Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3396
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#361 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:08 pm

450
URNT15 KNHC 192307
AF304 1104A DEAN HDOB 03 20070819
225430 1738N 06543W 4946 05970 0318 -067 -302 029017 017 025 000 00
225500 1738N 06546W 4827 06155 0326 -078 -295 029016 017 026 000 00
225530 1738N 06548W 4772 06250 0335 -085 -314 034017 017 024 000 00
225600 1738N 06550W 4748 06287 0336 -091 -311 033017 018 026 000 00
225630 1738N 06552W 4652 06443 0343 -095 -320 035018 019 027 000 00
225700 1738N 06555W 4605 06525 0351 -101 -351 032019 020 025 000 00
225730 1737N 06557W 4555 06612 0357 -108 -304 034020 021 025 000 00
225800 1737N 06559W 4546 06628 0359 -112 -332 033021 021 026 000 00
225830 1737N 06602W 4477 06743 0364 -117 -339 036021 021 027 000 00
225900 1737N 06604W 4443 06802 0369 -125 -308 039020 020 027 000 00
225930 1737N 06607W 4436 06816 0370 -125 -335 038020 021 025 000 00
230000 1737N 06609W 4358 06947 0375 -133 -349 033016 017 028 000 00
230030 1736N 06611W 4272 07100 0384 -143 -337 031016 017 026 000 00
230100 1736N 06614W 4266 07115 0386 -145 -345 030018 019 025 000 00
230130 1736N 06616W 4259 07124 0388 -149 -358 033018 018 025 000 00
230200 1736N 06619W 4174 07275 0394 -153 -364 030016 017 026 000 00
230230 1736N 06621W 4136 07345 0400 -160 -361 034017 018 025 000 00
230300 1736N 06624W 4135 07350 0400 -160 -356 032018 019 024 000 00
230330 1736N 06626W 4075 07453 0403 -163 -354 029019 019 024 000 00
230400 1735N 06628W 4033 07536 0411 -166 -356 029018 019 023 000 00
$$
0 likes   

HenkL
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2401
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:33 pm
Location: Groningen, The Netherlands
Contact:

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#362 Postby HenkL » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:10 pm

gotoman38 wrote:Henk's GE file is being updated tonight
http://wxgr.nl/tmppic/Recons.kmz

It's better to use http://wxgr.nl/tmppic/WXRecon.kml as a link, this .kml file ensures the .kmz file is refreshed every 5 minutes; otherwise you will have to do the refresh yourself.
I'm going asleep now (after midnight over here), so I hope the computer keeps running tonight.

The 'second flight' was the last part of the old one. I just did a restart of the program, so there should be only flight AF304/1104A from this moment.
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#363 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:12 pm

HenkL wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:Henk's GE file is being updated tonight
http://wxgr.nl/tmppic/Recons.kmz

It's better to use http://wxgr.nl/tmppic/WXRecon.kml as a link, this .kml file ensures the .kmz file is refreshed every 5 minutes; otherwise you will have to do the refresh yourself.
I'm going asleep now (after midnight over here), so I hope the computer keeps running tonight.

The 'second flight' was the last part of the old one. I just did a restart of the program, so there should be only flight AF304/1104A from this moment.


Thanks Henk - you're the best!
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3396
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#364 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:28 pm

321
URNT15 KNHC 192326
AF304 1104A DEAN HDOB 04 20070819
230430 1735N 06631W 4021 07558 0412 -169 -365 028019 019 022 000 00
230500 1735N 06633W 4000 07599 0416 -171 -375 026019 019 024 000 00
230530 1735N 06636W 3994 07611 0418 -173 -384 025020 020 025 000 00
230600 1735N 06638W 3993 07615 0419 -175 -389 026020 020 025 000 00
230630 1735N 06641W 3994 07612 0419 -172 -386 028019 020 023 000 00
230700 1734N 06643W 3993 07614 0420 -170 -377 034018 018 023 000 00
230730 1734N 06646W 3995 07610 0420 -166 -367 039018 018 026 000 00
230800 1734N 06649W 3994 07615 0421 -163 -355 040017 017 023 000 00
230830 1734N 06652W 3993 07616 0421 -160 -345 042017 017 022 000 00
230900 1734N 06654W 3993 07616 0422 -163 -223 040016 017 024 000 00
230930 1733N 06657W 3994 07616 0423 -164 +999 041016 017 023 000 01
231000 1733N 06700W 3994 07619 0425 -165 +999 038016 016 022 000 01
231030 1733N 06702W 3994 07619 0425 -167 +999 036016 017 021 000 01
231100 1733N 06705W 3994 07619 0425 -169 +999 035017 018 023 000 01
231130 1733N 06708W 3991 07625 0425 -170 +999 035017 018 021 000 01
231200 1733N 06711W 3996 07614 0424 -167 -234 040018 018 020 000 00
231230 1732N 06714W 3992 07623 0426 -166 -385 040018 018 021 000 00
231300 1732N 06716W 3992 07627 0428 -170 -458 038018 019 022 000 00
231330 1732N 06719W 3995 07619 0427 -165 -456 044018 018 021 000 00
231400 1732N 06722W 3993 07622 0426 -165 -442 044019 019 021 000 00
$$

Appear to be south of Puerto Rico westbound
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3396
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#365 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:38 pm

679
URNT15 KNHC 192337
AF304 1104A DEAN HDOB 06 20070819
232430 1727N 06822W 3994 07625 0431 -169 -229 040022 023 020 000 00
232500 1727N 06825W 3995 07622 0431 -169 -229 042024 025 017 000 00
232530 1727N 06828W 3996 07621 0430 -170 -217 053025 026 017 000 00
232600 1727N 06831W 3993 07625 0430 -170 -212 067023 023 019 000 00
232630 1727N 06834W 3994 07621 0429 -170 -211 070024 024 019 000 00
232700 1726N 06837W 3994 07622 0430 -170 -216 070024 025 017 000 00
232730 1726N 06840W 3993 07627 0431 -170 -218 073023 023 018 000 00
232800 1726N 06843W 3993 07627 0433 -174 -209 072022 022 016 000 00
232830 1726N 06846W 3989 07626 0425 -170 -224 069021 022 017 000 00
232900 1725N 06848W 3988 07629 0426 -172 -220 070019 019 017 000 00
232930 1725N 06851W 3986 07632 0425 -175 -209 067019 019 019 000 00
233000 1725N 06854W 3989 07627 0425 -175 -213 066020 021 017 000 00
233030 1725N 06857W 3989 07627 0425 -172 -223 068022 022 015 000 00
233100 1724N 06900W 3990 07626 0425 -164 -256 069019 020 020 000 00
233130 1724N 06903W 3990 07626 0425 -160 -356 068018 018 018 000 00
233200 1724N 06906W 3989 07626 0424 -164 -291 068018 018 019 000 00
233230 1724N 06909W 3988 07627 0424 -161 -333 072017 018 018 000 00
233300 1724N 06912W 3992 07621 0424 -166 -272 069018 019 016 000 00
233330 1723N 06915W 3986 07631 0424 -169 -220 076017 017 017 000 00
233400 1723N 06918W 3993 07620 0424 -170 -207 078016 016 019 000 00
$$
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20020
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#366 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 19, 2007 6:40 pm

panama, you can post these in the OBS thread, not here in the discussion thread. :)

Does anyone have a better module for sat pics in google earth? The NOAA I have is low res.
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#367 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 7:27 pm

tolakram wrote:panama, you can post these in the OBS thread, not here in the discussion thread. :)

Does anyone have a better module for sat pics in google earth? The NOAA I have is low res.


I paste the latest from page from the NRL - here's code for the current one

Code: Select all

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<kml xmlns="http://earth.google.com/kml/2.1">
<GroundOverlay>
   <name>Dean Latest</name>
   <drawOrder>1</drawOrder>
   <Icon>
      <href>http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc07/ATL/04L.DEAN/ir/geo/1km_bw/20070819.2315.goes12.x.ir1km_bw.04LDEAN.125kts-930mb-171N-760W.100pc.jpg</href>
      <viewBoundScale>0.75</viewBoundScale>
   </Icon>
   <LatLonBox>
      <north>26.30680641819031</north>
      <south>7.864964547324352</south>
      <east>-66.35953133392655</east>
      <west>-85.61241425816002</west>
   </LatLonBox>
</GroundOverlay>
</kml>


You should be able to just copy and paste this code - update the link when NRL updates.

I'm interested if anyone has a better solution
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20020
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#368 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 19, 2007 7:37 pm

That's better, though it might be a tad too far south. I guess I can play with the lat and lon. Is there any way to edit the xml inside google earth, or do I have to edit the file I made and re-load it?
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#369 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 7:41 pm

I'm no expert on GE - but if you edit the code in notepad and paste it back in it should work fine.

I'm hoping somebody comes up with a self relocating hi-res set of files - I'm sure they will.

Edit - you can always adjust the size when you access the overlay properties with your mouse - I turn on Lat/Lon (ctrl-L)
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#370 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:20 pm

tolakram wrote:That's better, though it might be a tad too far south. I guess I can play with the lat and lon. Is there any way to edit the xml inside google earth, or do I have to edit the file I made and re-load it?


Good looking maps!

They're getting close now. Ready for the first eye-shot.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20020
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#371 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:25 pm

The navy image hasn't updated yet so the plots are going to look off until it does.
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#372 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:26 pm

tolakram wrote:The navy image hasn't updated yet so the plots are going to look off until it does.


I wouldn't worry about it - the public sat images are always 30-90 mins behind "real-time"
0 likes   

fasterdisaster
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1868
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:41 pm
Location: Miami, Florida

#373 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:36 pm

I was expecting a slight pressure rise tonight, especially if the eyewall made it onshore like it did a couple hours ago. It could strengthen again, don't know about Category 5. But still, not a force to be reckoned with.
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#374 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:37 pm

FL winds hit 124kts, with SFMR reading a max 121kts. Automated pressure extrapolation got down to 927mb, so probably right around 930mb in reality.
0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#375 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:41 pm

124kts FL with the standard 90% reduction is about 112kts at the surface, making it a Cat 3.
0 likes   

pojo
Military Member
Military Member
Posts: 8016
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:16 pm
Location: Houston

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#376 Postby pojo » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:44 pm

Pebbles wrote:Any idea what happened to recon?


Please be patient.

We had aircraft problems.
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#377 Postby wx247 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:48 pm

Thanks for the details Shannon. Hope everything is okay!
0 likes   

User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#378 Postby Pebbles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:50 pm

pojo wrote:
Pebbles wrote:Any idea what happened to recon?


Please be patient.

We had aircraft problems.


No problem what so ever! :) Was just wondering if someone had heard news on what the situation was. *huggers* Hoping all the kinks were worked out of the aircraft?
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34006
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#379 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:53 pm

Vortex has a pressure of 926mb...
0 likes   

fasterdisaster
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1868
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:41 pm
Location: Miami, Florida

#380 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:53 pm

New VDM:
Pressure down to 926 MB

I don't know if it means anything though. And looking at the map I HIGHLY doubt that the 112 kt surface winds were the highest winds.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], Sunnydays, wileytheartist and 36 guests