SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

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Steve H.
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#361 Postby Steve H. » Wed May 09, 2007 9:41 am

Question for the forum. The "center" has become ill-defined at the moment, but it seems tht what convection there is, is on the SW side of the elongated circle. Has recon said anything about its current movement, or is there any consensus as to its future movement? Busy at work. :oops:
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AnnularCane
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#362 Postby AnnularCane » Wed May 09, 2007 9:42 am

I feel like I'm waiting for a birth. I'm supposed to be working, but it's taking some willpower to keep from getting up and pacing the floor.
Last edited by AnnularCane on Wed May 09, 2007 9:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#363 Postby Stormcenter » Wed May 09, 2007 9:43 am

tracyswfla wrote:Geez! First VDM of the season on May 9th!


I'm sorry but what does VDM stand for?
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#364 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 09, 2007 9:43 am

Image

Andrea is here!!!
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#365 Postby tracyswfla » Wed May 09, 2007 9:44 am

Stormcenter wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:Geez! First VDM of the season on May 9th!


I'm sorry but what does VDM stand for?


Vortex Data Message. :D
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#366 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Wed May 09, 2007 9:44 am

vortex data message?
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I know what you mean

#367 Postby HeeBGBz » Wed May 09, 2007 9:44 am

:eek: It's gonna be a long season.
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#368 Postby feederband » Wed May 09, 2007 9:44 am

AnnularCane wrote:I feel like I'm waiting for a birth. I'm supposed to be working, but it's taking some willpower to keep from getting up and pacing the floor.


I was thinking that earlier... :lol:
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#369 Postby miamicanes177 » Wed May 09, 2007 9:45 am

...Early-season subtropical storm forms off the southeast U.S.
Coast...

Repeating the 1100 am EDT position...30.8 N...79.3 W. Movement
toward...west near 3 mph. Maximum sustained winds...45 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1003 mb.
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#370 Postby skysummit » Wed May 09, 2007 9:45 am

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1100 AM EDT WED MAY 09 2007

...EARLY-SEASON SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST...

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST HAS ACQUIRED SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 150 MILES
...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

ANDREA IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A CONTINUED
SLOW MOTION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALONG THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. COAST THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

SINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANDREA ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... ANDREA IS NOT EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER ANY LAND AREAS THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...30.8 N...79.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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#371 Postby AnnularCane » Wed May 09, 2007 9:46 am

IT'S A GIRL! :P
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#372 Postby Stratusxpeye » Wed May 09, 2007 9:46 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Def confirmed now!
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#373 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed May 09, 2007 9:46 am

According to GFDL this sits and spins over the water while moving SE later
in the period that would give it time to intensify while bringing bands of
moderate rain to Florida and Georgia

GFDL has it offshore for 3 days
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#374 Postby feederband » Wed May 09, 2007 9:46 am

Yes !!!!

Now come back down and bring us some rain....Yes I am -removed- on this one...
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#375 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Wed May 09, 2007 9:47 am

I'm glad this little storm did form now. I have to give this month's safety presentation at work and it is supposed to cover Hurricanes/Tropical Storms. :) At least it will be a relative presentation this time! -and provides a good example of how things can happen quickly, and that the tax free week is coming up to make any needed prep purchases. :)
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#376 Postby miamicanes177 » Wed May 09, 2007 9:47 am

didnt cycloneye say start a new thread and lock this if it becomes Andrea...
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#377 Postby seaswing » Wed May 09, 2007 9:48 am

Welcome to Hurricane Season 2007!
:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:
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Coredesat

#378 Postby Coredesat » Wed May 09, 2007 9:50 am

This thread should be going bye-bye shortly.
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#379 Postby Stratusxpeye » Wed May 09, 2007 9:51 am

It seems there is 3 threads with the exact same advisory posted regarding andrea.
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#380 Postby Noah » Wed May 09, 2007 9:52 am

Geesh, give the moderator a chance to keep up with all the posters. :D everyone has gone nuts.
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