ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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Evil Jeremy
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#3441 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:28 pm

If this does become Dorian, are we going to start all new threads or just keep the current ones?
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#3442 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:30 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:If this does become Dorian, are we going to start all new threads or just keep the current ones?


If and is a big if at this point,yes,new threads for Dorian would be up but this is still very merky in terms of what they will do. Maybe the 8 PM EDT TWO says something. In the meantime we stay here. :)
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#3443 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:31 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:If this does become Dorian, are we going to start all new threads or just keep the current ones?

I'd just keep this one IMO. It would be funny if it was to be renamed Dorian, good name wasting. It would indeed make the number of named TS's less relavent.
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#3444 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:31 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:If this does become Dorian, are we going to start all new threads or just keep the current ones?


I too believe its silly to re name it.. but what ever... I say we keep this thread and keep both names if it does develop.
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#3445 Postby 'CaneFreak » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:31 pm

I think if anything does develop, it would be from the convection that is currently firing in a concentrated, shrimp-like fashion near 23.5 N 74.5

Edit: However, I know that there is no real mid-level nor low level vorticity there ATTM...so...well...maybe not...but it was just a thought
Last edited by 'CaneFreak on Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3446 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:33 pm

'CaneFreak wrote:I think if anything does develop, it would be from the convection that is currently firing in a concentrated, shrimp-like fashion near 23.5 N 74.5 W


That's definitely the classic "shrimp-like fashion" formation for sure...
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Re: Re:

#3447 Postby Riptide » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:34 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
'CaneFreak wrote:I think if anything does develop, it would be from the convection that is currently firing in a concentrated, shrimp-like fashion near 23.5 N 74.5 W


That's definitely the classic "shrimp-like fashion" formation for sure...

:lol:
18z GFS interpretation of the most likely place for formation.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... pics_1.png
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3448 Postby sunnyday » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:40 pm

So Fl local met just said that Chantal is about gone and that any remnants will miss Florida to the East. Does anyone here think So Fl is totally out of the woods? 8-) 8-)

This is not official info. See the NHC or NWS for accurate info.
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Re: Re:

#3449 Postby ozonepete » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:41 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:If this does become Dorian, are we going to start all new threads or just keep the current ones?


If and is a big if at this point,yes,new threads for Dorian would be up but this is still very merky in terms of what they will do. Maybe the 8 PM EDT TWO says something. In the meantime we stay here. :)


Yeah, there's more to this than meets the eye. Someone said earlier they may have decided there was a split and the circ/blob in the Bahamas is Chantal remnants and the blowup near/south of Cuba is 96L. There has to be something else going on. Don't think they would just rename Chantal to Dorian. I've never seen them do that.
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Re: Re:

#3450 Postby 'CaneFreak » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:42 pm

Yeah, that's probably the most likely area; there or a little south and east of there where the best low level convergence and greatest low level vorticity is at this time. Good call. However, this is still a pretty good ways to the south and east of the placement of this new Invest 96L.

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Riptide wrote:18z GFS interpretation of the most likely place for formation.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... pics_1.png
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3451 Postby stormhunter7 » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:45 pm

with renumber... are they calling it a TD?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3452 Postby Florida1118 » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:46 pm

stormhunter7 wrote:with renumber... are they calling it a TD?

Nope, they're calling it an Invest, its still not a TC
Last edited by Florida1118 on Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3453 Postby Riptide » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:46 pm

18z GFS hr27 - Consolidating or moving a little east of north.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... ics_10.png
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#3454 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:48 pm

No, no, no, that's all wrong. Chantal just has schizophrenia, or is that multiple personality disorder? :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3455 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:50 pm

stormhunter7 wrote:with renumber... are they calling it a TD?



No. They renumbered from AL03 Chantal to new invest 96L. New because all started with 95L.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3456 Postby Riptide » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:50 pm

Not much to see but remnants go into South Carolina after interaction with stalled front.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... ics_20.png
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Re:

#3457 Postby ozonepete » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:50 pm

Janie2006 wrote:No, no, no, that's all wrong. Chantal just has schizophrenia, or is that multiple personality disorder? :double:


Ha ha, I said that last night when it seemed to stretch north to south and split into two MLCs. Very unusual and very confusing. But super interesting...
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#3458 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:52 pm

The models do interesting things with the "dual lows" as well!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#3459 Postby tailgater » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:53 pm

NHC forecast
24hr position
Image48hr position
Image
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#3460 Postby BobHarlem » Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:54 pm

That renumbering is odd, I don't remember that before. I know Katrina was born from 2005's TD#10 essentially, but I'm not sure if it got renumbered.

I'm sure that will break a few computerized systems though.
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