ATL: IRENE - Models

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Scorpion

#2981 Postby Scorpion » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:05 pm

Looking the same as 18z to me...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2982 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:06 pm

Ridge seems to be holding on
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2983 Postby S2K1 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:06 pm

SSSSLLLLLOOOOOOOOWWWWWWW
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#2984 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:06 pm

H72 SE of Andros continues WNW and strengthening



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal072.gif
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#2985 Postby SeminoleWind » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:07 pm

oh boy this is starting to look wild on this run for sure. :double:
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#2986 Postby Bocadude85 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:08 pm

Vortex wrote:H72 SE of Andros continues WNW and strengthening



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal072.gif



Looks just like the 18z.. should turn to the NW soon and miss Fla to the east again
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2987 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:08 pm

Close call for Miami possible
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#2988 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:08 pm

H+78 stronger and near Andros....



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal078.gif
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#2989 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:08 pm

Look how favorable the GFS shows the upper air pattern. The Bahamas may be in for a doozy.
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#2990 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:09 pm

The 00Z GFS has the second trough pretty zonal....
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2991 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:10 pm

I don't see how it's going to move north very quickly with that 1018 High camped out over North Carolina...

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#2992 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:10 pm

H+84 over andros, intensifying...ridging looks stronger to the north



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal084.gif
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2993 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:10 pm

looks like the GFS is over the NHC track
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2994 Postby hurricaneCW » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:10 pm

We are so focused on the U.S. mainland that we're forgetting how much impact Irene will have over Puerto Rico, DR, and the Bahamas. The Bahamas could really get rocked with this one as will DR.
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#2995 Postby Scorpion » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:11 pm

Looks closer to FL this run
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2996 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:12 pm

I'm going all in...We're gonna get a South/Central Florida landfall on this run!

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#2997 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:12 pm

H+90 turing into weakness over western bahamas


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal090.gif
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#2998 Postby StarmanHDB » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:12 pm

Speaking of the possible track, can someone please explain to me what Bryan Norcross was talking about concerning the role of the jet stream in steering Irene's future track?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2999 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:12 pm

00z 78 hr position is about 50-75 mi SW of the 18z 84 hr position

00z 78h

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/20110822/00/gfs_wnatl_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif


18z 84 h

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/20110821/18/gfs_wnatl_084_10m_wnd_precip.gif
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#3000 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:13 pm

Is it still going wnw or nw?
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