ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3701 Postby Kat5 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:41 pm

Nimbus wrote:
Kat5 wrote:Anybody got an idea on current movement, my reading glasses aren’t as great as I thought.


We might have to wait for recon, long satellite loop looked like 310 -320 but that was with the stadium effect at sunset.


That seems about right, thank you.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3702 Postby Ian2401 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:42 pm

looks like its starting its turn

that or im just wobble watching again
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3703 Postby stormhunter7 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:42 pm

Looked like kermit had a 20kt increase in flight speed and now are back down, which looks like there in center. All at flight level 10k ft
Last edited by stormhunter7 on Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:45 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3704 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:42 pm

Steve wrote:
lrak wrote:Hurry and check the last visible. WOW! again!


Karl,

That forerunner upper low may work it’s way somewhat down and give you surfable waves early next week. Maybe?


I sure like the good news Steve it's been really flat and surf is like a drug I'm really praying this thing turns. I promise I'll pray tonight. God Bless everyone that has a threat from this beast. I don't like Dorian!
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3705 Postby Siker » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:42 pm

HurricaneBelle wrote:
Blown Away wrote:Last look at visible before dark... Awesome...


I dunno, I'm going to need to see a map with surface plots


Gonna need an ASCAT to see if there are any westerlies.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3706 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:43 pm

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3707 Postby sponger » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:45 pm

Hard to remember the struggles this storm endured. This may get to 5 easily although a strong 3 or weak 4 at landfall would not surprise me. The panic that a 5 will add to tomorrow's mandatory evacs will be substantial. If you are in SFL take a breath and determine your true risk and try not to get caught up in a panic. The traffic jam tomorrow will be from the GA FL line to Palm Beach so if you need to leave, leave tonight or Sunday at midnight. Sitting in traffic for 20 hours is not going to help your nerves.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3708 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:45 pm

Honestly I won’t be surprised if recon finds 140kts surface winds
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3709 Postby Kat5 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:46 pm

Image

Stellar view.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3710 Postby d3v123 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:46 pm

This has been so weird to follow here in the Tampa/St Pete area. I know with Irma I felt like I had no idea what was going on until two days before and this seems similar, but I see many people saying they doubt it will turn out to be an Irma situation or even shift back to south/west again. Just curious why that is? I follow most the dialogue on here, but a lot can go over my head ha
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3711 Postby MacTavish » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:47 pm

Siker wrote:
HurricaneBelle wrote:
Blown Away wrote:Last look at visible before dark... Awesome...


I dunno, I'm going to need to see a map with surface plots


Gonna need an ASCAT to see if there are any westerlies.


LMAO
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3712 Postby norva13x » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:48 pm

d3v123 wrote:This has been so weird to follow here in the Tampa/St Pete area. I know with Irma I felt like I had no idea what was going on until two days before and this seems similar, but I see many people saying they doubt it will turn out to be an Irma situation or even shift back to south/west again. Just curious why that is? I follow most the dialogue on here, but a lot can go over my head ha


I'd say there is just as much uncertainty as then, it's just easy to get caught up in the most recent model runs.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3713 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:49 pm

its not moving straight west but its between w and wnw..
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3714 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:50 pm

Very compact inner core

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3715 Postby michelinj » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:50 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Honestly I won’t be surprised if recon finds 140kts surface winds


Not yet. Soon though I think

Happy hunting, James
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3716 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:51 pm

I have a sick feeling this goes under 900mb before all said and done
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3717 Postby stormhunter7 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:its not moving straight west but its between w and wnw..


Yeah, because its sucking up the heat! lol Any guess on pressure Aric? I'm think 930-950mb?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3718 Postby toad strangler » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:51 pm

d3v123 wrote:This has been so weird to follow here in the Tampa/St Pete area. I know with Irma I felt like I had no idea what was going on until two days before and this seems similar, but I see many people saying they doubt it will turn out to be an Irma situation or even shift back to south/west again. Just curious why that is? I follow most the dialogue on here, but a lot can go over my head ha


There is a fair amount of regional bias in posts here from time to time. Learning how to weed through that is key to your forum survival ;)
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3719 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:52 pm

Shame it might peak in this cycle overnight because woooow what jaw dropping visible imagery we're missing.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3720 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:53 pm

MacTavish wrote:
Siker wrote:
HurricaneBelle wrote:
I dunno, I'm going to need to see a map with surface plots


Gonna need an ASCAT to see if there are any westerlies.


LMAO


Sorry but that is a "LMAO" comment.
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