Texas Winter 2019-2020

[Cerlin]

It's about nowcast time. Best to look at temp profiles upstream, movement of front, and upper forcing to the west.

In reality, nothing was expected with talk of this front a week ago, so anything is overachieving. If nothing falls it is just about what we thought a week ago!

at work, so i can't check. how are temps running compared to forecast?

Temperatures falling about two hours ahead of this morning’s nws forecast in n. Fort Worth. Okc already at 37, Davis, Ok at 52 right now

2 hours ahead is the difference between 35 and 32 degrees sometimes

[bubba hotep]

18z 3k NAM came in wetter for DFW and the soundings look really good. Surface temps 34ish, no warm layer aloft, nice saturation, impressive lift, etc. Buckle up?

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Down to 57 with a dew point of 40. 3.47 pm CT.

[Ralph's Weather]

The FWD discussion matches my thoughts on possible heavy bouts of snow under convective bands. Snow can pile up quickly under these.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Down to 57 with a dew point of 40. 3.47 pm CT.

Yeah, wet bulb temp will be crucial with this event.

[Yukon Cornelius]

It's about nowcast time. Best to look at temp profiles upstream, movement of front, and upper forcing to the west.

In reality, nothing was expected with talk of this front a week ago, so anything is overachieving. If nothing falls it is just about what we thought a week ago!

at work, so i can't check. how are temps running compared to forecast?

The last I checked, up here outside of WF they are running the same as forecasted so far.

[EnnisTx]

Down to 57 with a dew point of 40. 3.47 pm CT.

Yeah, wet bulb temp will be crucial with this event.

Started to mention this early this morning. It's been many years, but i remember several unexpected heavy snows from wet bulbing when not much more than a rain snow mix was expected.

[funster]

I like that they mentioned the "bust potential" in the actual forecast. Maybe this will keep it from actually busting. I hope we get some thunder snow.

[Brent]

Nada anywhere on the hrrr

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Gotta love Texas weather...



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[Cerlin]

Nada anywhere on the hrrr

HRRR has a good track record with sniffing out busts unfortunately

[TropicalTundra]

Seems like the only model left with possibility for snow in DFW would be the WRF-NMM

[AubreyStorm]

Tomorrow a good chance of rain, possibly mixed with snow, is possible late Monday night into Tuesday morning in Denton, Texas.

@NWSFortWorth



Picture here in Denton, Texas. Enjoy!

[AubreyStorm]

Via WFAA Weather (ABC)

There's a chance for SNOW tomorrow! If you haven't heard, where have you been??

Between about 3am to 10am rain is likely, but could mix or change to snow from the DFW area to the west. Not everyone will see it. Some light accumulations are possible, but icy roads are unlikely.

[Cerlin]

Already hearing of reports of snow in Roff Oklahoma and surrounding areas at the north most part of the rain band that could be the producer for us. Anyone confirm this?

[Tammie]

Already hearing of reports of snow in Roff Oklahoma and surrounding areas at the north most part of the rain band that could be the producer for us. Anyone confirm this?

It’s showing blue for Roff on the radar.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Already hearing of reports of snow in Roff Oklahoma and surrounding areas at the north most part of the rain band that could be the producer for us. Anyone confirm this?

Radar is showing a changeover to snow south of Ada, ok down to Sulphur. Very small sliver right now.

[BrokenGlass]

8.08 update in Richardson...



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[wxman57]

Already down to 75 here in Houston. Hobby set a record high of 83. Great December weather. Keep the cold air up north, please.

[Brent]

The nam snow map looks pretty good but on the precip maps it doesn't appear to really changeover in the metro