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DESTRUCTION5
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#3681 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Jan 30, 2009 12:11 pm

Be lucky to get that .40..It rained here in stuart and it looks over and I got a Mear .10. :x
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#3682 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 30, 2009 12:16 pm

0.40" in Fort Lauderdale would be 10x the amount we have seen so far in january (0.04" month to date at airport as of yesterday). Actually, that would be more than we have had since December 1.....total December 08 rain was 0.13").

Phoenix has had 0.15" of rain to date in January...and 0.97" in December....if we could only be as wet as Phoenix.

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Be lucky to get that .40..It rained here in stuart and it looks over and I got a Mear .10. :x
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Showers & T-storms, followed by cold

#3683 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 30, 2009 12:26 pm

Image
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#3684 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:00 pm

Image

Looks like it's breaking up right in the middle leaving, as always, SE Florida rainless. I hope the the sunshine we have experienced since this morning can energize the atmosphere and produce some showers.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Showers & T-storms, followed by cold

#3685 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:14 pm

Front moving through south Broward and en route to Miami....temps got several degrees warmer than forecast ahead of the front....forecast in Miami was 77F and Fort Lauderdale 76F.

W PALM BEACH PTSUNNY 66 N13
FT LAUDER-EXEC LGT RAIN 72 NW13
FT LAUDERDALE PTSUNNY 81 NW15
POMPANO BEACH PTSUNNY 73 NW15
PEMBROKE PINES MOSUNNY 73 NW17
OPA LOCKA MOSUNNY 81 SW15
MIAMI PTSUNNY 84 SW13
WEST KENDALL MOSUNNY 83 W15
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#3686 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 30, 2009 3:40 pm

0.18 inches of rain.

At 1:10 PM the temperature was 84.3ºF.
By 1:50 PM the temperature was 72.0ºF.
By 3:20 PM the temperature was 62.8ºF.

It went down quite fast.

Image

BYE RAIN!!! :(
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#3687 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jan 30, 2009 4:27 pm

I got 3/4" in total, less than we need, but everything helps! I could take another one of those rainy days.

Also, Wind Chill Advisory is now in effect for much of Florida, and a freeze watch is in effect for the cooler parts of the peninsula.
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#3688 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 30, 2009 4:28 pm

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#3689 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jan 30, 2009 5:48 pm

Six pages of reports have been released by NWS TBW, and it seems I got more rain than I thought!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/tbw/pdf/ ... /RAINS.pdf
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#3690 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri Jan 30, 2009 6:04 pm

With the strong pressure gradient, the jet nearby, a deep low in the north
central gulf...severe weather may be possible Monday...ABC action news said so...
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Showers & T-storms, followed by cold

#3691 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 30, 2009 6:05 pm

Miami International picked up 0.26" today!!!

Here in Fort Lauderdale....a trace (at airport). Monthly total stands at 0.04" and will likely end the month with that amount...making it the 2nd driest January on record
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Re:

#3692 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jan 30, 2009 6:20 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:With the strong pressure gradient, the jet nearby, a deep low in the north
central gulf...severe weather may be possible Monday...ABC action news said so...


LOL, although Denis is good, what they say isnt set in stone. I do think a squall line will set up, but I'll wait to say svr weather.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Showers & T-storms, followed by cold

#3693 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 30, 2009 9:45 pm

After quick temperature drops this afternoon, temps have been very steady for the last several hours across south florida and not too windy....although much cooler than the 80s we have seen this week, this is not the level of cold airmass that we saw 10 days ago.

West Palm temp at 5pm - 58F, temp at 9pm - 55F

Fort Lauderdale temp at 6pm - 61F, temp at 9pm - 60F

Miami temp at 7pm, 8pm, 9pm constant at 60F, winds N at 8 mph

Latest NWS Miami update shows temps around 50F for lows in Fort Lauderdale and Miami.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
930 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2009

.UPDATE...
COLD FRONT HAS PRESSED WELL OFFSHORE WITH CLEARING LINE MOVING
INTO THE MIAMI AND FORT LAUDERDALE AREAS LATE THIS EVENING. WHERE
SKIES HAVE CLEARED...BOUNDARY LAYER HAS ALREADY DECOUPLED ALL THE
WAY UP THE WEST HALF OF THE PENINSULA AND TEMPS HAVE DROPPED INTO
THE MID 40S IN SOME AREAS. OF COURSE...THIS IS A SIGN THAT WINDS
MAY NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER
FOR THE NW INTERIOR ZONES...BUT AM RELUCTANT TO CANCEL IT SO EARLY
WITH MUCH OF THE NIGHT STILL AHEAD. I AM ALSO CONCERNED ABOUT LOW
TEMPS IN THE SAME AREA TONIGHT. TEMPS HAVE DROPPED QUICKLY THIS
EVENING BUT ARE ALREADY APPROACHING DEWPOINT VALUES...AND THERE IS
NO STRONG ADVECTIVE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR INTO THE REGION
. ON THE OTHER
HAND...THE SOIL IN THESE AREAS IS VERY CONDUCIVE FOR RADIATIONAL
COOLING IF WINDS CONTINUE NEAR CALM...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO QUICK
TEMP DROPS. GIVEN THESE COMPETING FACTORS...WILL NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES
TO TEMPS AT THIS TIME.

THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT A LITTLE FROST COULD FORM IN SHELTERED
LOCATIONS ACROSS GLADES, HENDRY AND NORTHERN INTERIOR COLLIER
COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT...HOWEVER THESE CONCERNS ARE TEMPERED BY
SOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR SNEAKING SE DOWN THE GULF COAST WHICH
WOULD KEEP TEMP/DEW POINT SPREADS HIGH ENOUGH TO PREVENT FROST
FORMATION...AND WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 45 63 48 69 / 0 0 - 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 50 65 51 70 / - 0 - 10
MIAMI 49 65 51 69 / - 0 - 10
NAPLES 43 62 42 70 / 0 0 0 -
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#3694 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri Jan 30, 2009 11:35 pm

Highs will only be in the upper 60s Monday- this cooler
air mass should limit severe weather. So Monday will
have some rain and possibly some thunderstorms but
severe weather should be rather isolated. Now inland
areas getting to the 70s may see some more instability...
but for right now it looks like temperatures may not moderate
enough for a severe weather concern, which of course
is a good thing.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Showers & T-storms, followed by cold

#3695 Postby jinftl » Sat Jan 31, 2009 12:03 am

Latest run now showing only one night next week dipping below 50 deg in Miami (46 deg) compared to yesterday's forecast for 2 such nights...slight moderation trend continues with the forecast run for upcoming week....still looks like a very cool few days....but 'cool' may be the key word.

Model run for Tampa now shows temps staying above freezing next week (min temp of 36F) compared to yesterday's run which forecast Tampa hitting 31F mid-week.
http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KTPA

More than the specific numbers, the trend of slight moderation of expected airmass may be the thing to watch and see if it continues or changes. If this verifies, the main citrus and produce regions would not have a repeat of last week's widespread below freezing temps.
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#3696 Postby frankthetank » Sat Jan 31, 2009 10:44 am

Image

I'm thinking that cold was overplayed too... Upper 40's for a night or two for Miami. Still looks like a very "chilly" week coming up for S Florida.

Pretty cool looking at N. America this morning. Very few clouds covering the entire country. Lots of sun for everyone today. Lets hope that late January sun can heat us all up. Upper 30's here today, warmest so far this month.

GFS isn't too hyped on precip for Miami this week.

This front has made it WELL south of S. FL... Check out Habana, Cuba obs:

Code: Select all

10 AM (15) Jan 31    64 (18)    44 (7)    30.24 (1024)    N 26    
   9 AM (14) Jan 31    62 (17)    46 (8)    30.24 (1024)    N 24    
   8 AM (13) Jan 31    60 (16)    46 (8)    30.21 (1023)    N 20    
   7 AM (12) Jan 31    60 (16)    46 (8)    30.21 (1023)    N 17    
   6 AM (11) Jan 31    60 (16)    44 (7)    30.18 (1022)    N 18    
   5 AM (10) Jan 31    62 (17)    44 (7)    30.15 (1021)    N 23    
   4 AM (9) Jan 31    62 (17)    48 (9)    30.15 (1021)    N 21    
   3 AM (8) Jan 31    62 (17)    50 (10)    30.15 (1021)    N 16    
   2 AM (7) Jan 31    64 (18)    50 (10)    30.15 (1021)    N 16    
   1 AM (6) Jan 31    64 (18)    51 (11)    30.15 (1021)    N 16    
   Midnight (5) Jan 31    64 (18)    55 (13)    30.12 (1020)    N 16    
   11 PM (4) Jan 30    66 (19)    57 (14)    30.12 (1020)    N 16    
   10 PM (3)    No Data             
   9 PM (2) Jan 30    66 (19)    62 (17)    30.12 (1020)    N 17    
   8 PM (1) Jan 30    68 (20)    62 (17)    30.09 (1019)    N 15    
   7 PM (0) Jan 30    68 (20)    66 (19)    30.09 (1019)    WNW 7    
   6 PM (23) Jan 30    69 (21)    64 (18)    30.06 (1018)    N 14    light rain
   5 PM (22) Jan 30    73 (23)    68 (20)    30.03 (1017)    NNW 15    
   4 PM (21) Jan 30    75 (24)    68 (20)    30.00 (1016)    NW 15    light rain
   3 PM (20) Jan 30    78 (26)    66 (19)    30.00 (1016)    W 13    
   2 PM (19) Jan 30    80 (27)    68 (20)    29.97 (1015)    WNW 7    


Cancun's dewpoints have dropped into the lower 50's...

Cold air needs to go somewhere :)
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#3697 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Jan 31, 2009 11:48 am

The national weather service does not, at this time, foresee a severe weather
threat, but mentions numerous rain showers and possible thunder. Accuweather,
however, paints a stronger possibility for severe weather and tornadoes.

I will go with the national weather service, their forecast seems more probable
at this time.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Showers & T-storms, followed by cold

#3698 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jan 31, 2009 2:59 pm

Lows across SE FLorida tonight range from the low to upper 40s, according to NWS.

SAT images show lots of stratocumulus just offshore Palm Beach (about 25 miles or so)...some stratocumulus has started to work into Northern Palm Beach and Martin Counties.

With a NE wind tonight around 5-10mph as the High scoots across Northern FL out into the Atlantic fairly quickly in response to another cold front farther west, I would expect some of these clouds to work into SE Florida and the airmass significantly modified passing over the Gulf Stream current.

It wouldn't surpise me if SE FL coastal communities see lows in around 55-60F with lows around 50F inland....

I just don't see much of the metro SE FL areas of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade, falling below 50F except well inland, maybe.
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#3699 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Jan 31, 2009 5:32 pm

I want an absolute heat wave! I'm tired of this cold weather LOL :ggreen:
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#3700 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Jan 31, 2009 8:51 pm

right now it looks like the low is going to make 'landfall' between Hernando and Sarasota Counties with a likelihood right here in Pinellas County. For me to get anything interesting, it has to make landfall Largo northward.
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