Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

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tailgater
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#341 Postby tailgater » Wed Aug 05, 2009 10:14 am

:uarrow: Maybe at 11N and 33W
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... opical.asp
Go to the 2nd floater
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#342 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Aug 05, 2009 10:33 am

. :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

There may be a generally oriented East-West trough in the area, I see a fairly large area of winds from the West in the low clouds South of about 11 or 12º

if there is an area of maximum low level vorticity, by eyeball, it is East of 30ºW, near the edge of the satellite domain. Well East of the renewed convection.


OK, for those that find a Hawai'i tropical storm threat 6 days or so away not exciting enough, even though Hawai'i is our 50th state and birthplace of the current POTUS, and I have been to Oahu, I guess this is the most exciting thing going in the Atlantic.

Pitcher's duel. 0-0, just 1 single in the entire game in the top of the first inning, exciting in its own way.
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#343 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 05, 2009 11:54 am

Image
The convection is getting a deeper and has eyes!
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#344 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Aug 05, 2009 11:59 am

this may not be dead after all
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#345 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:00 pm

Can it be dead if it was never alive?
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#346 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:22 pm

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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#347 Postby Sanibel » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:34 pm

You can see the weak surface vortex on visible and Q-Scat. Has the look of something that will succumb to SAL and subsidence.
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#348 Postby wxman57 » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:36 pm

Here's a sat pic & surface plot. Nothing too impressive:

Image
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#349 Postby Sanibel » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:39 pm

Those suffering from Andrew-mania might be prone to observing how weak and dry this disturbance is.
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#350 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:48 pm

All the cool action is on the Hurricane Felicia thread...
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#351 Postby Gustywind » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:56 pm

000
ABNT20 KNHC 051730
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

#352 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:59 pm

Just let this thread die. :) This was only made for the disturbance that came out of Africa with a mid-level circulation that was embedded with the ITCZ and not for another system.I wont lock it as there is no invest,so the best thing for it to die is no more replys,and members can make a new thread about the low at 35w or about the new wave emerging Africa that CMC develops.
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#353 Postby Gustywind » Wed Aug 05, 2009 1:07 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 051759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED AUG 05 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 26W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WESTWARD 10
KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN
24W-30W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALSO WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 15 KT.
NO DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS NOTED.


A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 15-20 KT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 74W/75W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 15 KT.
NO DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS NOTED.

...THE ITCZ...
THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N15W 10N24W 12N33W 8N39W 9N60W.
BESIDES THE CONVECTION AND SHOWERS ALREADY MENTIONED IN THE
TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 11N-14N
BETWEEN 14W-20W. A 1012 MB LOW IS NEAR 11N33W MOVING WEST AT 10
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NW OF
THE CENTER FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 33W-37W.
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