatures averaging 25 degrees below
normal last week and now still 15-20 degrees below normal
this week and 10 degrees below normal today, even with that
warm up temperatures will still be 5 degrees below normal.
Usually, you get prefrontal temperatures 10 degrees above normal,
and then post-front temperatures 10 degrees below normal.

But with these cold fronts, the temperature does not even modify
to the normal temperatures.

With this in mind, a strong cold front in December or January could
put Florida in a Severe Freeze.

In 2002, Tampa dipped to the upper 30s for the first time in very late
November/December. That was a very cold winter. January 24, 2003
brought Arctic Fury with a low in Tampa of 27*F and 29*F in Saint
Petersburg, the coldest in a decade.

We have ALREADY in mid november seen widespread mid to upper
30s; Could this mean a potentially devastating freeze in January,
if you extrapolate- you are looking at, with these series fronts,
the following December/January Cold Potentials:
Tampa: 25*F
Saint Petersburg: 27*F
Miami: 32*F
Orlando: 24*F
Tallahassee: 9*F
Destin: 9*F

Unless there is a significant pattern change, we are in for a
significantly brutal winter- especially for farmers. The jet stream
has a HECK of extra energy this year allowing it to dive so far south
in the East while setting heat records in the West.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

These series cold fronts have been bringing temperatures 25
degrees below normal- earlier in the week.

Tampa Average January Low: 50*F
50-25 = 25*F
North Florida, with little doubt, will see single digit temperatures
this winter unless there is a pattern change.

[JonathanBelles]

I'm loving this cool weather. I'm hoping the fall foliage which resides just north of Tampa will trek down a ways.

[HURAKAN]