Rita Recon Reports

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Derek Ortt

#321 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:38 pm

the SFMR reports are very highly suspect
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#322 Postby tracyswfla » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:39 pm

Ya know I love those Vortex's!
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#323 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:42 pm

563
URNT12 KNHC 191941
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/19:31:50Z
B. 23 deg 06 min N
076 deg 05 min W
C. 850 mb 1387 m
D. 55 kt
E. 49 deg 038 nm
F. 136 deg 062 kt
G. 049 deg 036 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 19 C/ 1521 m
J. 22 C/ 1527 m
K. 17 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF302 0518A RITA OB 12
MAX FL WIND 62 KT NE QUAD 19:20:30 Z




UP one millibar from last vortex.
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superfly

#324 Postby superfly » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:44 pm

Looks like a 60 MPH TS to me.
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krysof

#325 Postby krysof » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:45 pm

It's weakening? That's great, maybe this won't be a major hurricane after all. Good job Rita keep weakening! :D

I have a feeling she will get angry at me and explode, I hope not :(
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#326 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:47 pm

Any weakening is surely temporary.Shes got lots of warm water ahead of her
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#327 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:49 pm

krysof wrote:It's weakening? That's great, maybe this won't be a major hurricane after all. Good job Rita keep weakening! :D

I have a feeling she will get angry at me and explode, I hope not :(


It looks a little more ragged looking then did earlier. I think the mountains of Cuba are disrupting it's outflow on the side.
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#328 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:50 pm

krysof wrote:It's weakening? That's great, maybe this won't be a major hurricane after all. Good job Rita keep weakening! :D

I have a feeling she will get angry at me and explode, I hope not :(


It looks a little more ragged looking then did earlier. I think the mountains of Cuba are disrupting it's outflow on the side. Nevertheless, it will be a major hurricane in Gulf.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#329 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:50 pm

Storm Canceled :roll:
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#330 Postby MWatkins » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:53 pm

Fix to fix in 2 hours...it's moved only 15 mins west...that's what...60 nautical miles in 8 hours...that's somewhere between 7 and 8 knots. Not a huge slowdown...but probably just some relocation as the center is becoming better defined.

As far as weakening...probably not going to happen anytime soon...

MW
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#331 Postby ALhurricane » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:55 pm

I am a litle suprised at the lack of a pressure drop, but given the satellite presentation it is only a matter of time before we see some deepening.
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#332 Postby jpigott » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:55 pm

MWatkins wrote:Fix to fix in 2 hours...it's moved only 15 mins west...that's what...60 nautical miles in 8 hours...that's somewhere between 7 and 8 knots. Not a huge slowdown...but probably just some relocation as the center is becoming better defined.

As far as weakening...probably not going to happen anytime soon...

MW


relocation - where? N,S,E,W ??
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#333 Postby djtil » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:55 pm

while not weakening, reports of rapid intensification underway can be cancelled.
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#334 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:56 pm

krysof wrote:It's weakening? That's great, maybe this won't be a major hurricane after all. Good job Rita keep weakening! :D

I have a feeling she will get angry at me and explode, I hope not :(


If you think 1 mb is weakening, I have oceanfront property to sell. :lol:

Given the satellite appearance, there's no way this will not be a hurricane soon.
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#335 Postby soonertwister » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:58 pm

But I ready somebody's post that she was bombing!

(I'll have to check the NHC glossary for the definition of that...)
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#336 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Sep 19, 2005 2:59 pm

62 knots at flight=57 mph surface...The data supports 60 mph.
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krysof

#337 Postby krysof » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:02 pm

What's funny is that just before bombing, Katrina became really ragged and not very strong. That was right after it entered the gulf. Katrina began expanding rapidly after though and it really bombed. Is Rita following Katrina? Maybe.
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#338 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:03 pm

krysof wrote:What's funny is that just before bombing, Katrina became really ragged and not very strong. That was right after it entered the gulf. Katrina began expanding rapidly after though and it really bombed. Is Rita following Katrina? Maybe.


I remember that. I went to bed... 115 mph, looked horrible, no visible eye.

The next morning... 8 hours later, boom, Cat 5. :eek:
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#339 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:08 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 192005
AF302 0518A RITA HDOB 34 KNHC
1954 2215N 07701W 01524 0021 320 037 172 134 037 01581 0000000000
1954. 2214N 07702W 01527 0025 319 035 174 134 036 01588 0000000000
1955 2212N 07701W 01524 0024 315 034 174 132 035 01584 0000000000
1955. 2211N 07700W 01522 0024 314 035 172 134 035 01583 0000000000
1956 2209N 07659W 01525 0025 312 035 172 132 035 01586 0000000000
1956. 2208N 07657W 01524 0025 309 034 172 134 034 01585 0000000000
1957 2207N 07655W 01524 0026 307 034 172 138 034 01586 0000000000
1957. 2206N 07654W 01524 0026 306 033 172 134 034 01587 0000000000
1958 2205N 07652W 01525 0027 306 034 170 136 035 01588 0000000000
1958. 2205N 07650W 01524 0027 306 034 168 138 034 01587 0000000000
1959 2204N 07648W 01524 0027 304 034 166 138 035 01587 0000000000
1959. 2203N 07646W 01524 0027 300 033 162 140 034 01588 0000000000
2000 2203N 07644W 01523 0028 295 031 156 144 032 01587 0000000000
2000. 2202N 07642W 01524 0027 295 032 158 140 033 01588 0000000000
2001 2201N 07640W 01524 0028 297 032 164 134 033 01588 0000000000
2001. 2201N 07638W 01524 0028 296 032 166 132 032 01589 0000000000
2002 2200N 07636W 01523 0029 296 033 166 134 034 01588 0000000000
2002. 2159N 07634W 01525 0029 296 032 166 134 033 01591 0000000000
2003 2159N 07632W 01524 0029 294 031 164 134 032 01590 0000000000
2003. 2158N 07631W 01524 0028 291 031 162 136 031 01589 0000000000

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#340 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:18 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 192015
AF302 0518A RITA HDOB 35 KNHC
2004 2157N 07629W 01524 0028 289 030 160 142 030 01589 0000000000
2004. 2157N 07627W 01524 0028 287 028 164 142 028 01589 0000000000
2005 2156N 07625W 01523 0028 285 026 162 148 026 01588 0000000000
2005. 2155N 07623W 01525 0028 286 028 160 156 029 01590 0000000000
2006 2155N 07621W 01524 0029 283 029 162 148 029 01589 0000000000
2006. 2154N 07619W 01524 0029 278 029 168 144 029 01590 0000000000
2007 2153N 07617W 01525 0029 274 029 170 140 029 01590 0000000000
2007. 2153N 07615W 01524 0029 275 030 164 146 032 01589 0000000000
2008 2152N 07614W 01523 0030 272 031 162 142 032 01590 0000000000
2008. 2151N 07612W 01524 0030 267 031 160 142 031 01590 0000000000
2009 2151N 07610W 01525 0030 264 031 164 142 031 01591 0000000000
2009. 2150N 07608W 01523 0030 263 031 166 136 031 01590 0000000000
2010 2149N 07606W 01525 0032 260 030 168 136 030 01593 0000000000
2010. 2149N 07604W 01524 0032 262 030 172 134 030 01592 0000000000
2011 2148N 07602W 01524 0033 264 031 176 126 032 01594 0000000000
2011. 2148N 07600W 01526 0032 260 031 178 122 031 01594 0000000000
2012 2148N 07558W 01522 0032 263 032 176 122 032 01591 0000000000
2012. 2148N 07556W 01523 0033 262 031 176 122 031 01593 0000000000
2013 2148N 07554W 01525 0033 257 031 176 130 031 01594 0000000000
2013. 2148N 07552W 01525 0033 254 030 174 132 030 01594 0000000000
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