ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bbadon]

Ok I'll say it has this storm stalled?

Last update was that it’s moving NNW at 12mph.

(Edit - darn typo)

I get that as long term motion. I'm talking currently.

[sphelps8681]

Torcon 3 for Tornadoes for us tomorrow. Hope not. Lumberton, Tx

[GCANE]

Now we're talkin'

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/r ... 8-0018.png

[eastcoastFL]

Live stream of Hurricane Beryl from Sargent Beach, TX

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQ56SqlH_XU

[GCANE]

Very little movement north.
No longitudinal movement

[tolakram]

[capNstorms]

Beryl stopped gaining longitude...

[IcyTundra]

If it continues to move due north landfall will be near Sargent.

[eastcoastFL]

Pretty heavy band with TS force winds and heavy rain about to come onshore in the next 25-35 mins.

[tolakram]

HWRF has

982mb at 8pm (too low) - corrected based on recon of 988mb
977mb at 11pm
962mb at 5am landfall

[cycloneye]

If it continues to move due north landfall will be near Sargent.

That is where Josh is.

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1810110561499173026

[Nederlander]

HWRF has

982mb at 8pm (slightly low)
977mb at 11pm
962mb at 5am landfall

Let’s hope not! That seems aggressive (>2mb per hour), and borderline cat 2/3.

[toad strangler]

 https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1810110541026791874

[Frank P]

983 mb...not bad Beryl.

Raw data was 983.5 mb
Official data is 988 mb per posted on RECON map
Sorry

[wx98]

There is a very clear NNE wobble over the last hour, how much it affects track remains to be seen

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/QtcbwKKh/KCRP202407072050-to-202407072359-50frames.gif [/url]

can the force of it wrapping its core around the back side drive it at all?

Recon is in the storm so they should be able to tell us which direction it’s currently heading. I’m looking at radar but it’s hard to tell.

Edit: found a better radar link and it still appears to be NNW. I think the eye is deceiving right now making it appear to be heading N or NNE but if you look at the whole store it still appears to be moving NNW.

Yes, I’ve been tracking it for over 4 hours and it’s still NNW to NW.

[Stormcenter]

If anything it’s moving NNNW if there such a thing.

[skyline385]

can the force of it wrapping its core around the back side drive it at all?

Recon is in the storm so they should be able to tell us which direction it’s currently heading. I’m looking at radar but it’s hard to tell.

Edit: found a better radar link and it still appears to be NNW. I think the eye is deceiving right now making it appear to be heading N or NNE but if you look at the whole store it still appears to be moving NNW.

Yes, I’ve been tracking it for over 4 hours and it’s still NNW to NW.

Both recon fixed a movement almost due north

[ronjon]

Looks to be actually moving N-NE the last 90 minutes on RAD. Probably a wobble.

https://www.wunderground.com/maps/radar/current/bro/

[tolakram]

[sphelps8681]

Just saw a post that NOAA a buoy 60 miles S of Freeport. Seas 20ft and winds gusting to 47mph.