ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

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Clearcloudz
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3041 Postby Clearcloudz » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:09 pm




:eek: :eek: :eek: Storm surge is gonna be insane with that expanded wind field.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3042 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:09 pm

:eek:

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3043 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:09 pm

She really looks to be ramping up. Look at those cloud tops wrapping around the center

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3044 Postby 869MB » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:12 pm

Image

The above SPC Surface Vorticity 0400Z image is a good illustration of the surface air convergence (solid red lines) encompassing the center of Hurricane Ida flanked by surface air divergence (dashed blue lines) on the northwest to southeast periphery of the storm.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3045 Postby KimmieLa » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:12 pm

Kohlecane wrote:ohhh she looking mean, 3 hour fixes huh? wonder what the NHC does at 11
https://s9.gifyu.com/images/COD-GOES-East-meso-meso1.ntmicro.20210829.014724-overmap-bars.gif


She looks crabby to me in this pic!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3046 Postby Chris90 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:13 pm

I’ll go ahead and guess recon finds 105kts/952mb.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3047 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:13 pm

ADT up to 5.6/104kts now. Let's see how close that is to recon
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3048 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:14 pm

A few B spots on the CDO but otherwise this is approaching T6.5.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3049 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:15 pm

Stair stepping NW. Maybe another northward jog

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3050 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:16 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:
ROCK wrote:Need more cow bells!! Or recon needs to get in there 964 was last pressure I saw. Probably be under 960 now



Yeah Rock, Im sure she's in the 950's now...maybe low 950's


Agree just can’t have this type of presentation around the eye and not be around 950s…winds for sure have caught up by now..IMO…
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#3051 Postby LARanger » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:16 pm

Clearcloudz wrote:Current NHC Track zoomed in to show areas that will be impacted. If I'm in New Orleans I'm biting my nails.

https://i.imgur.com/N7stIa7.jpg


Frak me, I can't "see my house from here" because the line covers it up.
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The GFDL would've had all this figured out by now.

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3052 Postby LSU2001 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:16 pm

Well, shoot, since everyone else is predictions/guesses I reckon I'll throw in mine. I am gonna go with 110kts with a 949mb central pressure. I really think she took off just after the plane left earlier. She has been rocking and rolling ever since and it shows.
Tim
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3053 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:16 pm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 29 AUG 2021 Time : 032020 UTC
Lat : 27:13:47 N Lon : 88:06:36 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.6 / 953.6mb/104.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.6 5.8 6.1

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 10 km

Center Temp : -4.0C Cloud Region Temp : -68.5C

Scene Type : EYE
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3054 Postby PavelGaborik » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:17 pm

Going with Recon finding a 110 MPH, 954 MB strong cat 2.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3055 Postby sikkar » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:18 pm

Eye contracting on radar in realtime!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3056 Postby birddogsc » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:19 pm

Teal 72 turning in...

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3057 Postby LSU2001 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:19 pm

Frak me, I can't "see my house from here" because the line covers it up.

Yep, that line goes almost directly over my house in Cut Off La. It's gonna be a wild ride tomorrow evening and night!! :eek: :eek:
Last edited by LSU2001 on Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3058 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:19 pm

I'm predicting 105 kts and pressure around 955. Going to be very interesting!
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3059 Postby CryHavoc » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:20 pm

I'm going with the over here. 120mph, 949mb.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3060 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:20 pm

Whole lot of predictions going around….I got 115 MPH with 950 MB
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