ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AutoPenalti]

6413 Ocean drive Emerald Isle.

My backyard pool in Coconut Creek has enough latent heat to create hot towers

[Michele B]

I go with Miami -Keys - then gulf

NO!!!

[ObsessedMiami]

I will take Hollywood landfall

[Blown Away]

Looks like Isaias is gaining a bit more latitude now.

[skillz305]

Can it be 5pm already? Everyone in Central FL is literally ignoring this. All my friends are saying "yeah this is going offshore into NC" this isn't Dorian FFS.....

[Kat5]

Looks like Isaias is gaining a bit more latitude now.

Considering the WV right now, it might turn more NNW later this evening. I believe the Hurricane models are doing a good job so far. That ridge strength on the global runs are too suspect.

[LCfromFL]

So a Fay 2008 like impacts for NE Florida at worst or not?

Gosh I hope not. My home flooded with Fay 2008...and then again with Irma 2017.

[GCANE]

CAPE increasing to 3500 in the core.

So ridge will be stronger?

Better possibility of strengthening.

[TheStormExpert]

The Calm Before The Storm here in South Florida!

 https://twitter.com/sammyhadiwx/status/1289289339403268102

[jlauderdal]

6413 Ocean drive Emerald Isle.

My backyard pool in Coconut Creek has enough latent heat to create hot towers

tropical systems seek warm water, expect landfall in coconut creek which wouldnt be good since I'm less than 10 miles from there..oh well, the genny is ready and I have permission from the people that count to wait until tomorrow morning to put up shutters, I'm hoping for something north of palm beach to get a shutter reprieve..anything closer and they are going up..might put a few up in the front of th house after the 5 just to scare the neighbors, will see what stacy stewart has cooked up

[dkommers]

Anybody has a link to a site that shows the satellite loops but with the NHC forecast track overlayed on it. I loved the old style nhc satellite maps with that feature. Thanks in advance!

[jlauderdal]

The Calm Before The Storm here in South Florida!

https://twitter.com/sammyhadiwx/status/1289289339403268102

not sure where they are seeing this low humidity, I am seeing some RH in the 50s west of 95 so that qualifies as lower than normal


FT LAUDERDALE MOSUNNY 90 78 68

[GCANE]

Eyewall rapidly snapping into shape.
Would love to see a satellite radar image.

[BobHarlem]

 https://twitter.com/watkinstrack/status/1289288180609548289

[GCANE]

Bigger chunk of eastern Cuba just had a rapid surge in CAPE.
Seeing 3500.

[otowntiger]

Despite the rumblings on this site and some of the models shifting west, I still think this thing will miss Florida to the east altogether. It may get within 50-100 miles at some point but I think it will stay further out as we were thinking yesterday/last night. Obviously I'm no pro and have no credentials other than lots of experience watching and paying close attention for a lot of years. And there are still a lot of models that keep this out to sea.

[SFLcane]

Look at this windfield!

[Nimbus]

The high cirrus clouds continue to expand west and northwestward without much evidence of troughing out ahead of the storm.. yet..
See if there is anything new in the 5 PM.
Hopefully not the dreaded "THIS CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC STEERING PATTERN SHOULD"..

[DestinHurricane]

Despite the rumblings on this site and some of the models shifting west, I still think this thing will miss Florida to the east altogether. It may get within 50-100 miles at some point but I think it will stay further out as we were thinking yesterday/last night. Obviously I'm no pro and have no credentials other than lots of experience watching and paying close attention for a lot of years. And there are still a lot of models that keep this out to sea.

What makes you think this?

[FireRat]

Wow, looks like FL is in play again, any 'good news' from earlier was short lived, and Miami north to Daytona are not out of the woods yet! No bueno, gonna be a close call. Hopefully Southeast FL lucks out the way they did with Matthew.

Oh Lord, I hate to even think of a Matthew again. We are 88 miles inland as a crow flies and we had so much damage to our home. We were fortunate though because many folks were flooded. Ours was wind blown rain. Roof damage, exterior damage and rain blown in and water running down our walls in my bedroom and our dining room. We never figured out how it did that! We did go get propane this morning for our grill to.cook with and gas for our generator just in case we do have any power outage here. Not worth waiting til the last minute. We'll use the stuff either way.

I feel ya! Matt was very bad for NC. I'm actually living in central NC now, so I'm also watching this thing closely to see how far inland he decides to come here. Best of luck in your locale!