Texas Winter 2016-2017

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Snow pack helped too i think. Def delivered. The HP was still building all the way down into Texas. Not something you always see.

GFS seeing 29 tomorrow morning with a 14 dewpoint, same MSLP and less winds..... Doubt it. I see a bust coming.

[TexasBreeze]

I called for 25 figuring it would not get to the modeled lows, but it did and it was 21 when I got up this morning close to Hooks airport/Tomball.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

I saw 18 in Montgomery County. It felt great this morning when I took the dog out for a walk.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

14F was the official low so no single digits at DFW but coldest since 2011. Yesterday's predawn high of 27F was officially a daily low-max record. And wow is the US cold! Only southern/central Florida spared.



Euro has a big southern plains storm next weekend with DFW heavy rain in the 30s. Just west crippling ice storm and Snow in Oklahoma. GFS is a little warmer and raining. More model watching this week as that will be a big cutoff ULL! Before that, a nice little warm up

You couldnt pay me any amount of money to live in South Florida.

[Ntxw]

El Nino-like pattern showing up for late Jan and early Feb. The NE NA higher heights will keep things interesting at times between warm ups until then, at the very least we will get plenty of rain with the Pacific train. We may see another big -EPO before winter is over.

[Portastorm]

Got down to 21.4 at the PWC but there were some 13 degree readings in rural parts of NW Travis County. Most of the county was upper teens to 20. Still, coldest morning since February 2011.

Dry cold. Yay.

[South Texas Storms]

Got down to 21.4 at the PWC but there were some 13 degree readings in rural parts of NW Travis County. Most of the county was upper teens to 20. Still, coldest morning since February 2011.

Dry cold. Yay.

I hear ya Porta. Dry cold is useless to me.

We still have time to get lucky though. We are just entering our prime time season for frozen precip. Have about 50 days left. Don't give up hope yet!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Were not even halfway through for frozen precip chances, yesterday was a great opportunity for Houston, but im hoping for others.

[jasons2k]

It was a chilly 19F here this morning. It was about 5-degrees colder than advertised across most of SE Texas. Even though we prepped for a pretty decent freeze, this was a doozy and caught the gardening community off-guard. We were not expecting teens this far south. Lots of zone 9 and borderline zone 8 plants got zapped this morning in our region. Tough day for the gardening community.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Got down to 7 last night here with one of the heaviest frosts I have ever seen.

[Snowman67]

Great day for a bike ride!

[Rgv20]

Got down to 28 this morning at my backyard Tonight's forecast is 30 so another freeze coming.

Yesterday it was in the upper 30s with light mist/drizzle and very windy..it felt brutal!

[Ntxw]

That's probably another arctic front next weekend on 12z GFS. GFS is progressive with the shortwave than the Euro. But I've noticed the trends on the models is more southeast/Atlantic ridging and the big arctic high has gradually been trending further south in the plains than sliding east in previous runs.

[Golf7070]

El Nino-like pattern showing up for late Jan and early Feb. The NE NA higher heights will keep things interesting at times between warm ups until then, at the very least we will get plenty of rain with the Pacific train. We may see another big -EPO before winter is over.

Ntxwx, do u think this Elniño esque pattern will limit any opportunity for winter storm chances late Jan-early Feb? It seems like elniño esque starting now out west lol. I know mjo was supposed to go around to phase 8-2 but perhaps they ain't good for us? Just wondering man

[vbhoutex]

20f-23.2f in my neighborhood of Spring Shadows in W Houston for lows this am. Like Jason said, about 5 degrees lower than expected anywhere in this area. Don't see a big reason we won't do that tomorrow morning either unless we start getting a flow off the GOM earlier than expected.

[Ntxw]

El Nino-like pattern showing up for late Jan and early Feb. The NE NA higher heights will keep things interesting at times between warm ups until then, at the very least we will get plenty of rain with the Pacific train. We may see another big -EPO before winter is over.
Ntxwx, do u think this Elniño esque pattern will limit any opportunity for winter storm chances late Jan-early Feb? It seems like elniño esque starting now out west lol. I know mjo was supposed to go around to phase 8-2 but perhaps they ain't good for us? Just wondering man

It should increase the chances for storms. Cold is another beast that we won't see until the period gets closer.

[Hurricane_Apu]

Got down to at least 24 in Lafayette (the local NWS office had instrument and/or comms issues early this morning).
Still not out of the 20's at 10:30.

[Brent]

Weatherbug has a frozen mix with temps in the 40s next Saturday lol

[Portastorm]

Neither the 12z GFS (or 0z for that matter) nor the 12z CMC (a model always cold biased) show any freezing precip in Texas next weekend outside of a sliver of the Panhandle.

There is some interesting spread within the 0z Euro ensemble members to suggest that the aforementioned model scenarios may be too warm. I've not looked over the GEFS separate members yet. We shall see.

Where is my pal orangeblood? He's always good for a little wintry wx hope.

[Texas Snowman]

So every weather observation station in Texas - including Brownsville- was below freezing this morning?

That doesn't happen very often.