Texas Winter 2014-2015

Winter Weather Discussion

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somethingfunny
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3921 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Jan 31, 2015 2:35 pm

ISSUED 258 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015/
AS I WRITE THIS AN AREA OF VIRGA SITS OVER WESTERN COUNTIES
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. AN OCCASIONAL RAIN DROP MAY MAKE IT
TO THE SURFACE...BUT THE 00Z SOUNDING SHOWED VERY DRY AIR BETWEEN
750 AND 950 MB. IT WILL TAKE A BIT OF PRECIP TO MOISTEN THIS
LAYER. AS A RESULT...ALTHOUGH PRECIP ONSET TIMING HAS CHANGED
LITTLE...I HAVE DECREASED QPF SINCE A GOOD PORTION OF OUR
EXPECTED RAIN WILL EVAPORATE AS IT MOISTENS THIS LAYER. MANY
AREAS WILL NOW STRUGGLE TO GET A QUARTER INCH OUT OF THIS
SYSTEM...WITH A BIT MORE THAN A THIRD OF AN INCH POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN COUNTIES.

THE PRECIP SHOULD ALSO SHUT OFF FASTER SUNDAY AS THE ACCOMPANYING
COLD FRONT DRIES OUT THE LOWER LEVELS. BETTER PRECIP CHANCES ARE
NOW CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF NORTH/CENTRAL TX AFTER
NOON.
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Re:

#3922 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Jan 31, 2015 3:42 pm

somethingfunny wrote:I haven't trusted the long range maps and charts showing snowy patterns for us, I'm not sure why I'd trust long range maps and charts now showing a warm and dry pattern for us.

That said my dog's coat sure seems to think winter is over. Fur is coming out in clumps beginning last week. -_-


My dog's coat is acting the same way. May as well just vacuum her coat. :cheesy:

My sweet olive tree is also starting to sprout. :double:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3923 Postby Portastorm » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:32 pm

NWS says the Austin area will have three bouts of rain between now and Tuesday evening. Love it!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3924 Postby hriverajr » Sat Jan 31, 2015 6:45 pm

Thats all we have left eh.. rain. Actually been a pretty wet winter here in Del Rio.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3925 Postby Portastorm » Sat Jan 31, 2015 7:03 pm

hriverajr wrote:Thats all we have left eh.. rain. Actually been a pretty wet winter here in Del Rio.


Work with me here, brother. I'm just trying to find a "silver lining." :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3926 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 31, 2015 9:13 pm

Not so fast :P

Maybe one of these decades the GFS will actually get a storm 12 days out right *sigh*

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Re: Re:

#3927 Postby LaBreeze » Sun Feb 01, 2015 3:27 am

weatherdude1108 wrote:
somethingfunny wrote:I haven't trusted the long range maps and charts showing snowy patterns for us, I'm not sure why I'd trust long range maps and charts now showing a warm and dry pattern for us.

That said my dog's coat sure seems to think winter is over. Fur is coming out in clumps beginning last week. -_-


My dog's coat is acting the same way. May as well just vacuum her coat. :cheesy:

My sweet olive tree is also starting to sprout. :double:

The old saying around here was that you checked your pecan trees - they will not start to bud until winter is over.
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Not an official forecast by any means.

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#3928 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Feb 01, 2015 6:41 am

:uarrow: With a hard, chilly rain falling outside my house right now - and with three or four freezes in the forecast this next week in the Red River Valley - I'm just not buying the idea that winter is completely over in the state of Texas.

At least I'm not buying it right now, on Feb. 1st. :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3929 Postby hriverajr » Sun Feb 01, 2015 10:42 am

I won't buy anything until I see cold air in place in western Canada and its heading due south.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3930 Postby wxman57 » Sun Feb 01, 2015 11:29 am

See any snow up in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area yet today (as per the models 7-10 days ago)? Sunny and 70s in Houston. Heading out on my bike.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3931 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 01, 2015 12:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:See any snow up in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area yet today (as per the models 7-10 days ago)? Sunny and 70s in Houston. Heading out on my bike.


Oh just rub it in will you. :P
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3932 Postby Portastorm » Sun Feb 01, 2015 1:22 pm

Brent wrote:
wxman57 wrote:See any snow up in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area yet today (as per the models 7-10 days ago)? Sunny and 70s in Houston. Heading out on my bike.


Oh just rub it in will you. :P


That's alright ... eventually we will get our winter weather and when we do ... we will be merciless on Heat Miser! Of course it may be NEXT winter before that happens. :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3933 Postby aggiecutter » Sun Feb 01, 2015 5:10 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Brent wrote:
wxman57 wrote:See any snow up in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area yet today (as per the models 7-10 days ago)? Sunny and 70s in Houston. Heading out on my bike.


Oh just rub it in will you. :P


That's alright ... eventually we will get our winter weather and when we do ... we will be merciless on Heat Miser! Of course it may be NEXT winter before that happens. :roll:


You had better produce this year, or else:

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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3934 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Feb 02, 2015 8:46 am

Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow. 6 more weeks of winter. Texans just laugh...
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3935 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 02, 2015 8:56 am

It's not looking good for snow across NE or SE TX this year. GFS has nothing through the 18th. The pattern isn't changing. Massive low in the Gulf of Alaska has found a home there and isn't moving. It continues to pump relatively warm Pacific air into western Canada.

Image

Meanwhile, it was 77 degrees across Houston yesterday. My wife & I had a great ride. Stopped in Hermann Park to see the new area that just opened. I took a panorama with my iPhone and captured Peggy (twice) and one ghost.

Image
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#3936 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Mon Feb 02, 2015 8:57 am

No talk of last night's temperature bust? The Sunday morning forecast pegged lows around 30...I'm sitting here at 8:00 am at 25, with a low of 24 about an hour ago. I am going to lose a few plants that I keep inside during the winter, but had moved out on Saturday to get some ran and some daylight. GRRRR!!! :x :x :x :x
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3937 Postby srainhoutx » Mon Feb 02, 2015 9:24 am

I see that rodent named Phil in Pennsylvania saw his shadow. 6 more weeks of Winter. I do wonder if that groundhog knows the difference between lighting from the media cameras and the actual sun though... ;) That said it is a bit chilly out there today and we may see some frost tomorrow morning across our Northern Zones of SE Texas if the clouds do not move in too quickly this evening from the SW as that pesky upper low over Mexico finally shears out and heads East.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3938 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 02, 2015 9:37 am

srainhoutx wrote:I see that rodent named Phil in Pennsylvania saw his shadow. 6 more weeks of Winter. I do wonder if that groundhog knows the difference between lighting from the media cameras and the actual sun though... ;) That said it is a bit chilly out there today and we may see some frost tomorrow morning across our Northern Zones of SE Texas if the clouds do not move in too quickly this evening from the SW as that pesky upper low over Mexico finally shears out and heads East.


Satellite indicates not one square inch of sunshine across Pennsylvania this morning, and snowing in most areas. Perhaps in seeing his shadow he's saying we'll have 6 more weeks of weather like yesterday across Texas before the nice, warm spring and summer?
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#3939 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Feb 02, 2015 9:40 am

Fell to 24 at my place last night. Models are offering no hope of winter returning anytime soon. looks like if we are going to have any winter weather this winter it will have to come after Valentines Day.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#3940 Postby srainhoutx » Mon Feb 02, 2015 9:42 am

wxman57 wrote:Satellite indicates not one square inch of sunshine across Pennsylvania this morning, and snowing in most areas. Perhaps in seeing his shadow he's saying we'll have 6 more weeks of weather like yesterday across Texas before the nice, warm spring and summer?


I hope so. I finally was able to do some pre Spring yard work yesterday. It was great to be outside in a t shirt for a change. Last weeks weather can continue as far as I am concerned. It will be pool time before you know it!
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