Texas Winter 2010-2011

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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3521 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:35 pm

txagwxman wrote:Funny because 12z Canadian went more towards the UKMET. ECMWF should provide more insight.


Yes, I was thinking the very same. The 12z Canadian and 0z Ukie look real similar now. Should they verify, Oklahoma would get hammered and the rest of us would be very unhappy (except for Jason and Wxman57!).
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#3522 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:40 pm

12z GFS ensembles likes snow in Oklahoma, everyone else is iffy.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3523 Postby iorange55 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:45 pm

Trends this morning are starting to scare me a little. As far as winter precip goes. Good thing we're still 5 days out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3524 Postby txagwxman » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:47 pm

Image
GEM COLD!
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#3525 Postby Rgv20 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:48 pm

The CMC is thinking Texas is Canada... :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3526 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:49 pm

iorange55 wrote:Trends this morning are starting to scare me a little. As far as winter precip goes. Good thing we're still 5 days out.


the Ebbs and flows! Maybe the 0z packages will shift everything to the Texas coast and you have an El paso to San Antonio to Houston stripe and everything north misses :lol:. We still have one more run to ride on this morning, yuropean.

According to the NAM/GFS, storm makes landfall Sunday. 0z runs that day will be critical.
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#3527 Postby txagwxman » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:52 pm

Feels like everyone is on pins and needles.
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#3528 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:55 pm

txagwxman wrote:Feels like everyone is on pins and needles.


We've tracked this storm/cold for a long while now. Even though some won't admit, after all that there's a lot of hopes riding on it (iorange55 has built up expectations slowly especially after Frank Strait) and Portastorm has promised a winter storm :lol: . Bring it home Txagwxman!
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3529 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:55 pm

I think you're right, txagwxman.

I fully anticipate the anxiety level in this forum to steadily rise up until the weekend when ... maybe, just maybe ... the models will converge on a solution. Until then, we'll all live and die through each cycle of model runs and search desperately for any signs of hope from forecast discussions and other spots! :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3530 Postby Tejas89 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:55 pm

"As the models turn"
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3531 Postby iorange55 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 12:58 pm

Why couldn't my hobby be playing video games?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3532 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:13 pm

Euro!@#

Edit: might there be hope after a rough morning!
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#3533 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:14 pm

euro is running....*whistles fav tune*
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3534 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:15 pm

It's further south than GFS.
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#3535 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:15 pm

Just logged back on and this may a be beating a dead horse question, but when does the Euro come out? I hope it is more positive that some of the more recent posts.
Looks like it is coming out now apparently
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3536 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:21 pm

The Euro suggests a suppressed Southern Storm in the making and some mighty cold air spilling S @ hour 96.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3537 Postby iorange55 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:22 pm

so far the 12z run seems to be colder than the 0z.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3538 Postby MississippiWx » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:24 pm

srainhoutx wrote:The Euro suggests a suppressed Southern Storm in the making and some mighty cold air spilling S @ hour 96.


How suppressed? Like, Gulf of Mexico suppressed? :?: :?: :?:
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#3539 Postby txagwxman » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:24 pm

ECMWF===> :eek: :froze:
Last edited by txagwxman on Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3540 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 27, 2011 1:25 pm

All Texas snowstorm via Yuropean!
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