ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Beef Stew]

Cars are half-packed...I keep my most important items in Legal Boxes in my bedroom so that precaution is paying off big time right now and all I have to do is carry them downstairs and load them in to the SUV...I'll disconnect the computer and stow it right before I leave...


Have to get a big lawn bag and empty the refrigerator and freezer in to it...


Have to remember to think so I don't forget anything...I'm just very calmly loading the cars and not straining myself...Hurricane shutters are the last thing before I go...


If there are any Sanibel residents reading keep seriously in mind that this will be a surge-er and the low-lying Causeway will flood over and be impassable well before the hurricane gets here...


I think it is turning right for us for a direct hit...This is it man...


(That east wobble of the eye is probably a shear effect from contact with the trough)...



The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Good luck, Sanibel. I know that feeling all too well- finishing last minute checks, hoping for the best but in your gut you’re expecting “the one”. Keeping you in mind- hoping you have a safe and as painless an evacuation as possible.

[tolakram]

[ScottNAtlanta]

FL winds of 107kts is the highest I've seen thus far

[eastcoastFL]

24HR rainfall accumulation from SFWMD

[Blown Away]

Impressive Major Hurricane!

[Fancy1001]

When does the latest SHIPS data come out?

[NAVAIDNICK]

Anyone has the closeup view of trayectory with the line?

I just zoom in on the NHC interactive cone and make sure to have "track" checked. Now showing landfall just north of Venice.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... k#contents

I just zoomed in on the track and saw Port Charlotte a little to the south. Getting pretty close to Charley-land.

My house is quite literally on that line. At least I'm inland about 15 miles. Ugh....I am not having fun.

[SconnieCane]

I just got up and saw the refreshed IR loop...did Ian seriously just keep intensifying and open its eye while going over Cuba???

[ScottNAtlanta]

https://i.imgur.com/FpFLnvY.gif
Impressive Major Hurricane!

Still seems to be wobbling on a more easterly direction

[skyline385]

Looks like we have the infamous hexagonal eye




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[Knight85]

Impressive Major Hurricane!

Do I spy a pronounced stadium effect forming on that eyewall?

[Hurricane Mike]

New video update on Hurricane Ian
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M6P8_3K2ocg

[KirbyDude25]

I just got up and saw the refreshed IR loop...did Ian seriously just keep intensifying and open its eye while going over Cuba???

The winds went down 10 knots and pressure went up 10-15 mb, but its structure hasn't suffered at all, actually improving since before Cuba. It's primed to recover very quickly over the next 12-24 hours.

[Category6]

Looks like another NE wobble the last few frames

[caneman]

Please replies from only those that truly are learned on this. Will a strong storm go more polewatd and be able to push back the trough to go firther North or will it go further east? The NHC mentioned this as complication in forecast but never said what direction it would go. Thanks

[Kazmit]

Satellite appearance looks better than Fiona at its peak.

[GCANE]

Good luck Chuck and stay safe. I know you will.

Gcane you’ve been a big help here over the years. It’s appreciated.

Chuck

Much thanks Chuck. As always, looking forward to hear your reports my friend.

[Category5Kaiju]

I just got up and saw the refreshed IR loop...did Ian seriously just keep intensifying and open its eye while going over Cuba???

Ian weakened slightly, but it is still a Cat 3 and is already trying to intensify even after crossing Cuba. Cuba did very little to damage the storm unfortunately.

[CryHavoc]

I just got up and saw the refreshed IR loop...did Ian seriously just keep intensifying and open its eye while going over Cuba???

He was intensifying fast enough that the island didn't immediately cut him off at the knees, but if Cuba wasn't there we'd likely be looking at a maxed cat 4 or even stronger right now, so it definitely had an impact, albeit a latent one.

Reminder to anyone considering staying: Even aside from Ian's considerable wind speeds, 30"+ inches of rain will cut off all access to your area. Multiple thoroughfares will be inundated for days or longer. Many neighborhoods will be entirely unreachable without a boat. Power will likely be out for an extended period of time. If you're considering staying, also consider that you might be isolated for a week or more with no access to clean water or extra supplies.

This is a lot different from say, Andrew, where he hit hard and fast but moved out and left most inland areas relatively dry. Wind damage can be awful but it's also a matter of clearing debris. There's no clearing trillions of gallons of gulf water - you just have to wait.

[Rail Dawg]

My biggest concern was always the surge.

It will kill you fast.

Hence being 50 feet above it in a parking garage.

Florida is in a panic right now. I can feel it and I’m in Northern Nevada. It absolutely sucks. Hundreds of cars around gas stations waiting for a tanker truck that may take days to get there.

Hundreds of thousands of people on grid-locked highways running out of gas, diapers, water, food and nowhere to go.

It can get ugly trust me.

Chuck