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Winter Weather Discussion

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snow_wizzard
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#3101 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Mar 08, 2005 6:11 pm

I would sure like to know what those guys are smoking. :lol:

I certainly do not see above normal temps next week...they are crazy. The chances for really cold weather are disappearing, but I don't care anymore...just give me some freaking weather! The one thing that the GFS has been consistent on is very active weather by the middle of next week. I will bet those clowns at the NWS $100.00 each that they are wrong! Do they not see the northerly flow and crashing heights...what do they pay those idiots anyway?

I have the "heavy guns" on my side too!

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... ns/610day/

Above normal my freaking A**!

In his defense, I will say that he may be getting a bit frustrated and just spouted off without really thinking. The thought that some people would do that! Sheesh! :D
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AnthonyC
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#3102 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Mar 08, 2005 6:29 pm

And the streak continues...another AWESOME DAY...granted a few high clouds...but 70F!!! Is it really the beginning of March?

And truth be told...where's the big pattern change for next week?! The GFS has abandoned the idea of an arctic outbreak for next week...but they still insist on a zonal flow. That's some good news. BUT...Thursday, Friday and Saturday look sunny and warm!! Actually, temperatures on Friday will probably be in the 70s over much of Western Washington. Dude, you gotta love this weather!!

Anthony

Currently 71F!!! Dude, what month is this?!
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W13
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#3103 Postby W13 » Tue Mar 08, 2005 6:43 pm

Wow! What an amazing day! The sun was out, everything was perfect! It is now currently 70 F (feels hotter, and I will assume it is), and the wind is calm. The only think I didn't like about today is all the bees swarming around out there. :P

I was wondering if anyone is going to the State Basketball Tournament which starts tommorow at the Tacoma Dome. I am going (I get to miss most of my classes) tommorow, and possible Thursday and Friday. Tickets for these three days are only around $12.00. The finals of the tournament I believe are on Saturday and/or Sunday.
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andrewr
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#3104 Postby andrewr » Tue Mar 08, 2005 6:59 pm

Anyone read the KOMO 4 weather discussion? http://www.komotv.com/weather/ We were warmer than Los Angeles, San Diego, and Dallas. Pretty crazy stuff.
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snow_wizzard
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#3105 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Mar 08, 2005 7:02 pm

It is amazing. I am just dying for the time this all evens out. We are certainly going to get smacked at some point! :lol: :eek: :D
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#3106 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Mar 08, 2005 7:48 pm

Another piece of good news, for the future. My friend at NOAA said that since the El Nino has died there is little chance that it will come back next winter. He said it's very rare for an El Nino to rekindle that fast. Let's cross our fingers and hope that holds true this time. He also said he expects a negative AO next winter. While that does not always bring us cold by itself, it almost always does when the PNA is negative. One thing for sure...the PNA has proven it wants to be in the negative phase over the past two years.
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#3107 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Mar 08, 2005 8:59 pm

Very odd...The ECMWF continues to hold onto the cold for next week. It shows heights of 540 with a northerly flow coming down from very high latitudes. The big difference is that it does not show the offshore ridge pinching off like the GFS. This is very unusual. I wonder which one is right.?
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#3108 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Mar 08, 2005 9:14 pm

Mount St. Helens erupted once again...biggest eruption since its recent activity began in September. Very interesting stuff.
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#3109 Postby invisible » Tue Mar 08, 2005 9:15 pm

It's raining with 52 F here in Abbotsford. The temperature only went up to 56 F today. It's much cooler than south areas such as Seattle and Tacoma.

I believe that the high temperature for next week will be in mid 40s to lower 50s for north Washington. I am not sure how strong northerly flow will come here. If we get stronger northerly flow, we will be in mid 40s for north Washington.
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#3110 Postby invisible » Tue Mar 08, 2005 9:23 pm

I think that we will be in cooler pattern for next week because PNA will probably drop really quickly from 4 to -2 in a little time. It sounds incredible fast.
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andrewr
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#3111 Postby andrewr » Tue Mar 08, 2005 9:29 pm

Looks as though it will go negative for a few days before once again going positive.

EDIT: According to a member over at west coast weather Camas, Washington reached 79F!
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#3112 Postby W13 » Tue Mar 08, 2005 9:54 pm

AnthonyC wrote:Mount St. Helens erupted once again...biggest eruption since its recent activity began in September. Very interesting stuff.


Yep, I was just watching the television coverage of it. Pretty cool to see that ash plume slowly dirfting towards Yakima, especially with the sunset. 8-)
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#3113 Postby W13 » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:01 pm

andrewr wrote:Looks as though it will go negative for a few days before once again going positive.

EDIT: According to a member over at west coast weather Camas, Washington reached 79F!


Wow, crazy weather for the begginning of March! :eek:
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#3114 Postby R-Dub » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:08 pm

Currently 59.7 degrees after a high of 66.2 degrees. Warmest day of the yr so far 8-)
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#3115 Postby andycottle » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:19 pm

Ok....first off,

Snow wizzard...that schoolnet thremometer must be in the sun, if yours was not reading the same temp.

Tim...you said you hit a high of 77. Awsome! I do have to ask though....is your temp sensor in the sun or all shade? I know it can be much warmer there at times due to down sloping winds, but just thought I would ask.

-- Andy
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#3116 Postby andycottle » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:27 pm

Wooooww...! And here I was outside working in my garden this afternoon when St.Helens erupted. DARN! Missed A piece of live history! :( Well...it better be in the paper tomorrow!! Oh BTW....thoes are some pretty awsome images from the Portland webcams and other local viewers.
-- Andy
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#3117 Postby R-Dub » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:27 pm

I was 4yrs old when MT ST Helens blew back in 1980. I lived in the same town that I do now (Stanwood area) I was in bed when this huge BOOM shook my bedroom. I remember running into my parents room scared to death, I had never heard a noise like that! We got a slight dusting of ash a few days later, but of course nothing like places east got!

Didn't hear anything tonight from this small explosion though.

What were you old timers like me :lol: doing on May 18, 1980??
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#3118 Postby R-Dub » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:40 pm

Ash now falling in the Ellensburg area!! Also Moses Lake has also been added to the ashfall advisory! I was there for the last couple of days visiting my mom there! Wish I would have stayed, that would have been awesome to see 8-)
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#3119 Postby R-Dub » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:42 pm

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
712 PM PST TUE MAR 8 2005

WAZ034-035-090800-
MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EPHRATA...GEORGE...RITZVILLE..
GRAND COULEE...COULEE CITY
712 PM PST TUE MAR 8 2005

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 800 PM PST THIS EVENING TO
1200 AM PST WEDNESDAY..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED AN
ASHFALL ADVISORY FOR THE MOSES LAKE AREA AND THE UPPER COLUMBIA
BASIN SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 FOR THIS EVENING.

AN ERUPTION OF MOUNT ST. HELENS SENT AN ASH CLOUD TO AROUND
35000 FEET ALTITUDE BETWEEN 530 PM AND 600 PM PST THIS EVENING.
SATELLITE INDICATES THIS CLOUD IS DRIFTING EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS ASH CLOUD WILL CROSS GRANT COUNTY AND ADAMS COUNTY BETWEEN 800
PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AS THIS ASH CLOUD TRANSITS THE REGION TRACE
AMOUNTS OF VOLCANIC ASH MAY BE DEPOSITED ON SURFACES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...BROADCAST RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS
CONCERNING THIS HAZARDOUS EVENT.
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#3120 Postby andycottle » Tue Mar 08, 2005 10:54 pm

Hey Randy..! You know what would of been really cool, is seeing the mountain erupt from the High Skyline trail at Paradise, Mt.Rainier. Now that would be a site to see!

In terms of todays weather......a wonderful day!! Nice`n warm this afternoon with partly cloudy skies. My today was 71 with a low of 42.
Here`s a few pics I took today of some alto cumulus clouds. -- Andy

http://pg.photos.yahoo.com/ph/ajc192004 ... pg&.src=ph

http://pg.photos.yahoo.com/ph/ajc192004 ... pg&.src=ph

http://pg.photos.yahoo.com/ph/ajc192004 ... pg&.src=ph
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