Texas Winter 2022-2023

[gpsnowman]

Still 70 degrees this evening. Just gross. I'm ready for at least normal temps. This warm weather is getting on my nerves.

[Brent]

The TV forecast just gets colder and colder beyond this weekend here. Tomorrow is the last day over 60

[Ntxw]

The TV forecast just gets colder and colder beyond this weekend here. Tomorrow is the last day over 60

The next system will lay more snow cover over Nebraska. Followed by Kansas, and northwest Oklahoma following that. Will be interesting what the landscape will look like regarding groundcover by the time the big digging trough comes, the third in the series.

[Lagreeneyes03]

I honestly love the warm weather in January, if it's not snowing or icing, then anything below 65 is a waste. The warmth does wonders for my seasonal depression, I don't have all the sunlight I'd like, but at least I have the spring like temperatures to boost my seratonin.

[Ntxw]

Will say this after a couple of close calls with winter storms on the guidance (ensembles are still tilting in the right direction) that the upcoming pattern that lasts thru Jan 30th is your more typical winter cold snaps. Big trough with each storm pulling a little more cold air with them. Not the big huge dumps we have set our minds to thinking is the standard (rare). Definitely positive and excited at winter storm prospects!

[Brent]

The TV forecast just gets colder and colder beyond this weekend here. Tomorrow is the last day over 60

The next system will lay more snow cover over Nebraska. Followed by Kansas, and northwest Oklahoma following that. Will be interesting what the landscape will look like regarding groundcover by the time the big digging trough comes, the third in the series.

Yeah the snowstorm is back here and it's only a week out now

10 inches here on the clown map

[harp]

Well, if cold air is coming, it’s still not showing up on the GFS…. Each run actually looks worse.

[Brent]

Well, if cold air is coming, it’s still not showing up on the GFS…. Each run actually looks worse.

I guess we'll see but even up here they are saying so far nothing like Christmas

[Ntxw]

Well, if cold air is coming, it’s still not showing up on the GFS…. Each run actually looks worse.

I guess we'll see but even up here they are saying so far nothing like Christmas

Christmas was like a once a decade type event. We likely won't see pressures that high or that kind of a sharp front like that again for a long while.

[Portastorm]

Will say this after a couple of close calls with winter storms on the guidance (ensembles are still tilting in the right direction) that the upcoming pattern that lasts thru Jan 30th is your more typical winter cold snaps. Big trough with each storm pulling a little more cold air with them. Not the big huge dumps we have set our minds to thinking is the standard (rare). Definitely positive and excited at winter storm prospects!

Agreed! I’m still hoping the Euro has a better read on the pattern than the GFS as it portends much joy for Texas winter weather lovers.

[cstrunk]

Had a nice thunderstorm roll through at 7 am on January 18th.

[Iceresistance]

Why does the 0z Euro feature snow in Southern Texas?

[Cpv17]

Why does the 0z Euro feature snow in Southern Texas?

Also, look at the 6z GFS. Snow close to Laredo in Mexico but hardly anything anywhere else

[orangeblood]

Will say this after a couple of close calls with winter storms on the guidance (ensembles are still tilting in the right direction) that the upcoming pattern that lasts thru Jan 30th is your more typical winter cold snaps. Big trough with each storm pulling a little more cold air with them. Not the big huge dumps we have set our minds to thinking is the standard (rare). Definitely positive and excited at winter storm prospects!

Not only the coming next 1-2 weeks but this Strat Warm event is making the prospects for remainder of winter look even better.

Jan 24-25th event looks good on the Ensembles particularly with the fresh snow pack to the north, system is likely colder than modeled

[Edwards Limestone]

[Iceresistance]

https://cropper.watch.aetnd.com/cdn.watch.aetnd.com/sites/5/2017/11/CharlieBrownLucyFootball.jpg

I can't see it for some reason, what is it?

[ThunderSleetDreams]

https://cropper.watch.aetnd.com/cdn.watch.aetnd.com/sites/5/2017/11/CharlieBrownLucyFootball.jpg

I can't see it for some reason, what is it?

Lucy holding the football for Charlie Brown

[Cpv17]

The ensembles are really building the cold up in our source region towards the end of the month.

[Iceresistance]

Good snowpack further north for the big cold shot in February?

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1614974500159819777

[Ntxw]

Really impressed with the Euro synoptics of late. GFS has gone full swing shift mode towards it. After a couple of systems (winter storm potentials?) GFS has followed the Euro and CMC with a cold shot ~25th or just after.

Risk now will be dry NW flow and +PNA ridge once the SW troughs shifts east.