Texas Winter 2025-2026

[wxman22]

Winter Storm Watch issued for portions of South Central Texas.

Including the cities of Austin, La Grange, Del Rio, Llano,
Leakey, San Marcos, Giddings, Kerrville, Fredericksburg,
Lockhart, Bastrop, Burnet, Georgetown, New Braunfels, Blanco,
Bandera, Rocksprings, and Boerne
1221 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Light to moderate accumulations of mainly ice and sleet are
likely across the region late Friday night through Sunday morning.
In addition, dangerously cold temperatures are expected Saturday
night through Monday morning.

* WHERE...Northern portions of south central Texas.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Roads, especially bridges and overpasses, will likely
become slick and hazardous. Ice accumulation on power lines and
tree limbs may cause power outages. Extreme cold will become life
threatening and likely damage unprotected pipes and put livestock
at risk.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas across the Hill Country could see
wintry precipitation effects as early as Midnight Saturday. Areas
along the I-35 Corridor should expect wintry precipitation as
early as daybreak Saturday. Areas south and east of I-35 should
experience wintry precipitation in the daytime hours Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains,
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing.
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help
you survive in case you become stranded.

[Harp.1]

Any idea when recon data will be entered into the models?

[Texas Snow]

6z (tomorrow morning)

Edit for a much more detailed explanation go to page 178. Worst case is 6z with some models sooner.

[gpsnowman]

Winter Storm Watch issued for portions of South Central Texas.

https://i.ibb.co/RTsJZkB0/IMG-0611.png

Including the cities of Austin, La Grange, Del Rio, Llano,
Leakey, San Marcos, Giddings, Kerrville, Fredericksburg,
Lockhart, Bastrop, Burnet, Georgetown, New Braunfels, Blanco,
Bandera, Rocksprings, and Boerne
1221 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Light to moderate accumulations of mainly ice and sleet are
likely across the region late Friday night through Sunday morning.
In addition, dangerously cold temperatures are expected Saturday
night through Monday morning.

* WHERE...Northern portions of south central Texas.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Roads, especially bridges and overpasses, will likely
become slick and hazardous. Ice accumulation on power lines and
tree limbs may cause power outages. Extreme cold will become life
threatening and likely damage unprotected pipes and put livestock
at risk.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas across the Hill Country could see
wintry precipitation effects as early as Midnight Saturday. Areas
along the I-35 Corridor should expect wintry precipitation as
early as daybreak Saturday. Areas south and east of I-35 should
experience wintry precipitation in the daytime hours Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains,
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing.
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help
you survive in case you become stranded.

This is why I am sticking with the sleet to snow switch in DFW. I'm certainly no expert but the farther south these winter advisories go leads me to believe the ice portion of this storm will be well south of the DFW metro, increasing sleet and snow totals across north and east Texas. Perhaps I am just dreaming.

[Ntxw]

-5 to -10F below wind chills . Refreshing! Beats this 80s stuff heatmiser talks about.

[bbowman7]

Trying to keep up with all of this on the thread, but I am one of those guys who just loves weather, but I do not understand the terminology and the details! So, I need help I guess!

Can someone tell me, based on the latest information, what the Tyler/Longview (Henderson in particular) area looks like? This is school related, so trying to get a better idea for our after school activities, bus routes, etc..for Friday afternoon and on Monday. Looking for possible timing of when it hits this area, how much will hit us and what it will be (rain, freezing rain, snow, etc..)

Thanks in advance.

[Iceresistance]

I will admit that I am surprised it took this long for the models to reach the classic "Mid-range shenanigans", I knew it was bound to happen, but not within 84 hours, it normally happens between 120 and 84 hours

[Ntxw]

Side note for those of you mountain cedar allergy sufferers, it's gotten better since the shift of winds and air masses to colder especially in the north but this coming event is going to absolutely clear it out to near zero levels, bless!

[gpsnowman]

Side note for those of you mountain cedar allergy sufferers, it's gotten better since the shift of winds and air masses to colder especially in the north but this coming event is going to absolutely clear it out to near zero levels, bless!

Amen brother. I haven't had allergy issues in a few days , even with some dusty yard work today.

[Stratton23]

Interesting to see the EPS has a bit of a decent snowfall signal around the 30th, especially for parts much further south

[hurricane2025]

Interesting to see the EPS has a bit of a decent snowfall signal around the 30th, especially for parts much further south

Stratton stop to this event lol

[Steve]

Trying to keep up with all of this on the thread, but I am one of those guys who just loves weather, but I do not understand the terminology and the details! So, I need help I guess!

Can someone tell me, based on the latest information, what the Tyler/Longview (Henderson in particular) area looks like? This is school related, so trying to get a better idea for our after school activities, bus routes, etc..for Friday afternoon and on Monday. Looking for possible timing of when it hits this area, how much will hit us and what it will be (rain, freezing rain, snow, etc..)

Thanks in advance.

Your NWS (Shreveport) has the following:

Friday NightRain showers before midnight, then freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
SaturdayFreezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet. The sleet could be heavy at times. High near 28. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Saturday NightFreezing rain and sleet. Low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
SundayA chance of freezing rain and sleet before noon, then a slight chance of snow showers and freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 10.
MondaySunny, with a high near 33.
Monday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 11.

In other words, C O L D! 10 and 11 suck.

[Portastorm]

I can tell you that this storm is being taken seriously by Texas state government. Our state emergency management council is elevating its activation status to provide cross-agency resources and personnel to assist as needed.

[TropicalTundra]

6z (tomorrow morning)

Wouldn’t 6z be at midnight?

[Tireman4]

I can tell you that this storm is being taken seriously by Texas state government. Our state emergency management council is elevating its activation status to provide cross-agency resources and personnel to assist as needed.

Ok Porta, it is time to gas up Champ the Charger and have the Portastorm Weather Center on full alert!

[Nederlander]

6z (tomorrow morning)

Wouldn’t 6z be at midnight?

Both can be/are true

[Tireman4]

SE Texas under a WSW.....

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
118 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

Houston-Trinity-Madison-Walker-San Jacinto-Polk-Burleson-Brazos- Washington-Grimes-Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Colorado-Austin- Waller-Inland Harris-Chambers-Wharton-Fort Bend-Southern Liberty- Coastal Harris- Including the cities of Columbus, Coldspring, Winnie, Old River-Winfree, Rosenberg, Bryan, Mont Belvieu, Devers, Stowell, Sealy, Trinity, Huntsville, Navasota, College Station, Shepherd, Cleveland, Weimar, Waller, Baytown, Eagle Lake, Somerville, Conroe, Dayton, Brookshire, Groveton, Anahuac, Mission Bend, The Woodlands, Brenham, Wharton, Crockett, Bellville, Liberty, Madisonville, Livingston, Corrigan, El Campo, Missouri City, Houston, Prairie View, Pecan Grove, Sugar Land, Caldwell, Pasadena, Hempstead, and First Colony 118 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total ice accumulations between one tenth and three tenths of an inch possible across the entire watch area, with the highest accumulations in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley. Slight sleet accumulations will be possible in the northern Piney Woods and Brazos Valley, but the primary concern will be freezing rain.

* WHERE...A portion of southeast Texas.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Travel could be hazardous.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change over to freezing rain and sleet in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley as early as early Saturday morning. Elsewhere, rain may change over to freezing rain as early as Saturday afternoon or Saturday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

[snownado]

Any idea when recon data will be entered into the models?

Per a met on one of the other forums, tonight (00z).

[Texas Snow]

6z (tomorrow morning)

Wouldn’t 6z be at midnight?

As a reference, the 0Z on the GFS for the timeframe that we’re really interested in right now comes out on tropical tidbits, pivotal weather, etc., roughly 10 PM central time.

So add six hours to that before you can see it. So tomorrow morning.

Edit for a much more detailed explanation go to page 178. Worst case is 6z with some models sooner.

[Sambucol2024]

WINTER STORM WATCH
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
118 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

Houston-Trinity-Madison-Walker-San Jacinto-Polk-Burleson-Brazos- Washington-Grimes-Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Colorado-Austin- Waller-Inland Harris-Chambers-Wharton-Fort Bend-Southern Liberty- Coastal Harris- Including the cities of Columbus, Coldspring, Winnie, Old River-Winfree, Rosenberg, Bryan, Mont Belvieu, Devers, Stowell, Sealy, Trinity, Huntsville, Navasota, College Station, Shepherd, Cleveland, Weimar, Waller, Baytown, Eagle Lake, Somerville, Conroe, Dayton, Brookshire, Groveton, Anahuac, Mission Bend, The Woodlands, Brenham, Wharton, Crockett, Bellville, Liberty, Madisonville, Livingston, Corrigan, El Campo, Missouri City, Houston, Prairie View, Pecan Grove, Sugar Land, Caldwell, Pasadena, Hempstead, and First Colony 118 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total ice accumulations between one tenth and three tenths of an inch possible across the entire watch area, with the highest accumulations in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley. Slight sleet accumulations will be possible in the northern Piney Woods and Brazos Valley, but the primary concern will be freezing rain.

* WHERE...A portion of southeast Texas.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Travel could be hazardous.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change over to freezing rain and sleet in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley as early as early Saturday morning. Elsewhere, rain may change over to freezing rain as early as Saturday afternoon or Saturday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.