Texas Winter 2022-2023

[orangeblood]

I-20 to I-40 has a lot of interest. Inside of 100 hours trends.

https://i.imgur.com/iPPgO1o.gif

Southerly trend continues

[Ntxw]

I-20 to I-40 has a lot of interest. Inside of 100 hours trends.

https://i.imgur.com/iPPgO1o.gif

Southerly trend continues

Don't think it will be a mix of sleet or ice. You either get the heavy wet snow or the rain, tons of dynamics.

[Ntxw]

From history you want to be close and/or just to the north of the vortmax. These broad qpf maps outside of Hi Res range tend to condense in real time. It's not just the south trends, also more realistic depictions of the qpf bands.

[bubba hotep]

Shiver me timbers!

[JayDT]

I-20 to I-40 has a lot of interest. Inside of 100 hours trends.

https://i.imgur.com/iPPgO1o.gif

Yea im definitely liking the trend!

[orangeblood]

From history you want to be close and/or just to the north of the vortmax. These broad qpf maps outside of Hi Res range tend to condense in real time. It's not just the south trends, also more realistic depictions of the qpf bands.

https://i.imgur.com/TTWZPyO.gif

Yep, definitely super dynamic creating a big pocket of freezing air down to 925mb

[Ntxw]

Not only that the GFS is caving in the medium range. Better ridge into Alaska hooking up with the Arctic. It's also sending down a western trough vs holding ridge in prior runs.

[SnowintheFalls]

Is it just me or has TT gone wonky? I can only pull up 48 hours on the snowmaps. Can you see snow amounts on Pivotal? TT is my usual go to.

[Ntxw]

Arctic outbreak?

[orangeblood]

Is it just me or has TT gone wonky? I can only pull up 48 hours on the snowmaps. Can you see snow amounts on Pivotal? TT is my usual go to.

Gfs Op


GFS Ens Mean

[SnowintheFalls]

Is it just me or has TT gone wonky? I can only pull up 48 hours on the snowmaps. Can you see snow amounts on Pivotal? TT is my usual go to.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/scentus/total_snow_10to1/1674259200/1675036800-TWV5pcnLzYQ.png

Thanks! Maybe I should try clearing my cache.

And holy crap I wish that would verify!

[txtwister78]

[Quixotic]

Shiver me timbers!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023012100/gfs_z500_vort_scus_17.png

Gimme

[TropicalTundra]

Hi-Res models are basically in frame and they’re of course cooler than globals. Hopefully trends better.

[harp]

Arctic outbreak?

https://i.imgur.com/BEzk6pX.gif

https://i.imgur.com/Q0tW1oi.gif

Looks like it mostly goes off to the east again.

[Quixotic]

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/snow_total_multimember_panel/1674259200/1674626400-IvrAU7GGslk.png

9 positive members. Getting into the 33% category. Keep on keepin on.

[Cpv17]

Arctic outbreak?

https://i.imgur.com/BEzk6pX.gif

https://i.imgur.com/Q0tW1oi.gif

Looks like it mostly goes off to the east again.

It’s rotating around the TPV. Should be through the Rockies and into the plains and S to SSE from there.

[Ntxw]

Arctic outbreak?

https://i.imgur.com/BEzk6pX.gif

https://i.imgur.com/Q0tW1oi.gif

Looks like it mostly goes off to the east again.

Towards the end yeah, but it was a major shift this run that was very different from its prior runs. It's been lagging the other models. It decided to put ridges where it had troughs and troughs where it had ridges, mind boggling.

[Cpv17]

Arctic outbreak?

https://i.imgur.com/BEzk6pX.gif

https://i.imgur.com/Q0tW1oi.gif

Looks like it mostly goes off to the east again.

Towards the end yeah, but it was a major shift this run that was very different from its prior runs. It's been lagging the other models. It decided to put ridges where it had troughs and troughs where it had ridges, mind boggling.

Looks ok to me.

[Cpv17]

-EPO going bonkers on the 0z Euro. Cold gets held up from advancing south by the SE ridge. Yeah, we’ll see about that.