Texas Winter 2016-2017

Winter Weather Discussion

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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3641 Postby orangeblood » Thu Jan 12, 2017 7:51 pm

Latest Euro weeklies chill almost the entire lower 48 from the end of week 2 through 6...very active southern storm track, most aggressive with southern plains winter weather I've seen all winter
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3642 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 12, 2017 8:07 pm

orangeblood wrote:Latest Euro weeklies chill almost the entire lower 48 from the end of week 2 through 6...very active southern storm track, most aggressive with southern plains winter weather I've seen all winter


+PNA/-EPO driven. The PNA is also along the west coast which is pretty good for us. Some blocking in the Davis Straits. Plains and east likely benefits from a pattern like that. Warm and dry out west.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3643 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 12, 2017 9:22 pm

Sunday is starting to come into focus but isn't getting much talk, since it isn't ice

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3644 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 12, 2017 10:36 pm

Down to 45! Pretty nice change out this evening.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3645 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 12, 2017 10:48 pm

Yeah, though not frigid by any means...I'd say this was a pretty bad temperature bust for DFW from OP guidance. From 60s/70s to 40s is a pretty hard bust cause fronts "stall in January" :roll:, maybe in July . The clothing required between the two is quite drastic...imagine had you planned a camping trip dressed for 70s :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3646 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Thu Jan 12, 2017 10:52 pm

AO looking to go moderately negative in the long range too
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3647 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 12, 2017 11:47 pm

lol I opened the windows when the front passed at 4pm and had to close them because it's too cold. :lol:

What a horrible bust. I even saw a certain TV station still forecasting 50s tonight at 5-6pm and 60s tomorrow... :roll: The HRRR is even too warm!. 4km NAM seems to be closest to reality and has the front getting into Austin tomorrow afternoon
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3648 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jan 12, 2017 11:56 pm

Long range GFS shows a winter storm across the northern third of Texas around January 26-27.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3649 Postby JDawg512 » Fri Jan 13, 2017 1:05 am

Brent wrote:lol I opened the windows when the front passed at 4pm and had to close them because it's too cold. :lol:

What a horrible bust. I even saw a certain TV station still forecasting 50s tonight at 5-6pm and 60s tomorrow... :roll: The HRRR is even too warm!. 4km NAM seems to be closest to reality and has the front getting into Austin tomorrow afternoon



Looks like the front is just about to Waco. Will be interesting to see how close it gets to Austin, whether it slows and stalls over the northern suburbs or makes it through the city. Only has 100 miles to go.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3650 Postby Snowman67 » Fri Jan 13, 2017 1:08 am

JDawg512 wrote:
Brent wrote:lol I opened the windows when the front passed at 4pm and had to close them because it's too cold. :lol:

What a horrible bust. I even saw a certain TV station still forecasting 50s tonight at 5-6pm and 60s tomorrow... :roll: The HRRR is even too warm!. 4km NAM seems to be closest to reality and has the front getting into Austin tomorrow afternoon



Looks like the front is just about to Waco. Will be interesting to see how close it gets to Austin, whether it slows and stalls over the northern suburbs or makes it through the city. Only has 100 miles to go.


This quote from the DFW NWS forecast discussion this evening shows the front stalling around Temple.

It looks like the cold front will likely
move to near an Athens to Temple to Lampasas line before becoming
stationary toward daybreak
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3651 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 13, 2017 1:31 am

Looks like the front is on my doorstep with tennis in the mid 60s and S winds here right now. Van is in the 50s. The front is showing obviously, but the difference between staking NW of DFW and stalling over NE TX is huge.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3652 Postby DougNTexas » Fri Jan 13, 2017 4:07 am

How much rain will East Texas get in the next week and how bad will the thunderstorms be?
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3653 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Jan 13, 2017 4:50 am

DougNTexas wrote:How much rain will East Texas get in the next week and how bad will the thunderstorms be?


It looks like your area could average around 2-4 inches, with some some strong storms possible as well.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3654 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 13, 2017 6:37 am

Down to a cool 71 degrees this morning. It's been a long, cold winter, but I think I'm going to make it. GFS does indicate 30s down to Houston in 2 weeks, but I'm not inclined to believe the 14-day GFS. Looking for a long bike ride up to Beck's Prime in the Heights on Saturday. Should be near 80 degrees - just a tad cool.

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3655 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:04 am

wxman57 wrote:Down to a cool 71 degrees this morning. It's been a long, cold winter, but I think I'm going to make it. GFS does indicate 30s down to Houston in 2 weeks, but I'm not inclined to believe the 14-day GFS. Looking for a long bike ride up to Beck's Prime in the Heights on Saturday. Should be near 80 degrees - just a tad cool.

http://i63.tinypic.com/2r5cah5.jpg


You are going to hate February! :ggreen: :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3656 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:19 am

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Down to a cool 71 degrees this morning. It's been a long, cold winter, but I think I'm going to make it. GFS does indicate 30s down to Houston in 2 weeks, but I'm not inclined to believe the 14-day GFS. Looking for a long bike ride up to Beck's Prime in the Heights on Saturday. Should be near 80 degrees - just a tad cool.

http://i63.tinypic.com/2r5cah5.jpg


You are going to hate February! :ggreen: :froze:


Bring it on! :layout:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3657 Postby KatDaddy » Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:34 am

Bring on the sunny and 90F weather!!! :sprinkler:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3658 Postby DougNTexas » Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:47 am

He does NOT need any help. He is quite competent just as he is. :(
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3659 Postby Tireman4 » Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:56 am

wxman57 wrote:
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Down to a cool 71 degrees this morning. It's been a long, cold winter, but I think I'm going to make it. GFS does indicate 30s down to Houston in 2 weeks, but I'm not inclined to believe the 14-day GFS. Looking for a long bike ride up to Beck's Prime in the Heights on Saturday. Should be near 80 degrees - just a tad cool.

http://i63.tinypic.com/2r5cah5.jpg


You are going to hate February! :ggreen: :froze:


Bring it on! :layout:


The mocking of us just hurts. It just hurts. With Mr. Juniper killing me for the second week in a row, oh yea!! Not..
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3660 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 13, 2017 9:07 am

KatDaddy wrote:Bring on the sunny and 90F weather!!! :sprinkler:

Hey Kat Daddy, you get that from May to October! Let us cold lovers have a little fun. :wink:
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