ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SFLcane]

Maybe the cmc isn’t wrong after all if it stays on the weaker side it will head further south.

Thoughts?

[Do_For_Love]

Isaias ended up being a pretty small storm considering how large the wave it came from was! I guess that's related to all the dry and shear that's keeping a lid on its strength? Either way, probably for the best, lol.

[artist]

Anyone else getting lots of network connection lost messages?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalATL/status/1289542873818390528

[Blown Away]

W eyewall/LLC about to exit W side of Andros Island.

[GCANE]

Not sure how long this dry slot may last.

Outflow is starting to move into the dry slot.
Feeder band convection is moving moist air into the west side of the dry slot with evident gravity waves.

[Nore]

Maybe the cmc isn’t wrong after all if it stays on the weaker side it will head further south.

Thoughts?

With recent weakening trends I wouldn't discount it. Especially since the last few radar loops has shown the center on andros at the moment. It should be really interesting to see where its located after said landfall. It could definitely have track implications

[CronkPSU]

With it slowing down it will have around 20 hours over some of the warmest waters in the basin, not saying it will intensify but claiming this will be a dud for Florida seems overly optimistic to me

[DestinHurricane]

Getting some strong winds here in Boca. Got a 40 mph gust. Probably won't get any stronger winds than this.

[artist]

Miss piggy found 978 earlier
114230 2415N 07724W 7515 02429 9780 +224 //// 161011 017 027 000 01

[Frank P]

https://twitter.com/TropicalATL/status/1289542873818390528

That looks like a pretty good jog to the west in that radar loop as it goes over the island..

[ronjon]

From RAD seems.to be moving more W-NW the last several hours.

[northjaxpro]

We have seen our fair share of small cyclones in 2020 so far. This has been the theme for sure!! SAL, dry air have contnued to impact them greatly.

However, the fact we have seen these cyclones develop in the face of these adverse factors truly makes this record season even all the more remarkable.

[gatorcane]

https://twitter.com/TropicalATL/status/1289542873818390528

That looks like a pretty good jog to the west in that radar loop as it goes over the island..

Big west jog there.

[Kazmit]

Wind shear is lower and decreasing where Isaias will track on approach to NC- maybe it will be able to pick up steam again here, especially with the gulf stream.

[northjaxpro]

Isaias will be a coast scrapper all the way from Palm Beach County northward.

[Extratropical94]

980 extrapolated from Miss Piggy. Assuming that they haven't changed the calibration mid-flight, pressures are on the rise.

[artist]

https://twitter.com/TropicalATL/status/1289542873818390528

That looks like a pretty good jog to the west in that radar loop as it goes over the island..

Big west jog there.

The eye also covers the entire south end of the island.

[artist]

https://twitter.com/TropicalATL/status/1289542873818390528

That looks like a pretty good jog to the west in that radar loop as it goes over the island..

Big west jog there.

The eye also covers the entire south end of the island.

[Nore]

With it slowing down it will have around 20 hours over some of the warmest waters in the basin, not saying it will intensify but claiming this will be a dud for Florida seems overly optimistic to me

Is shear relative to storm motion? Say the storm slows down some more will it be able to combat the mid level shear over florida more effectively than running head long into it?