CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[KatDaddy]

When I was younger I thought I knew my gut feeling.....wrong. When I got older I learned about my gut feeling. Rita was a perfect example. I knew a week in advance it was going to be an issue. Funny thing is we really never know unless your gut feeling is far overwhelming from what I have learned.

[Wx_Warrior]

KatDaddy, any gut feelings with Dean?

[swimaway19]

Someone posted this link 1 and 1/2 hours ago, and look at the flare up around the center since then. This satellite captures it nicely.

http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/satellite/sa ... verlay=off

[canegrl04]

Dean is about to move into an OUTSTANDINGLY GREAT upper level environment.

Here we go

[Brent]

Well, the D-Max is at work again!!! This should definitely make it a hurricane by morning(not at 11 it appears).

[wzrgirl1]

are my south floridian friends starting to finally breathe a sigh of relief

[Evil Jeremy]

are my south floridian friends starting to finally breathe a sigh of relief

yep

[Windtalker2]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

1st time forcast. Going out on a limb here to say that Dean will feel some effects of the trough to it's North and move more WNW in the next 24 hours. I see a Antigua, St Kitts & St Croix hit as a Cat 3 Storm. From there it's anyone guess.

[HeeBGBz]

Good luck to everyone in the islands. May you all stay safe through the storm.

[Windtalker2]

are my south floridian friends starting to finally breathe a sigh of relief

yep

Nope.

[Evil Jeremy]

the best part of the hurricane watches when they are issued (probably tonight) Is that we get intermideate advisories!

[O Town]

are my south floridian friends starting to finally breathe a sigh of relief

yep

Nope.

Models are going to change a few more times, you can bet on that. Not time to breath a sign of relief yet.

[mf_dolphin]

the best part of the hurricane watches when they are issued (probably tonight) Is that we get intermideate advisories!

The bad part is that someone is really under the gun when that happens....

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

As we get into forecasting storms this season, let's not forget to incorporate the Storm2K disclaimer at teh beginning of any of our forecasts, even if they are obviously amateur opinion.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[temujin]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products..

85 mph or more by morning.

[CronkPSU]

are my south floridian friends starting to finally breathe a sigh of relief

yep

Nope.

not until the recon planes data are fully included in the models

[Dean4Storms]

I would not trust any of these models out beyond 3 days, have seen them get it wrong time and time again that far out and especially when they are running with no atmospheric sampling.

[HURAKAN]

Looking really good. Good wrapping.

[Acral]

way way to soon for anyone to be breathing a sigh of relief. I expect more model swings.

[wxwonder12]

Is the information that is entered about a tropical system alot different after a plane has flown into a system and has any track of a storm significantly changed after that info has entered compared to info entered prior to any flights?