ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[BensonTCwatcher]

5:11 PM.

Anyone know that time high tide is around here? Near exchange place path...

7:53 p.m. Not good. Water at Battery is almost at earlier peak with highest tide more than 2.5 hours away. judging from the Battery Obs, it will get to 10 ft, at the current rate. Or maybe 2 more feet in the current pic.

[cycloneye]

Is it just me or did the 5pm advisory seem exactly like the 11am???

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 30...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

THE 11 AM PREVIOUSLY TRANSMITTED DISCUSSION INADVERTENTLY OVERWROTE
WHAT WAS INTENDED FOR TRANSMISSION AT 5 PM. WE ARE WORKING TO
RECREATE THE 5 PM DISCUSSION PRODUCT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 38.8N 74.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 39.8N 76.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 30/1800Z 40.4N 78.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/0600Z 41.3N 78.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/1800Z 42.8N 77.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1800Z 45.1N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1800Z 46.3N 72.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1800Z 47.5N 65.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[GoneBabyGone]

Any good sites for monitoring up to the minute gusts/sustained winds at my location?

[SunnyThoughts]

ABC just announced that CONED is saying power below 36th street in Manhattan will likely be turned off.

Link?

Im watching this live stream from abc.... just relaying things they say from time to time. http://abclocal.go.com/wabc/livenow?id=8857235

[windnrain]

Conditions look BAD in NYC right now:

http://www.cbsnews.com/2718-201_162-195 ... ive-video/

[TeamPlayersBlue]

It looks like the transition is taking place.

[Hey Its Me]

5:11 PM.

Anyone know that time high tide is around here? Near exchange place path...

7:53 p.m. Not good. Water at Battery is almost at earlier peak with highest tide more than 2.5 hours away. judging from the Battery Obs, it will get to 10 ft, at the current rate. Or maybe 2 more feet in the current pic.

OK, I'm lazy... What height (not including standard water level...1.3'?) at B.P. was equated to possible subway flooding?

[r22weiss]

Sandy still a hurricane. All TS warnings remaining are gone. TWC fail lol.

And a lot of people on here jumping on with that. TWC should be more careful to say facts not predictions.

IMO

While NHC is still classifying Sandy as a hurricane, satellite and radar representation shows that it has made the transition to a extra-tropical storm and has been absorbed into the large upper level circulation. Symantics at this point because the effects on the northeast are still the same.

[Sanibel]

Visible loop makes it look like the center busted open at landfall. The SE wind shoulder still hasn't reached NY.

[BensonTCwatcher]

5:11 PM.

Anyone know that time high tide is around here? Near exchange place path...

7:53 p.m. Not good. Water at Battery is almost at earlier peak with highest tide more than 2.5 hours away. judging from the Battery Obs, it will get to 10 ft, at the current rate. Or maybe 2 more feet in the current pic.

OK, I'm lazy... What height (not including standard water level...1.3'?) at B.P. was equated to possible subway flooding?

10.5' is the top level recorded and generally the level over which the subway system coudl flood. Irene was 8-12" from that level.

[Sonica]

Sandy still a hurricane. All TS warnings remaining are gone. TWC fail lol.

And a lot of people on here jumping on with that. TWC should be more careful to say facts not predictions.

IMO

While NHC is still classifying Sandy as a hurricane, satellite and radar representation shows that it has made the transition to a extra-tropical storm and has been absorbed into the large upper level circulation. Symantics at this point because the effects on the northeast are still the same.

I think some people watching TWC hear them say not a hurricane and get a false sense of security. Just like on here you must make disclaimer as to not do same thing.

[Terry]

RuhRoh - Gov of NJ admonishing Mayor of Atlantic City about encouraging people to stay. Live on CNN, etc.

[SunnyThoughts]

ohhh gov Chris Christie not too happy with the mayor of atlantic city. He says "for some reason" the mayor told everyone to go to shelters and they would be fine. Well now Christie is saying they can't come and get them, that it is their responsibility. (listening to his news conference on http://abclocal.go.com/wabc/livenow?id=8857235

[Sanibel]

The live CNN reporter at Atlantic City says conditions have moderated. That might be it, I'm not sure.

[Hey Its Me]

OK, I'm lazy... What height (not including standard water level...1.3'?) at B.P. was equated to possible subway flooding?

10.5' is the top level recorded and generally the level over which the subway system coudl flood. Irene was 8-12" from that level.

Just to clerify, is that 10.5' over the min water level or 10.5' including the min water level (10.5-1.3=9.2' on the charts)?

[GoneBabyGone]

5:38

[ozonepete]

10.5' is the top level recorded and generally the level over which the subway system coudl flood. Irene was 8-12" from that level.

I just checked. In the December 1992 nor'easter where there was heavy subway flooding and water went well over the Battery, highest water level reached around 9 feet 9 inches.

[r22weiss]

[I think some people watching TWC hear them say not a hurricane and get a false sense of security. Just like on here you must make disclaimer as to not do same thing.[/quote]

Agree and we don't want people getting a false sense of security at this point because this storm still has a way to go.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Thanks for the updated pics Gone. That little grasy spot is almost completely covered.

[ozonepete]

OK, I'm lazy... What height (not including standard water level...1.3'?) at B.P. was equated to possible subway flooding?

10.5' is the top level recorded and generally the level over which the subway system coudl flood. Irene was 8-12" from that level.

Just to clerify, is that 10.5' over the min water level or 10.5' including the min water level (10.5-1.3=9.2' on the charts)?

10.5 feet including mean low water.