ATL: Tropical Storm Cristobal in North Atlantic

[KWT]

I think it will be interesting to see just how quickly it will develop, if the center does form over the Gulf stream then heat content shouldn't be any problem, I sure hope it doesn't pull a Gaston though that remains a possible outcome, we will have to wait and see.

[brunota2003]

I think that is the deepest convection over the LLC that we've seen since this area formed.

[Ivanhater]

Very likely will be upgraded tonight...

[KWT]

Easily and note that the circulation is right under the convection as well, also look at the southern side starting to wrap in, I think this could strengthen pretty quickly over the next 12hrs.

[Ivanhater]

Lol..image just updated...


Very likely will be upgraded tonight...

[brunota2003]

Looks like the convective burst is right over the "center", with banding features on the eastern half.

[txwatcher91]

GR2 shows 55K storm tops

[HarlequinBoy]

It looks very healthy to me.

[senorpepr]

I think that is the deepest convection over the LLC that we've seen since this area formed.

Based on surface observations, that convection is still on the SE side of the center. There is still no convection over the center itself.

[KWT]

Yep indeed brunota2003 I think given that presentation an upgrade in the next 12hrs looks odds on IMO, looking pretty decent and that we will have TD3 soon. I will have to find the streaming sites again.

[storms in NC]

It rained on me today on a drive back from the scrap yard. I thought the skies looked pretty tropical, and the rain was acting tropical as well. I got home around 6, turned on the news and they showed the radar, and I was like darn! There's a tropical system right off the SC coast. Had to go outside and put the top up on my Jeep, as it looks like we are in for some needed rain this weekend.

The local news also showed an enhanced WV shot. While most of NC was under dry air, the tropical moisture from the east was definitely punching it's way in, with a big finger of wet air over the area between the Neuse and Tar rivers. Also what seems to be a nearly continuous rain band forming from SC to the Raleigh area.

Have you seen the corn crops? There is no hope left for them. But the tobacco may make it if they get the rains. With the Midwest corn gone and ours people will be paying high$$$$ this winter

[Numlock]

Very likely will be upgraded tonight...

Yeah, that burst probably seals the deal. This will likely be Cristobal by this time tomorrow. I don't see 94L being named first (if it is named at all).

[Ed Mahmoud]

beautiful outflow channel setting up to the East and South...

[brunota2003]

I think that is the deepest convection over the LLC that we've seen since this area formed.

Based on surface observations, that convection is still on the SE side of the center. There is still no convection over the center itself.

Yeah...was just looking at the buoy data...still only 20 knot winds at most in that general area.

[senorpepr]

I think that is the deepest convection over the LLC that we've seen since this area formed.

Based on surface observations, that convection is still on the SE side of the center. There is still no convection over the center itself.

Did a quick analysis using the tools here, that convection is about 80mi ESE of the center.

[KWT]

I think that is the deepest convection over the LLC that we've seen since this area formed.

Based on surface observations, that convection is still on the SE side of the center. There is still no convection over the center itself.

Did a quick analysis using the tools here, that convection is about 80mi ESE of the center.

Ummm I just can't see that to be honest, the center surely isn't further east then 79W like you are suggesting, your location would put the center around 78W?!

[Derek Ortt]

I think the center is being pulled into the convection. The 80NM seems a bit far off

[cpdaman]

KWT you just mis interpreted what was said he was saying the LLC was 80 miles west of convection (closer to coast)

[gatorcane]

I have a feeling this invest will become a depression before the Caribbean invest does. Looking good right now that is for sure.

[cpdaman]

oops