were are they going this year?

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Patrick99
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Re: were are they going this year?

#41 Postby Patrick99 » Fri Mar 28, 2008 10:49 pm

The impact potential map looks the exact same every year. Gulf coast, high. FL Peninsula south-central down, high. North Carolina, high.
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Re: were are they going this year?

#42 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Mar 29, 2008 10:47 am

Patrick99 wrote:The impact potential map looks the exact same every year. Gulf coast, high. FL Peninsula south-central down, high. North Carolina, high.

That's exactly correct - that's one reason why I don't think it's particularly revealing...

1. North Carolina is vulnerable every year from recurving systems and inland tropical cyclones (it sticks out)
2. It's Florida - 'nough said (climatologically, the state has been struck nearly throughout the year from every direction)
3. The Gulf Coast faces homegrown development like Danny 1997 et al

Finally, none of these valid points guarantee that these states are struck during every season - it's never simplistic. Florida, North Carolina, and the Gulf have avoided activity in several historical seasons.
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Re: were are they going this year?

#43 Postby Category 5 » Sat Mar 29, 2008 11:09 am

Well the RaZr says 29 Named storms, 16 Hurricanes, and 8 Major Hurricanes. It also predicts a Category 4 to hit Pascagoula Mississippi in 6 days. :wink:
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