EPAC: AMANDA - Post-Tropical

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xtyphooncyclonex
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#321 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun May 25, 2014 8:05 am

The strongest May ePac hurricane in recorded history, surpassing Hurricane Adolph of 2001. :eek:

I guess this is only 5 knots shy of category 5 status, this is unbelievable.
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#322 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:09 am

HOLY CRAP!!!!! WOW!!!!!!!!

I can not believe this. This is stunning. WOW!!!! Never though in my wildest dreams this would happen. 135 KNOTS in may!!!
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Re: Re:

#323 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:09 am

Extratropical94 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Its really hard for NHC to go 140 without recon. If we get some more dark grey on the dvorak IR images, they might do it.


Do you know if they had recon in Celia (2010)?


No. Celia was way too far out and land, and the NHC focused it's recon on what later became Alex 10 in the ATL.
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#324 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun May 25, 2014 8:12 am

Yellow Evan wrote:HOLY CRAP!!!!! WOW!!!!!!!!

I can not believe this. This is stunning. WOW!!!! Never though in my wildest dreams this would happen. 135 KNOTS in may!!!


Yes, indeed. I don't think anyone thought this would happen. Now it's just to wait a little less than two hours before history is likely made.
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#325 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun May 25, 2014 8:13 am

Hurricane Amanda is currently the strongest storm in the ePac since Hurricane Celia of 2010.
Could this be stronger? I am really amazed.
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#326 Postby TheAustinMan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:16 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Hurricane Amanda is currently the strongest storm in the ePac since Hurricane Celia of 2010.
Could this be stronger? I am really amazed.


Just a little correction - Hurricane Dora (2011) did make it as strong as 155 mph / 929 mbar in July.
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane=12z Best Track up to 135kts.

#327 Postby Macrocane » Sun May 25, 2014 8:19 am

:eek:
Last time we saw such a stunning storm on this side of the world was Dora in 2011.

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#328 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:20 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Hurricane Amanda is currently the strongest storm in the ePac since Hurricane Celia of 2010.
Could this be stronger? I am really amazed.



They might pull the trigger IMO. Steward did the 12z TWO, and he tends to be very bullish.
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Re: Re:

#329 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun May 25, 2014 8:27 am

Yellow Evan wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Hurricane Amanda is currently the strongest storm in the ePac since Hurricane Celia of 2010.
Could this be stronger? I am really amazed.



They might pull the trigger IMO. Steward did the 12z TWO, and he tends to be very bullish.

But still, the convection is really cold and the eye is so warm. The storm looks impressive enough for that intensity. The last time we had this was Dora of 2011. This is quite unusual, as it is very early for such to form.
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#330 Postby Ntxw » Sun May 25, 2014 8:31 am

Holy cow is right. She continues to beat what you think she will do. Just stunning little system, record making.
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane=12z Best Track up to 135kts.

#331 Postby TheAustinMan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:31 am

Latest microwave imagery does not show any signs of an EWRC as of yet, and unlike Hurricane Dora of 2011, Amanda does not appear to have a dominant peripheral mass of convection. As the terminator approaches Amanda we should get to finally see what Amanda looks like in its sharpest definition.

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Last edited by TheAustinMan on Sun May 25, 2014 8:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane=12z Best Track up to 135kts.

#332 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun May 25, 2014 8:34 am

I've run out of words for this hurricane. :eek: :eek:

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#333 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:34 am

To be fair, the cloud tops may have warmed slightly. Still has some time left to become a Cat 5 before time is up IMO.
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Re:

#334 Postby Tireman4 » Sun May 25, 2014 8:36 am

Ntxw wrote:Holy cow is right. She continues to beat what you think she will do. Just stunning little system, record making.


I hope I am not stating the obvious, but this could be a long year in the EPAC....
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Re: Re:

#335 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 25, 2014 8:37 am

Tireman4 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Holy cow is right. She continues to beat what you think she will do. Just stunning little system, record making.


I hope I am not stating the obvious, but this could be a long year in the EPAC....


I posted something like that at EPAC thread
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#336 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun May 25, 2014 8:39 am

The cloudtops have warmed a little, but the ring of red is even thicker and rounder, plus, the eye looks clearer to me. I, however, don't fully think they'll upgrade it to a Category 5, but that's just my opinion.
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Re:

#337 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun May 25, 2014 8:41 am

hurricanes1234 wrote:The cloudtops have warmed a little, but the ring of red is even thicker and rounder, plus, the eye looks clearer to me. I, however, don't fully think they'll upgrade it to a Category 5, but that's just my opinion.


I won't be shocked if they keep it at 135 knts, but I think there's chance they declare it 140 knts.
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane

#338 Postby tolakram » Sun May 25, 2014 8:43 am

Still a little early for a good visible but you can see what appears to be shear starting to impinge on the right side of Amanda.

13:00Z

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Re: Re:

#339 Postby Ntxw » Sun May 25, 2014 8:44 am

Yellow Evan wrote:
hurricanes1234 wrote:The cloudtops have warmed a little, but the ring of red is even thicker and rounder, plus, the eye looks clearer to me. I, however, don't fully think they'll upgrade it to a Category 5, but that's just my opinion.


I won't be shocked if they keep it at 135 knts, but I think there's chance they declare it 140 knts.


Wouldn't this make Amanda very close (if not soon) to tie or beating ITA for the strongest cyclone in 2014 to date? ITA peaked at 135kts and 930mbar
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#340 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun May 25, 2014 8:46 am

First visible - SPECTACULAR.

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