Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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LAwxrgal
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#361 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:16 am

oneness wrote:Image

Image


That my friends is a monster. :eek: All in its path should leave.

As for the forecast models I see another spread, but they're all in the general area between Corpus and Galveston.
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#362 Postby oneness » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:19 am

Look at the outer circle of storms though ... this thing is about to get a lot bigger if this deepening continues.
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#363 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:22 am

Vortex had center at 24.18N, which is south of 11AM fix of 24.30. Lets hope trend continues. Its definately moving to the south of west.
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#364 Postby tw861 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:26 am

The new 12z Gfs is slightly further NE at landfall.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072m.gif

Also it seems to show a track south of west for a bit at the begining of the loop.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
Last edited by tw861 on Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:41 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#365 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:29 am

Can someone confirm... 147 kt at flight level???
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#366 Postby oneness » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:38 am

It still needs to drop to 925 - 920 to get into Cat 5 winds.

It may be that because of her size growth we may again observe wind speeds lagging pressure drop, because she is growing her wind field, instead of outright wind speed.

Well, for a time.
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#367 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:38 am

Image
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#368 Postby Big-Iguana » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:39 am

Rita looks annular already, any of the pros confirmed that lately?

Less than 1% of Atlantic cyclones exhibit annular characteristics, so I am curious.
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#369 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:39 am

Image
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#370 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:45 am

For another latest Rita pics; http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/
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#371 Postby oneness » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:49 am

Big-Iguana wrote:Rita looks annular already, any of the pros confirmed that lately?

Less than 1% of Atlantic cyclones exhibit annular characteristics, so I am curious.


Nah, it still has many feeder bands and the eye has not become really large and clear yet.

EDIT: should have said, not a Pro
Last edited by oneness on Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#372 Postby EFrancis » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:50 am

Has anyone else thought about this: Where did everyone in New Orleans go to? Houston. What storm could take the brunt of this? Houston.

Sad.
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#373 Postby Big-Iguana » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:53 am

oneness wrote:
Nah, it still has many feeder bands and the eye has not become really large and clear yet.


Okay thanks bud...yeah the eye is rather small, good point.
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#374 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:42 pm

Vortex coordinates...

24.20N and 85.93W

last vortex

24.18N and 85.70W

splitting hairs but thats due west. .02N and .23W

Keep heading west...
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#375 Postby hicksta » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:43 pm

No offense but the radar sure looks wnw since 1045.
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#376 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:44 pm

Down to 923 from 990 just over 28hours ago.
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#377 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:44 pm

dwg71 wrote:Vortex coordinates...

24.20N and 85.93W

last vortex

24.18N and 85.70W

splitting hairs but thats due west. .02N and .23W

Keep heading west...


The forecast is for it to head west for a while longer... :wink:
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#378 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:45 pm

Ok, this was posted in the other thread that got locked, so I'm putting it here....

Someone correct me if I'm wrong here, but don't most 'canes have a peak intensity that they can reach? I know that they can't sustain high Cat. 5 intensity for a long time. Is there a chance that she can reach her peak early then start dying out as she nears TX? Might be wishful thinking for y'all over there, but worth a shot. :wink:
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#379 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:50 pm

hicksta wrote:No offense but the radar sure looks wnw since 1045.


None taken...

10AM coordinates had it at 24.3N, its now 24.2, not much now - but could be huge later.
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#380 Postby hicksta » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:56 pm

very wierd but seems shes still chuggign wnw
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