ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Cat5James]

Flash Flood warning in Broward County. This is some of the heaviest squalls I've seen pass through in my decade living here.

[skyline385]

 https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/1574918916144439296

[meriland29]

The thing that blows my mind is that, days ago even, it was anticipated to shear into a low grade hurricane, even PT storm before landfall. I have been impressed with how relatively accurate they assumed location, but the intensity at this point is higher than most models realized. Tonight will be a nail biter for all, everyone watching how it behaves. What is the expected time of landfall via mountain time? Just wondering.

[johngaltfla]

Tampa's shield appears to hold.

Meanwhile in Sarasota:

[Keldeo1997]

Yea I think the inner Eyewall not being strong to begin with is the reason this EWRC is going so quick and smoothly. This isn't a Irma core with 180+ mph winds and was able to fight EWRCs for days.

[ThunderForce]

All these tornadoes Ian is spitting out is reminding me a lot of Ivan...

[johngaltfla]

Flash Flood warning in Broward County. This is some of the heaviest squalls I've seen pass through in my decade living here.

It was a blast working in 4 solid hours of rain helping a friend put their boards up today. Can't wait to see what the squalls look like (not).

[GCANE]

Helicity of the tower on the west eyewall really picking up

[Iceresistance]

The inner eyewall is almost nonexistent, the EWRC is almost complete per radar.

[Ken711]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1574920456817238016

[St0rmTh0r]

storm still contracting its not finished

[tropicwatch]

AF is back on the way. Radar indicated velocity 120mph eyewall.

[ThunderForce]

Is it just me or is Ian currently a bit to the east of the NHC's track?

[Fancy1001]

Ian has about 18 hours left to become a strong cat 4 or more.

[SecondBreakfast]

Looks like a huge tornado to the west of boyton beach

[Poonwalker]

Ian will be a retired name. Reminds me of Katrina but on a west central Florida track. Stay safe people.

[CryHavoc]

Remember folks, it's not unusual for a storm in the GoM to continue intensifying up until (and even after!) landfall, esp in Florida. Don't sleep on this storm even if it loses a bit of strength, it doesn't take much to give a quick spin up in the core and go from high end cat 2 to low end cat 4. I remember the thread here about Michael and practically no one gave it a chance to go Cat 5. These storms are ephemeral beasts, and landfalling intensity remains one of the hardest things to predict because of the sheer (shear? ) number of factors at play along a coastline, especially in a tropical environment with lots of swamps and marshes.

[dukeblue219]

Reminds me of Katrina but on a west central Florida track. Stay safe people.

Katrina was freaking massive. Go look at the IR presentation at her peak in the gulf. The CDO was bigger than the Florida peninsula and her tropical storm force winds extended 230 miles from the center. Fortunately Ian is not nearly so large, with TS winds currently "only" as far as 140 miles.

[skyline385]

This band is pretty crazy




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[StormPyrate]

https://apps.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/noaaport/radar_flanim.gif
Is it just me or is Ian currently a bit to the east of the NHC's track?

has been most of the day, you can see it jump to the right on a refresh and re-center.