Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3181 Postby **Ntxw** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 7:13 pm

Oh Ivanhater you're being so cruel to Portastorm! :cheesy:

Thanks for the post! I'm sure that will get many here a bit excited.

#3182 Postby **somethingfunny** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 7:20 pm

*drives off the road staring at that map Ivanhater posted*

Its so detailed.....so beautiful.....so much 3"+.......SCREECH CRASH

iorange55 · #3183 Postby **iorange55** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 7:33 pm

Maybe if that was the Euro and GFS saying that and it was only 2 days away I'd be really excited!

#3184 Postby **Rgv20** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 7:39 pm

As you all can see the ECMWF Ensembles does not shunt the cold air to the east as quick as the Operational ECMWF.

#3185 Postby **Rgv20** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 7:44 pm

GFS Ensembles with the same general thinking as the ECMWF Ensembles in regards to the cold air.

#3186 Postby **Portastorm** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:00 pm

If Ivanhater wasn't a mod, I'd suspend his account for a week for posting that map! :lol:

I just showed it to one of my sons who remarked "oh, that would be sweet."

#3187 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:08 pm

Ivanhater wrote:For some Tuesday Evening entertainment for my friends over in Texas..18z DGEX Snowfall accumulation map

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll ... now192.gif

*vb falls over in a swoon* raises head again to see the map and faints again* :eek:

CYCLONE MIKE · #3188 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:26 pm

I know the chances of what Ivan posted happening are about 1%, but if by some miracle it does come to fruition you guys in Texas had better learn to share with your neighbors in LA. :lol:

Metalicwx220 · #3189 Postby **Metalicwx220** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:28 pm

ITS really not that far out.

#3190 Postby **gboudx** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:30 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:I know the chances of what Ivan posted happening are about 1%, but if by some miracle it does come to fruition you guys in Texas had better learn to share with your neighbors in LA.

You already have some of the best snoballs in the world.

Believe it or not, you miss those when you move to a place where they call them "snow cones".

#3191 Postby **txagwxman** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:39 pm

DGEX is ice/sleet for Austin/Sat/CLL..850 mb temps < 0C Waco/DFW not NW of Houston.

CajunMama · #3192 Postby **CajunMama** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 10:33 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:I know the chances of what Ivan posted happening are about 1%, but if by some miracle it does come to fruition you guys in Texas had better learn to share with your neighbors in LA.

You are SO right!!!!!!!

CajunMama · #3193 Postby **CajunMama** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 10:48 pm

Metalicwx220 wrote:ITS really not that far out.

Far enough out that it's going to change many times. You know that.

#3194 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 10:55 pm

I had a lot of fun with crayons today, just for my pal Portastorm....I'm talking to YOU!

iorange55 · #3195 Postby **iorange55** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 11:33 pm

Hmmm GFS has a big storm, lots of moisture. Not as cold, though. At least so far through 168hrs.

Nice seeing the moisture there. I think that is still the biggest question, it seems like it'll be cold enough even if it's not showing it to be right now.

Not a lot of cold air in this run. I don't buy it, though.

#3196 Postby **BigB0882** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 11:43 pm

I don't want to be Debbie Downer but I wouldn't be shocked if it isn't as cold as it was showing a few days ago. It seems like the big blast is always 10+ days away.

#3197 Postby **Ntxw** » Tue Jan 25, 2011 11:52 pm

iorange55 wrote:Hmmm GFS has a big storm, lots of moisture. Not as cold, though. At least so far through 168hrs.

Nice seeing the moisture there. I think that is still the biggest question, it seems like it'll be cold enough even if it's not showing it to be right now.

Not a lot of cold air in this run. I don't buy it, though.

I agree the cold will be there (at least for the northern half). Ensembles and other Ops have always been colder than the GFS. The question has always been how much moisture return will be available since this storm has yet to form. Jigsaw puzzle and forensic science. Just a little bit of everything to make the picture!

FWIW a 1040+ high in the central plains isn't going to stall the front along the red river (central or southern Texas even). At minimal the lower levels will be freezing imo.

#3198 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:19 am

What is this all about?

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

#3199 Postby **Rgv20** » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:24 am

^Thats for February, March, and April three month outlook

#3200 Postby **Rgv20** » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:25 am

CMC has a 1050 High coming down the Dakotas by 00z Monday Feb 1

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